Under 1.5 goals in 1st half
Market 61.7% · BetBugs 68%
Both teams' first-half numbers are low, pointing to a cagey opening.
KNVB BekerAETFeatured
Predictions gradedPre-match view
A Derde Divisie cup tie in which Purmersteijn's home scoring of 2.43 goals per game meets a Gemert side with three clean sheets in their last six but also a 0-4 defeat at Noordwijk.
Purmersteijn winning or drawing is the likeliest result, yet 1.30 gives little. The one price worth taking is under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.62.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 61.7% · BetBugs 68%
Both teams' first-half numbers are low, pointing to a cagey opening.
Purmersteijn over 1.5Market 60.6% · BetBugs 62%
Purmersteijn's home scoring rate makes at least two goals a reasonable target.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 71% · Market 76.9%
Purmersteijn's strong home record and Gemert's draw-heavy profile make a home win or draw the broadest supported result.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

