De Treffers11 – 0Heracles Almelo0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.44

The read

Heracles' higher division and strong win rate make them the more likely winner despite the away cup tie.

• Heracles are a division above De Treffers and have 9 wins in 12 competitive matches.
• They average 3.08 goals for and 1.17 against, with 21.6 shots per match.
• De Treffers are unbeaten at home (3W 3D) but face a higher-level opponent.

BetBugs · Match WinnerlostHeracles AlmeloEstimated chance55%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.43

The read

Both sides have high-scoring profiles and concede regularly, so three or more goals is well supported.

• De Treffers average 4.00 total goals per competitive match (2.73 for, 1.27 against).
• Heracles average 4.25 total goals per competitive match (3.08 for, 1.17 against).
• Both Teams To Score landed in 8 of De Treffers' 11 and 8 of Heracles' 12 tracked matches.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.62

The read

De Treffers score consistently and Heracles have been vulnerable away, so both teams finding the net is supported.

• De Treffers scored in all 11 competitive matches and BTTS landed in 8.
• Heracles scored in 11 of 12 and BTTS landed in 8.
• Heracles had no clean sheet in 7 away matches, with BTTS in 6 of those 7.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.40

The read

Heracles create and score at a high rate away, so two or more goals is a reasonable ask.

• Heracles average 3.08 goals overall and 3.00 in away matches.
• They scored in 6 of 7 away matches and averaged 20.9 shots per away match.
• De Treffers conceded 1.00 goal per home match, leaving room for Heracles to score twice.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostHeracles Almelo over 1.5Estimated chance62%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20

The read

Both teams have strong first-half scoring averages, making at least one goal before the break a reasonable expectation.

• De Treffers average 1.27 first-half goals overall and 1.67 at home.
• Heracles average 1.58 first-half goals overall and 1.86 away.
• Both teams have first-half scoring data showing an early goal threat.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' second-half scoring and conceding numbers point to late goals on both sides.

• De Treffers average 1.45 second-half goals for and 0.91 against.
• Heracles average 1.50 second-half goals for and 0.75 against.
• Combined second-half scoring averages imply just under three goals per match.