Under 4.5
Market 63.7% · BetBugs 72%
Both teams' season averages point to a match in the three-goal range, below the 4.5 line.
UEFA Champions League WomenFull timeFeatured
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Chelsea are unbeaten at home with a full squad, while Roma have yet to score in the Champions League league phase.
Chelsea should win, and Roma to score under 1.5 goals is a reasonable sporting lean, but the 1.11 and 1.18 prices are too short. Under 4.5 total goals at 1.57 is the one worthwhile reviewed price; the 6-0 meeting is the obvious risk.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 63.7% · BetBugs 72%
Both teams' season averages point to a match in the three-goal range, below the 4.5 line.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
Chelsea WomenBetBugs 70% · Market 90.1%
Chelsea are unbeaten, stronger at home and have key players fresh for this match.
Roma Women under 1.5BetBugs 75% · Market 84.7%
Roma have been shut out by elite Champions League opposition and face a mean Chelsea defence.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
The 1.11 price requires 90.1%, above our 70.0% estimate.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Chelsea WomenPromotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1-0 | 4 |
| 16 | Roma Women | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-6 | 1 |

