Blackpool33 – 2Aston Villa U212

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.30

The read

Both teams' venue and recent goal totals make at least three goals the likelier side of this line.

• Blackpool home matches average 4.0 total goals; Villa U21 away matches average 3.0.
• Blackpool's last six competitive games produced 21 goals; Villa U21's last six produced 26.
• Blackpool have scored 13 and conceded 15 in 7 home matches; Villa U21 have scored 10 and conceded 11 in 7 away matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Blackpool's home scoring record and Villa's away defensive record make a Villa clean sheet unlikely.

• Blackpool scored in all 7 home matches; Villa U21 kept no clean sheets in 7 away matches.
• Blackpool average 1.86 goals at home; Villa U21 concede 1.57 away.
• Blackpool have scored in 7 of 7 home games and Villa have conceded in 7 of 7 away games.

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonBlackpool to scoreEstimated chance72%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.17

The read

Both teams have enough first-half scoring and conceding evidence to make at least one goal before the break likely.

• Blackpool home first-half goals average 1.0 for and 0.71 against.
• Villa U21 away first-half goals average 0.14 for and 0.86 against.
• Four of Blackpool's last six and five of Villa's last six first halves contained at least one goal.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Second-half goal rates are high for both teams, especially Blackpool's home matches.

• Blackpool home second-half goals average 0.86 for and 1.43 against.
• Villa U21 away second-half goals average 1.29 for and 0.71 against.
• Four of Blackpool's last six and three of Villa's last six games had at least two second-half goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.67

The read

Both teams' corner totals sit near or above the line, with Blackpool's recent games especially busy.

• Blackpool matches average 11.8 corners; their home matches average 9.6.
• Villa U21 matches average 14.0 corners; their two away corner records average 12.0.
• Blackpool's last six games average 11.5 corners.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The combined shot-on-target averages clear 9.5 even allowing for Villa's small sample.

• Blackpool matches average 11.0 shots on target; home average 12.0.
• Villa U21's two tracked shot-on-target matches average 11.5.
• Four of Blackpool's last six games had at least 10 shots on target.