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Predictions graded

Al Najma Manama2Al Hidd2

HT 1–0Sat 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions2–918%

Edges1–517%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 15 Oct 2026, 15:59 · Europe/Bucharest

Al Najma's habit of conceding at home meets an Al Hidd side that has given away just 0.50 goals per away game across eight matches.

The likely shape is a tight, low-scoring contest in which neither side is clearly favoured. No quoted price offers anything: either team to win at 1.30, Al Hidd level or ahead at half-time at 1.29 and fewer than three goals at 1.67 all ask for more than the records support.

Context

That away record is the main reason this looks like a low-scoring fixture: opponents have rarely managed more than one goal against Al Hidd on their travels. The same eight matches show Al Hidd scoring only 1.13 per game, so the defensive solidity comes with a blunt attack. Their most recent away outing was a 0-0 at Sitra on 12 September 2026.
- Al Hidd away split: 8 matches, 4W-1D-3L, 1.13 scored and 0.50 conceded per game (1 Feb–12 Sep 2026)
- Al Hidd away: 5 clean sheets in 8 matches
- Al Hidd overall: 8 goals scored and 9 conceded in 15 matches
Their home record carries no draws and a defence conceding more than two and a half goals a game, the clearest counterweight to Al Najma's recent wins. They still score at a reasonable 1.63 per home game. Their last two home outings were a 2-3 defeat to East Riffa on 11 September 2026 and a 2-7 loss to Khalidiya on 27 August 2026.
- Al Najma home split: 8 matches, 3W-0D-5L, 1.63 scored and 2.63 conceded per game (13 Mar–11 Sep 2026)
- Al Najma home: 1 clean sheet in 8 matches
- 27 Aug 2026: Al Najma 2-7 Khalidiya at home; 11 Sep 2026: Al Najma 2-3 East Riffa at home
League-only form sharpens the contrast: all six of Al Najma's points came away from home and both of their home matches ended in defeat, while Al Hidd collected all four of their points on the road without conceding. Four matches each is a small sample, but the split matches the longer home and away records. Al Najma sit sixth and Al Hidd ninth after four games.
- Al Najma league 2026: 4 played, 2W-2L, 7 scored and 10 conceded; home 0W-0D-2L with 4 scored and 10 conceded
- Al Hidd league 2026: 4 played, 1W-1D-2L, 2 scored and 2 conceded; away 1W-1D-0L with 2 scored and 0 conceded
In a fixture with no away win since 2022, the pattern favours the home side, and this time that is Al Najma. Their 1-0 win on 13 March 2026 was the tightest of the four straight home victories, while the earlier meetings produced at least three goals. The exception is the April 2022 meeting, which Al Hidd won 2-1 at Al Najma.
- 13 Mar 2026: Al Najma 1-0 Al Hidd
- 18 Oct 2025: Al Hidd 3-1 Al Najma
- 19 May 2024: Al Hidd 2-1 Al Najma
- 5 Feb 2024: Al Najma 4-2 Al Hidd

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 5

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double Chance First HalflostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Draw or Al Hidd

1.29fair 1.32

BetBugs 76% · Market 77.5%

−1.5ppshort

Al Hidd's away matches almost always reach half-time level, and the first period is low-scoring. Al Hidd have not conceded a first-half goal on their travels while Al Najma concede early at home.

Double ChancelostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Al Najma Manama or Al Hidd

1.30fair 1.41

BetBugs 71% · Market 76.9%

−5.9ppshort

Al Najma score reasonably at home but concede heavily there, while Al Hidd arrive with the stronger defensive record. Al Hidd have been solid on the road while Al Najma have conceded freely at home in the league.

Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Slight lean

Under 2.5

1.67fair 1.79

BetBugs 56% · Market 59.9%

−3.9ppshort

Al Hidd's defensive record and low scoring rate keep most of their matches below three goals.

First Half WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Draw

2.05fair 2.13

BetBugs 47% · Market 48.8%

−1.8ppshort

Al Hidd's away matches almost always reach half-time level, and the first period is low-scoring.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Al Najma Manama

2.63fair 2.78

BetBugs 36% · Market 38%

−2.0ppshort

Al Najma score reasonably at home but concede heavily there, while Al Hidd arrive with the stronger defensive record.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.63
The read
Al Najma score reasonably at home but concede heavily there, while Al Hidd arrive with the stronger defensive record.
- Al Najma home split: 8 matches, 3W-0D-5L, 1.63 scored and 2.63 conceded per game
- Al Hidd away split: 8 matches, 4W-1D-3L, only 0.50 conceded per game
- Al Najma recent 6: 4W-2L, 6 scored and 3 conceded
- Last head-to-head: Al Najma 1-0 Al Hidd on 13 March 2026
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostAl Najma ManamaEstimated chance36%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.05
The read
Al Hidd's away matches almost always reach half-time level, and the first period is low-scoring.
- Al Hidd away first-half split: 0.00 conceded and 0.375 scored per game in 8
- Al Hidd recent 6: 4 matches were level at half-time
- Al Najma home first-half split: 0.25 scored per game in 8
- Al Hidd overall first-half: 0.13 conceded per game
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance47%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams score modestly after the break, so an evenly shared second half is plausible.
- Al Najma home second-half split: 1.375 scored and 1.375 conceded per game
- Al Hidd away second-half split: 0.75 scored and 0.50 conceded per game
- Al Najma recent 6: second-half goals in 5 of 6 matches
- Al Hidd recent 6: no match had two or more second-half goals
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance37%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Al Najma score reasonably at home but concede heavily there, while Al Hidd arrive with the stronger defensive record. Al Hidd have been solid on the road while Al Najma have conceded freely at home in the league.
- Al Najma home split: 8 matches, 3W-0D-5L, 1.63 scored and 2.63 conceded per game
- Al Hidd away split: 8 matches, 4W-1D-3L, only 0.50 conceded per game
- Al Hidd league away record: 1W-1D-0L, 2 scored and 0 conceded
- Al Najma league home record: 0W-0D-2L, 4 scored and 10 conceded
BetBugs · Double ChancelostAl Najma Manama or Al HiddEstimated chance71%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.29
The read
Al Hidd's away matches almost always reach half-time level, and the first period is low-scoring. Al Hidd have not conceded a first-half goal on their travels while Al Najma concede early at home.
- Al Hidd away first-half split: 0.00 conceded and 0.375 scored per game in 8
- Al Hidd recent 6: 4 matches were level at half-time
- Al Hidd away first-half split: 0.375 scored and 0.00 conceded per game in 8
- Al Najma home first-half split: 1.25 conceded per game in 8
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostDraw or Al HiddEstimated chance76%

Goals2 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.67
The read
Al Hidd's defensive record and low scoring rate keep most of their matches below three goals.
- Al Hidd overall: only 8 goals scored and 9 conceded in 15 matches
- Al Hidd recent 6: 0 of 6 matches went over 2.5 goals
- Al Hidd away split: 0.50 conceded per game in 8
- Al Najma home split: 3W-0D-5L with 2.63 conceded per game
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.88
The read
Al Najma concede often at home while Al Hidd found the net in each of their last three wins.
- Al Najma home split: both teams scored in 7 of 8 matches
- Al Najma league home: 4 scored and 10 conceded in 2 games
- Al Hidd scored in 3 of their last 6 matches
- Al Hidd away split: 5 goals in 8 matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance54%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Al Hidd's away defence has rarely allowed two goals, which caps Al Najma's expected output.
- Al Hidd away split: 0.50 conceded per game in 8 matches
- Al Hidd away: 5 clean sheets in 8 matches
- Al Najma home split: 1.63 scored per game in 8
- Al Najma scored 2 or more in 5 of their last 6 matches
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostAl Najma Manama under 1.5Estimated chance53%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Al Hidd's attacking output has been limited all season, making two goals unlikely.
- Al Hidd overall: 8 goals in 15 matches, averaging 1.00 per game
- Al Hidd away split: 1.13 scored per game in 8
- Al Hidd scored more than once in only 1 of their last 6 matches
- Al Hidd recent 6: 4 clean sheets but a low scoring output
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostAl Hidd under 1.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Al Hidd's away first halves have repeatedly finished goalless, making a blank opening period likely.
- Al Hidd away first-half split: 0.00 conceded and 0.375 scored per game in 8
- Al Hidd recent 6: 4 matches had no first-half goals
- Al Najma home first-half split: 0.25 scored per game in 8
- Al Najma recent 6: first-half goals in 5 of 6 matches
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Al Najma's home second halves have regularly produced multiple goals, keeping this line near even.
- Al Najma home second-half split: 1.375 scored plus 1.375 conceded per game
- Al Najma recent 6: 5 of 6 matches had two or more second-half goals
- Al Hidd recent 6: 0 of 6 matches had two or more second-half goals
- Al Hidd away second-half split: 0.75 scored and 0.50 conceded per game
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance52%

Head-to-Head

1W · 0D · 4W

L1-0Al NajmavAl-HiddMar 13, 2026PL

L3-1Al-HiddvAl NajmaOct 18, 2025PL

L2-1Al-HiddvAl NajmaMay 19, 2024PL

L4-2Al NajmavAl-HiddFeb 5, 2024PL

W1-2Al NajmavAl-HiddApr 21, 2022PL

3.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Premier League 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
6	Al Najma Manama	4	2	0	2	7-10	6	WLWL
9	Al Hidd Premier League (Relegation)	4	1	1	2	2-2	4	LDLW

2pt gap between teamsAl Hidd in relegation zone

Recent Form

Al Najma Manama

W2-0SitraOct 11PL

L2-3East RiffaSep 11PL

W1-0MalkiyaSep 2PL

L2-7KhalidiyaAug 27PL

W3-2ManamaMay 30PL

W3-0BudaiyaMay 25PL

W2-1Al IttihadMay 21PL

L1-3KhalidiyaMay 16PL

W3-0Bahrain SCMay 10PL

L1-3MuharraqMay 4PL

L0-3MalkiyaApr 28PL

L1-2BudaiyaApr 16PL

D1-1Al ShababApr 2PL

W1-0Al-HiddMar 13PL

L0-1Al AhliFeb 20PL

Al Hidd

L0-1Al Ittifaq MaqabaOct 10PL

D0-0SitraSep 12PL

L0-1Al AhliSep 5PL

W2-0East RiffaAug 28PL

W1-0Al ShababMay 15PL

W1-0Al AhliMay 11PL

L0-1A'AliMay 4PL

L1-2KhalidiyaApr 27PL

L0-1MuharraqApr 16PL

W2-0BudaiyaApr 3PL

L0-1Al NajmaMar 13PL

W4-1SitraFeb 23PL

W3-0Al RiffaFeb 7PL

L0-1Bahrain SCFeb 1KIN

D1-1Bahrain SCJan 27PL

Squad & Injuries

Al Najma Manama

3 available

Attackers2

Midfielders1

Defenders0

Goalkeeper0

Al Hidd

4 available

Attackers2

Midfielders2

Defenders0

Goalkeeper0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Yes

Draw or Al Hidd

Al Najma Manama or Al Hidd

Under 2.5

Draw

Al Najma Manama

Result0 of 5 landed

Goals2 of 6 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Al Najma Manama

Al Hidd

Squad & Injuries

Al Najma Manama

Al Hidd