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Predictions graded

Chlef1MC Alger1

HT 0–1Tue 13 Oct 2026, 16:45 Predictions graded

Predictions9–564%

Edges2–340%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 12 Oct 2026, 16:07 · Europe/Bucharest

A winless, scoreless Chlef host the defending champions, but MC Alger have won only one of five away matches and travel to a CAF Champions League first leg in Nigeria days later.

MC Alger remain the likelier winners, probably in a tight, low-scoring game. No quoted price is worthwhile, including MC Alger at 1.88, fewer than three goals at 1.45, both teams not to score at 1.55 and level at half-time at 1.88.

Context

This league trip to Chlef comes days before MC Alger's CAF Champions League second-round first leg against Enugu Rangers in Abeokuta, with the return in Algiers a week later. As Algeria's only club in the competition, the champions are fitting a backlog of league fixtures around continental travel, and they still had two league games in hand after beating CR Témouchent on 9 October. The first-leg date is published only as a three-day window and no confirmed selection has been announced, so how heavily the trip shapes the XI remains unestablished.
- MC Alger face Enugu Rangers in the final CAF Champions League qualifying round, with the first leg in Abeokuta on 16-18 October and the return in Algiers on 23-25 October (Olaiya Azeez Lawal, 2026-09-12).
- MC Alger reached the round after beating AS Nigelec 5-0 on aggregate (Micky Jnr, 2026-09-12).
- MC Alger are the only Algerian club in this season's CAF Champions League (AlgerianFooty, 2026-09-13).
- MC Alger had won two of two league matches while still carrying two games in hand after 9 October (Vuvuzela.foot, 2026-10-09).
ConfirmedSources checked 12 Oct 2026, 16:03 · Europe/Bucharest
Ben Yahia's "no rest at Mouloudia" line, delivered in the wake of the 1-0 win over CR Témouchent, is the clearest public signal of how the champions are framing a spell that includes the Chlef league trip and a CAF Champions League qualifier. It matters here because it points to squad management and rotation rather than a settled first-choice XI, and the coach has already spoken about integrating new players. No team sheet or injury update has been published, so the comment should not be read as a confirmed rotation plan for Chlef.
- Ben Yahia said after the 1-0 win over CR Témouchent that there is no rest at Mouloudia while discussing upcoming matches (Shihab Presse, 2026-10-10).
- Asharq Bloomberg lists Ben Yahia as MC Alger's head coach among the league's highest-paid managers (2026-10-10).
ConfirmedSources checked 12 Oct 2026, 16:03 · Europe/Bucharest
Kohili has scored in each of MC Alger's two league wins this season, including the late winner against CR Témouchent on 9 October, and AfricaFoot reports he is now being watched by the Algeria A setup. That gives the champions a young match-winner to call on as they balance league fixtures with a CAF Champions League qualifier. The national-team item is a media report, not a call-up, and no source confirms whether he starts at Chlef.
- Kohili scored MC Alger's 77th-minute winner in the 1-0 home league win over CR Témouchent on 9 October (MCA Insider, 2026-10-09).
- He also scored in the 2-0 home win over MB Rouissat on 18 September (MCA Insider, 2026-09-18).
- AfricaFoot reported that Ben Ahmed Kouhili is knocking on the door of the Algeria A national team (Afropages, 2026-10-10).
ConfirmedSources checked 12 Oct 2026, 16:03 · Europe/Bucharest
Chlef's 1-0 defeat at JS Kabylie on 9 October left them bottom of Ligue 1 on a single point, and they have lost three league games in a row. They now host the defending champions still looking for a first win of the season, with their only point coming in the opening 3-3 home draw with CR Belouizdad. That gap is the central sporting backdrop to the fixture, though the available reporting contains no confirmed change in Chlef's coaching setup, selection or approach.
- RT Arabic reported Chlef stuck on one point at the bottom of the table after their 1-0 defeat at JS Kabylie on 9 October (Rt arabic - الجزائر, 2026-10-09).
- JS Kabylie won that match through an Aymen Mahious 12th-minute penalty (Vuvuzela.foot, 2026-10-09).
- Chlef's only point of the season came in a 3-3 home draw with CR Belouizdad on 5 September (Ligue 1 match record, 2026-09-05).
ConfirmedSources checked 12 Oct 2026, 16:03 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 5

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Both Teams to ScorelostUncertainty band: Lean

No

1.55fair 1.56

BetBugs 64% · Market 64.5%

−0.5ppshort

MC Alger's defence has been very hard to break and Chlef have struggled to score recently.

1st Half GoalswonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.53fair 1.61

BetBugs 62% · Market 65.4%

−3.4ppshort

Chlef's matches often feature a first-half goal and MC Alger score before the break regularly.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Under 2.5

1.45fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 69%

−9.0ppshort

Recent matches for both sides have been low-scoring and MC Alger's away games have produced few goals.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

MC Alger

1.88fair 2.04

BetBugs 49% · Market 53.2%

−4.2ppshort

MC Alger are the stronger side with a solid defence, while Chlef have managed one point from four league games.

First Half WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Draw

1.88fair 2.04

BetBugs 49% · Market 53.2%

−4.2ppshort

First-half scoring is low for both sides, making a level half-time score the most likely outcome.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.88
The read
MC Alger are the stronger side with a solid defence, while Chlef have managed one point from four league games.
- MC Alger have 7 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in 12 competitive matches
- MC Alger kept six clean sheets and concede 0.75 goals per game
- Chlef have one point from four league games and sit bottom of the table
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostMC AlgerEstimated chance49%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.88
The read
First-half scoring is low for both sides, making a level half-time score the most likely outcome.
- MC Alger concede 0.25 first-half goals per match
- Chlef average 0.4 first-half goals overall
- Chlef concede 0.867 first-half goals per match
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance49%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring is modest for both teams, making a level final period a strong possibility.
- Chlef average 0.4 second-half goals overall
- MC Alger concede 0.5 second-half goals overall
- Chlef concede 0.375 second-half goals at home
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance43%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Recent meetings between these sides have been tight and low-scoring, and MC Alger's away games have produced few goals. MC Alger are the stronger side with a solid defence, while Chlef have managed one point from four league games.
- Three of the last five meetings finished level
- The last two meetings both ended 0-0
- MC Alger have 7 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in 12 competitive matches
- MC Alger kept six clean sheets and concede 0.75 goals per game
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or MC AlgerEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First-half scoring is low for both sides, making a level half-time score the most likely outcome. MC Alger score steadily before the break while Chlef concede regularly in the first half.
- MC Alger concede 0.25 first-half goals per match
- Chlef average 0.4 first-half goals overall
- MC Alger average 0.75 first-half goals per competitive match
- Chlef concede 0.867 first-half goals per match
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostDraw or MC AlgerEstimated chance78%

Goals8 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.45
The read
Recent matches for both sides have been low-scoring and MC Alger's away games have produced few goals.
- MC Alger away matches average 2.2 goals combined
- MC Alger's last six matches produced five goals with five clean sheets
- The last three meetings produced two goals in total
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.55
The read
MC Alger's defence has been very hard to break and Chlef have struggled to score recently.
- MC Alger kept clean sheets in six of twelve competitive matches
- MC Alger kept five clean sheets in their last six matches
- Chlef have failed to score in their last three matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Chlef's recent scoring output is very low, making two or more goals unlikely.
- Chlef have failed to score in their last three matches
- Chlef average 1.125 goals per home match
- Chlef's four league games this season produced three goals
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonChlef under 1.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
MC Alger have found away goals hard to come by in the window.
- MC Alger average 0.8 goals per away match
- MC Alger scored two goals in five away matches
- MC Alger's two most recent away games produced no goals
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonMC Alger under 1.5Estimated chance73%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Chlef's defence has conceded regularly and MC Alger carry a clear goalscoring threat.
- MC Alger average 1.667 goals per competitive match
- Chlef conceded in five of eight home matches
- Chlef's defence shipped eight goals in four league games
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonMC Alger to scoreEstimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Chlef have found the net at home and MC Alger concede on their travels.
- Chlef scored six goals in eight home matches
- Chlef hit three in the home draw with CR Belouizdad
- MC Alger conceded in four of five away matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonChlef to scoreEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.53
The read
Chlef's matches often feature a first-half goal and MC Alger score before the break regularly.
- Chlef's home matches average 1.375 first-half goals combined
- Chlef concede 0.867 first-half goals per match
- MC Alger average 0.75 first-half goals per match
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First-half goals from both teams are uncommon in these sides' matches.
- MC Alger concede 0.25 first-half goals per match
- MC Alger score 0.2 first-half goals away
- Chlef have failed to score in their last three matches
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance87%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Neither side scores heavily after the break, keeping second-half totals low.
- Chlef's home second-half goals average 0.875 combined
- Chlef average 0.4 second-half goals overall
- MC Alger score 0.6 second-half goals per away match
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonUnder 1.5Estimated chance67%

Head-to-Head

0W · 3D · 2W

L2-0MC AlgervASO ChlefJun 5, 2026L1

D0-0ASO ChlefvMC AlgerJan 9, 2026L1

D0-0ASO ChlefvMC AlgerJun 17, 2025L1

D0-0MC AlgervASO ChlefDec 20, 2024L1

L6-3MC AlgervASO ChlefMar 14, 2024L1

MC Alger unbeaten in 5 meetingsChlef: 3 clean sheetsMC Alger: 4 clean sheets2.2 goals/game avg

League Table

Ligue 1 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
16	Chlef Relegation - Ligue 2	4	0	1	3	3-8	1	LLLD
5	MC Alger	2	2	0	0	3-0	6	WW

5pt gap between teamsChlef in relegation zone

Recent Form

Chlef

L0-1JS KabylieOct 9L1

L0-1MC OranSep 18L1

L0-3CS ConstantineSep 12L1

D3-3CR BelouizdadSep 5L1

L0-2MC AlgerJun 5L1

L1-2JS KabylieMay 20L1

L0-1MC OranMay 7L1

W1-0Olympique AkbouApr 17L1

L1-2Ben AknounApr 10L1

W2-1USM AlgerApr 5L1

L1-2CR BelouizdadMar 18L1

W1-0MostaganemMar 13L1

W1-0ES SetifMar 6L1

D1-1MB RouissetFeb 28L1

L0-2CS ConstantineFeb 20L1

MC Alger

W1-0TémouchentOct 9L1

W2-0MB RouissetSep 18L1

W5-0NIGELECSep 12CAF

D0-0NIGELECSep 6CAF

L1-3Al ShababAug 3FRI

W2-0Al-Hilal Saudi FCJul 29FRI

D1-1Mamelodi SundownsJul 27FRI

W2-0ASO ChlefJun 5L1

L0-1ES SetifMay 20L1

D1-1MB RouissetMay 8L1

W2-1Olympique AkbouApr 28L1

W3-2Ben AknounApr 21L1

L0-2CS ConstantineApr 16L1

W3-0El BayadhApr 9L1

L1-2JS SaouraApr 5L1

Squad & Injuries

Chlef

25 available

Attackers7

Midfielders8

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

MC Alger

28 available

Attackers9

Midfielders7

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3