South Korea22 – 0Uzbekistan0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Korea have the stronger squad, home advantage and a long record of beating Uzbekistan, so they are the clearer favourite without being dominant.

• South Korea have won 11, drawn four and lost one of 16 meetings with Uzbekistan.
• The most recent meeting was a 4-0 South Korea friendly win in Brisbane in November 2018.
• South Korea scored two goals and conceded three across their three 2026 World Cup matches.
• The friendly is at Yongin Mireu Stadium in South Korea.

BetBugs · Match WinnerSouth KoreaEstimated chance51%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Korea's tracked games have all been level at the break and Uzbekistan often start cautiously, so the interval is most likely to be all square.

• All three of South Korea's tracked matches were level at half-time.
• Uzbekistan were level at half-time once in six tracked matches.
• Neither side has scored more than two first-half goals in a tracked match.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Korea's only tracked goals came after the break and Uzbekistan have conceded regularly late in games.

• Both of South Korea's tracked goals came in the second half against Czechia.
• Uzbekistan conceded eight second-half goals across six tracked matches.
• Uzbekistan scored no second-half goals in their last two tracked matches.

BetBugs · Second Half WinnerSouth KoreaEstimated chance44%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Korea have the stronger squad, home advantage and a long record of beating Uzbekistan, so they are the clearer favourite without being dominant. Korea have not been free-scoring and Uzbekistan have been competitive in this window, so a level score is a realistic outcome in a friendly.

• South Korea have won 11, drawn four and lost one of 16 meetings with Uzbekistan.
• The most recent meeting was a 4-0 South Korea friendly win in Brisbane in November 2018.
• South Korea drew 0-0 with Venezuela in their most recent match of this window.
• Four of the 16 previous meetings between the sides ended level.

BetBugs · Double ChanceSouth Korea or DrawEstimated chance78%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Korea have the better squad and home crowd, so they hold the best chance of a first-half lead even though they have started slowly. Korea's tracked games have all been level at the break and Uzbekistan often start cautiously, so the interval is most likely to be all square.

• South Korea scored no first-half goals in their three tracked matches.
• South Korea's stronger squad and home support should let them start on the front foot.
• All three of South Korea's tracked matches were level at half-time.
• Uzbekistan were level at half-time once in six tracked matches.

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfSouth Korea or DrawEstimated chance80%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.73

The read

Uzbekistan's recent games have been open and Korea concede regularly, which makes three goals in the match more likely than fewer.

• The nine tracked matches involving these teams produced 29 goals, an average of 3.2 per game.
• Uzbekistan's six tracked matches averaged four goals each.
• South Korea conceded in all three of their 2026 World Cup matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.73

The read

Korea have not kept a clean sheet recently and Uzbekistan score in most games, so both teams finding the net is the more likely outcome.

• South Korea conceded in all three of their tracked 2026 World Cup matches.
• Uzbekistan scored in five of their six tracked matches.
• Both teams scored in four of Uzbekistan's six tracked matches.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Korea's recent scoring has been sparse, with two goals in three competitive games, so one goal or none is a reasonable expectation.

• South Korea have scored two goals in their three tracked competitive matches.
• Korea failed to score in two of those three matches.
• Korea drew 0-0 with Venezuela in their most recent outing.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalSouth Korea under 1.5Estimated chance57%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Uzbekistan's World Cup output was limited to single goals and Korea's defence has been reasonably tight, so a small away total is more likely.

• Uzbekistan scored one goal or none in three of their six tracked matches.
• Uzbekistan's three World Cup matches produced two goals in total.
• South Korea's opponents averaged one goal per tracked match.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalUzbekistan under 1.5Estimated chance69%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Uzbekistan's games almost always produce a first-half goal, which outweighs Korea's run of goalless first halves.

• Uzbekistan's six tracked matches produced ten first-half goals.
• Uzbekistan scored before half-time in four of six tracked matches.
• South Korea's three tracked matches were all 0-0 at half-time.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Second halves have been the highest-scoring period in both teams' recent matches.

• Uzbekistan's six tracked matches averaged 2.3 second-half goals.
• South Korea's three tracked matches produced five second-half goals, an average of 1.7.
• Uzbekistan conceded three second-half goals against Congo DR.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Combined corner counts in the tracked matches have generally stayed below the line.

• South Korea's three tracked matches averaged 7.0 corners in total.
• Uzbekistan's three matches with corner data averaged 6.0 in total.
• No team in these matches averaged more than four corners.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Every tracked match involving either side cleared this line, with both teams' games producing around 20 shots or more.

• South Korea's tracked matches averaged 20 total shots.
• Uzbekistan's tracked matches averaged 23 total shots.
• The lowest total across the six tracked matches was 17.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' recent matches have produced shots on target totals above the line in five of six games.

• South Korea's tracked matches averaged 7.7 shots on target in total.
• Uzbekistan's tracked matches averaged 7.3 shots on target in total.
• Five of the six tracked matches had six or more shots on target.