US Virgin Islands00 – 5Saint Martin5

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Saint Martin have been the stronger side after the interval and USVI concede steadily in second halves.

• Saint Martin scored 12 goals after half-time in their last six matches
• Saint Martin scored two or more after the break in four of their last six

BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonSaint MartinEstimated chance35%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

USVI hold the head-to-head win, home conditions and the better recent results, while Saint Martin's biggest wins came against Bahamas and Bonaire. Saint Martin have the stronger scoring record of late and created far more chances in the first meeting, even though they lost it.

• US Virgin Islands won the 26 September meeting 2-0, with Jannick Liburd scoring twice
• USVI followed that with a 3-1 win over Bahamas on 29 September
• Saint Martin beat Bahamas 8-0 and Bonaire 3-0 in their last three matches
• They out-shot USVI 29-11 and took 12 corners to 3 on 26 September

BetBugs · Double ChancewonUS Virgin Islands or Saint MartinEstimated chance75%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams score and concede regularly, and Saint Martin's recent games have been high-scoring.

• USVI's last six matches finished 3-1, 2-0, 0-2, 5-2, 1-3 and 0-5
• Saint Martin have scored 16 goals in their last six matches
• USVI have kept one clean sheet in 14 competitive matches
• Four of Saint Martin's last six matches went over this line

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Saint Martin's recent defensive record makes a lower USVI total the more likely side of this line.

• USVI were held to one goal or fewer in three of their last six matches
• Saint Martin have conceded four goals across their last six matches

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonUS Virgin Islands under 1.5Estimated chance62%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have conceded early often, and every USVI match in the recent window had a first-half goal.

• All six of USVI's recent matches had at least one first-half goal
• Three of Saint Martin's last six first halves produced a goal
• USVI concede an average of 1.0 first-half goals per competitive match

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20

The read

The recent half-time scorelines for both teams show that only one side tends to score before the break.

• None of USVI's last six first halves had goals for both teams
• None of Saint Martin's last six first halves had goals for both teams
• Saint Martin concede 0.4 first-half goals per competitive match on average

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Saint Martin created 12 corners in the last meeting and both teams' matches average around this line.

• The 26 September meeting produced 15 corners, 12 of them to Saint Martin
• USVI's matches average about 11 combined corners
• USVI's opponents average 7.7 corners per match
• Saint Martin average 7.0 corners and concede 4.0 per match

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches are shot-heavy and the first meeting produced 40 attempts.

• The first meeting produced 40 shots, 29 of them by Saint Martin
• USVI's matches with shot data average about 30 combined shots
• Saint Martin average 16.8 shots and concede 9.2 per match

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Combined shots on target sit close to this line, with the first meeting just missing it.

• The first meeting produced 9 shots on target, 6-3 to Saint Martin
• USVI's matches with data average about 12 combined shots on target
• Saint Martin's matches with data average about 10 combined

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Recent meetings and USVI's tracked matches have stayed under this line.

• The first meeting produced three yellow cards and no reds
• USVI's card-tracked matches average 2.6 yellows combined