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Predictions graded

Gateshead0Altrincham1

HT 0–1Tue 29 Sept 2026, 18:45 Predictions graded

Predictions9–564%

Edges6–275%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 27 Sep 2026, 07:47 · Europe/Bucharest

Gateshead sit bottom after a 1-6 home loss to Southend and a 4-0 defeat at Wealdstone, with four points from nine league games; Altrincham have won six of their last seven.

Altrincham to win at 2.05 is the plain read, and the same side at 2.5 to be ahead at half-time, 1.36 to win or draw and 1.25 to be level or ahead at the break are among six reviewed prices that come out ahead. The 1.25 on any first-half goal does not hold up.

Context

Gateshead's last two league games ended in a 1-6 home defeat by Southend and a 4-0 loss at Wealdstone, a run that has left them in the bottom two and drawn open calls for the manager's dismissal. Cattermole remains in charge, so Tuesday's home fixture is the club's next chance to respond, and a manager under this much scrutiny is the likeliest source of any change in personnel or approach. The damage has been concentrated since mid-September, with ten goals conceded in two matches, but there is no confirmed change of manager or setup to work from.
- Gateshead lost 4-0 at Wealdstone on 26 September, days after a 1-6 home defeat by Southend on 19 September.
- The results left Gateshead in the bottom two of the National League.
- Supporters chanted for Lee Cattermole's dismissal during the Southend defeat, and calls for his removal continued after the Wealdstone loss.
ReportedSources checked 27 Sep 2026, 07:44 · Europe/Bucharest
Evans has been Altrincham's first-choice goalkeeper, and a calf injury is expected to keep him out for around ten to twelve weeks, with A. Firth starting the recent league games in his place. Altrincham have still won comfortably with the deputy, including a 3-0 clean sheet at home to Hornchurch, so the competitive cost has been limited so far. The caveat is that a long-term absence thins a specialist position for a midweek away fixture.
- Altrincham goalkeeper Owen Evans is set to miss around 10-12 weeks with a calf injury sustained in September.
- A. Firth has started in his place, keeping a clean sheet in the 3-0 home win over Hornchurch on 26 September.
- O. Evans started 3 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
- A. Firth started in the same position in 2 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups when O. Evans did not start.
ReportedSources checked 27 Sep 2026, 07:44 · Europe/Bucharest
Gateshead have not led at half-time in any of their ten competitive matches this season and have shipped 12 first-half goals in the same run. Starting slowly against a side in Altrincham's form means the home team is likely to be chasing the game, and an early away goal would leave Gateshead needing a response they have not produced before the break all season.
- Gateshead's ten competitive matches tracked from 8 August to 19 September 2026 contain zero first-half goals, an average of 0.0 per game.
- Over the same ten matches Gateshead conceded 12 first-half goals (average 1.2) and recorded one win, one draw and eight defeats.
Altrincham's six wins from seven league games have been built mainly at home; on the road they have lost three of five and conceded nine. Gateshead's one league win and one home draw both came at this ground, which is the main reason the gap between the clubs may not translate into a one-sided game.
- Altrincham's 2026-27 National League away record to 24 September 2026: five played, two wins, three defeats, five scored, nine conceded.
- Gateshead's home league record over the same period: four played, one win, one draw, two defeats, four scored, eight conceded.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 7

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 2.05
The read
Altrincham's strong recent scoring and Gateshead's poor defense make an away win the most likely result.
- Altrincham have won six of their last seven league games, including 3-0 over Hornchurch on 26 September.
- Altrincham won both 2025-26 meetings with Gateshead, 2-0 away and 3-1 at home.
- Gateshead are bottom with 4 points from 9 and have conceded 20 league goals.
- Altrincham have scored two goals in five of their last six league matches.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAltrinchamEstimated chance66%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.50
The read
Altrincham's early scoring and Gateshead's poor first-half defense point to an away lead at the break.
- Altrincham have scored first-half goals in five of their last six league games.
- Gateshead have conceded 1.6 first-half goals per home game.
- Gateshead have not scored a first-half goal in ten competitive matches.
- Altrincham average 0.9 first-half goals per game overall.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonAltrinchamEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The second half could be even because both teams have mixed records after the break.
- Gateshead have drawn the second half in three of their last six matches.
- Altrincham have drawn the second half in one of their last six league games.
- Altrincham average 0.7 second-half goals both scored and conceded away.
- Gateshead's home matches average 1.6 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.36
The read
A draw needs Altrincham to be held, but their recent run and Gateshead's defeats point away from it. Altrincham's strong recent scoring and Gateshead's poor defense make an away win the most likely result.
- Gateshead have drawn one of four home league games.
- Altrincham have no draws in nine league games this season.
- Altrincham have won six of their last seven league games, including 3-0 over Hornchurch on 26 September.
- Altrincham won both 2025-26 meetings with Gateshead, 2-0 away and 3-1 at home.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or AltrinchamEstimated chance86%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Gateshead's blank first-half record makes a level half-time score quite possible. Altrincham's early scoring and Gateshead's poor first-half defense point to an away lead at the break.
- Gateshead have not scored a first-half goal in ten competitive matches.
- Altrincham were level at half-time in three of their last six league games.
- Altrincham have scored first-half goals in five of their last six league games.
- Gateshead have conceded 1.6 first-half goals per home game.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or AltrinchamEstimated chance95%

Goals4 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.67
The read
Both teams are involved in high-scoring games, and Altrincham's attack should create chances.
- Gateshead's nine league games have produced 26 goals, with 6 scored and 20 conceded.
- Altrincham's nine league games have produced 27 goals, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
- Altrincham's last six league matches all had at least three goals.
- Gateshead's last two matches finished 1-6 and 4-0.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Gateshead score at home and Altrincham usually concede, while Altrincham's attack is reliable.
- Gateshead have scored exactly one goal in each of their last three home matches in all competitions.
- Altrincham have conceded in all six of their most recent league matches.
- Altrincham scored in all six of those matches.
- Gateshead have scored in four of their last six matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Gateshead's low scoring rate suggests they are unlikely to score two or more.
- Gateshead average 1.0 goal per home league game.
- They have scored exactly one goal in each of their last three home matches in all competitions.
- Altrincham have conceded in every away league game but often just once.
- Gateshead have scored six league goals in nine games.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonGateshead under 1.5Estimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Altrincham's recent scoring pattern and Gateshead's weak defense point to at least two away goals.
- Altrincham have scored two goals in five of their last six league matches.
- They have scored five goals in five away league games.
- Gateshead have conceded 20 goals in nine league games.
- Altrincham won 3-0 at home to Hornchurch on 26 September.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostAltrincham over 1.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Altrincham's consistent scoring makes it very likely Gateshead concede at least once.
- Gateshead have conceded in nine of ten competitive matches.
- Altrincham have scored in their last six league matches.
- Altrincham have scored two goals in five of their last six league matches.
- Gateshead's defense concedes 2.3 goals per game overall.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonAltrincham to scoreEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Gateshead's habit of scoring at home and Altrincham's poor away clean-sheet record make a shutout unlikely.
- Gateshead have scored exactly one goal in each of their last three home matches in all competitions.
- Altrincham conceded in each of their six league matches before 26 September.
- Gateshead have scored six goals in nine league games.
- Altrincham have conceded in every away league game this season.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostGateshead to scoreEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Both teams have been involved in first halves with goals often enough to expect at least one.
- Gateshead's last six matches produced first-half goals in four.
- Altrincham's last six league matches produced first-half goals in five.
- Gateshead have conceded 1.2 first-half goals per game.
- Altrincham have scored first-half goals in five of their last six league games.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Gateshead's blank first-half record makes it very unlikely both teams score before the break.
- Gateshead have zero first-half goals in ten competitive matches.
- Altrincham have conceded in the first half in four of their last six league games.
- Altrincham have scored first-half goals in five of their last six league games.
- Gateshead have not scored a first-half goal at home all season.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance93%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Gateshead's recent second halves have often had goals, but Altrincham's away games are quieter after the break.
- Four of Gateshead's last six matches had two or more second-half goals.
- Two of Altrincham's last six league matches had two or more second-half goals.
- Gateshead's home matches average 1.6 second-half goals.
- Altrincham's away matches average 1.3 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance52%

Head-to-Head

1W · 1D · 3W

L3-1AltrinchamvGatesheadApr 25, 2026NAT

L0-2GatesheadvAltrinchamSep 3, 2025NAT

L0-1GatesheadvAltrinchamFeb 15, 2025NAT

D2-2AltrinchamvGatesheadOct 19, 2024NAT

W2-3AltrinchamvGatesheadMar 23, 2024NAT

Altrincham: 2 clean sheets3.2 goals/game avg

League Table

National League 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
24	Gateshead Relegation	9	1	1	7	6-20	4	LLLDL
10	Altrincham	9	5	0	4	12-15	15	WWLWW

11pt gap between teamsGateshead in relegation zone

Recent Form

Gateshead

L1-6SouthendSep 19NAT

L0-1Kidderminster HarriersSep 16NAT

L0-4Forest GreenSep 12NAT

L1-3Derby County U21Sep 8NAT

D1-1Solihull MoorsSep 5NAT

L1-2Harrogate TownAug 31NAT

L0-1Sutton UtdAug 28NAT

L0-3Yeovil TownAug 22NAT

W2-0WokingAug 15NAT

L1-2EastleighAug 8NAT

L1-2Spennymoor TownAug 1FRI

L1-4South ShieldsJul 28FRI

D1-1NewcastleJul 25FRI

D3-3Hebburn TownJul 14FRI

D1-1Heaton StanningtonJul 11FRI

Altrincham

W2-1AFC FyldeSep 19NAT

W2-1HartlepoolSep 16NAT

L1-5WokingSep 12NAT

W2-1EastleighSep 4NAT

W2-1Forest GreenAug 31NAT

W2-1FC Halifax TownAug 28NAT

L0-1Boston UnitedAug 22NAT

L0-1Sutton UtdAug 15NAT

L1-3SouthendAug 8NAT

W1-0Manchester United U21Jul 31FRI

L2-5MacclesfieldJul 25FRI

D0-0ChorleyJul 21FRI

D2-2Colwyn BayJul 11FRI

W3-1GatesheadApr 25NAT

W2-1Sutton UtdApr 18NAT

Squad & Injuries

Gateshead

31 available

Attackers6

Midfielders15

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

Altrincham

25 available

Attackers9

Midfielders8

Defenders6

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Altrincham

Altrincham

Draw or Altrincham

No

Draw or Altrincham

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Result5 of 5 landed

Goals4 of 9 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Gateshead

Altrincham

Squad & Injuries

Gateshead

Altrincham