National LeagueFull timeFeatured

Predictions graded

Wealdstone4Gateshead0

HT 2–0Sat 26 Sept 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–567%

Edges2–340%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 24 Sep 2026, 17:56 · Europe/Bucharest

Two of the National League's poorest records meet at Grosvenor Vale: Gateshead have lost all five away league games, conceding 12, while Wealdstone have won none of their four at home.

Wealdstone are the likelier winners, but 1.67 asks more than that form supports. The prices with something behind them are Gateshead to win at 4.2, no goal in the first half at 3.4, and both teams not scoring before the break at 1.22.

Context

Gateshead have lost seven of their last nine National League games, and a six-goal half-time deficit at home has turned the manager's position into an open talking point. Supporters barracked Cattermole during that game, and the club's supporters' society wrote to the club four days later about fans' concerns. The practical question for this fixture is whether he changes personnel or set-up for the trip to Ruislip. No official statement has put his job under notice, so a selection or mood effect remains a reasonable inference rather than a confirmed change.
- Southend led 6-0 at half-time before winning 6-1 at Gateshead on 19 September 2026.
- Gateshead's own account posted Cattermole saying 'Unacceptable result' after the match.
- Southend reporter Chris Phillips reported Gateshead fans singing about his dismissal during the game on 19 September 2026.
- The Gateshead FC Supporters Society said on 23 September 2026 that it had written to the club addressing supporters' concerns.
ConfirmedSources checked 24 Sep 2026, 17:54 · Europe/Bucharest
A straight red for denying a goalscoring opportunity carries an automatic ban, so the defender who has worn Wealdstone's captain's armband this season is expected to sit out the visit of Gateshead. Wealdstone played the closing stages at Tamworth with ten men and have now lost three of their last four league matches, conceding in each. Whether Gary Waddock replaces McAvoy like-for-like or adjusts the shape of the back line is the clearest selection question on the home side. The ban applies unless the club appeals successfully, which is unusual for this type of dismissal.
- Connor McAvoy was sent off in the 67th minute of Wealdstone's 1-2 defeat at Tamworth on 19 September 2026 for denying a goalscoring opportunity.
- The club's own interview on 1 September 2026 covered McAvoy wearing the captain's armband for Wealdstone.
- C. McAvoy started 4 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ConfirmedSources checked 24 Sep 2026, 17:54 · Europe/Bucharest
Gateshead sit bottom of the 24-team National League with four points from nine league games, six goals scored and 20 conceded, and the away half of that record is the worst part of it. Wealdstone's incentive is obvious, but they have problems of their own, having won none of their four home league games. A side with five straight away defeats can still be awkward on the day, and Gateshead have the better of this fixture's recent results.
- Gateshead's National League away record before this fixture: 5 played, 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses, 2 goals scored, 12 conceded.
- Gateshead are 24th of 24 with 4 points from 9 league games, 6 goals scored and 20 conceded, per standings fetched 24 September 2026.
Those four league home games produced one point, three goals scored and nine conceded, an average of 2.25 goals against per home match. It means a home fixture against the bottom club is not the comfortable assignment the table might suggest. Gateshead's away record is worse still, five defeats from five, which is why the home side remain the likelier winner despite that return.
- Wealdstone's league home record from 15 August to 15 September 2026: 4 played, 0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, 3 goals scored, 9 conceded.
- That is one point from four home league games and an average of 2.25 goals conceded per home league match.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Gateshead have lost all five away league games and concede heavily on the road, leaving the home side with the better of two poor records.
- Wealdstone league home record: 4 played, 0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, 3 scored, 9 conceded
- Gateshead away league record: 5 played, 5 losses, 2 scored, 12 conceded
- Gateshead overall in 10 competitive matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 8 losses, 0.7 scored and 2.3 conceded per game
- Head-to-head: Gateshead won 3 of the last 5, including 1-0 in March 2026
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonWealdstoneEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Wealdstone rarely build a half-time lead and Gateshead's six-goal collapse at Southend aside, first halves have been tight.
- Gateshead have scored 0 first-half goals in 10 competitive matches
- Wealdstone were level at half-time in 3 of their last 6 matches
- Wealdstone average 0.55 first-half goals scored and 0.45 conceded
- Gateshead have trailed at half-time in 4 of their last 6 matches
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance49%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Wealdstone score slightly more after the break than Gateshead, who concede 1.6 second-half goals in away matches.
- Wealdstone average 1.09 second-half goals scored and 1.18 conceded
- Gateshead average 0.7 second-half goals scored and 1.1 conceded
- Gateshead average 1.6 second-half goals conceded away from home
- Wealdstone have scored 5 second-half goals at home in 6 matches
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonWealdstoneEstimated chance39%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Gateshead have lost all five away league games and concede heavily on the road, leaving the home side with the better of two poor records. Gateshead have the recent head-to-head record and Wealdstone have taken a single point from four home league games.
- Wealdstone league home record: 4 played, 0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, 3 scored, 9 conceded
- Gateshead away league record: 5 played, 5 losses, 2 scored, 12 conceded
- Gateshead won 3 of the last 5 meetings, including 1-0 in March 2026
BetBugs · Double ChancewonWealdstone or GatesheadEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Gateshead have not scored before half-time all season and Wealdstone have led at the break in half of their recent games. Wealdstone rarely build a half-time lead and Gateshead's six-goal collapse at Southend aside, first halves have been tight.
- Gateshead have scored 0 first-half goals in 10 competitive matches
- Wealdstone led at half-time in 3 of their last 6 matches
- Wealdstone were level at half-time in 3 of their last 6 matches
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonWealdstone or DrawEstimated chance85%

Goals6 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Both teams' league matches are averaging around three goals and both defences concede regularly.
- Wealdstone average 1.64 scored and 1.64 conceded per competitive match
- Gateshead average 0.7 scored and 2.3 conceded per competitive match
- Wealdstone's four league home games have produced 12 goals in total
- Gateshead's five away league games have produced 14 goals in total
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.67
The read
Wealdstone score and concede regularly, and Gateshead have found the net in half of their competitive matches.
- Wealdstone both scored in 7 of 11 competitive matches
- Gateshead both scored in 5 of 10 competitive matches
- Wealdstone kept 2 clean sheets in 11 and Gateshead 1 in 10
- Wealdstone's four league home games have produced 9 goals conceded
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Wealdstone's league home scoring is three goals in four games, a low base for them to reach two.
- Wealdstone have scored 3 goals in 4 league home games
- Wealdstone average 1.67 goals per home match across competitions
- Gateshead kept 1 clean sheet in 10 competitive matches
- Wealdstone were held scoreless by Halifax at home on 15 September
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostWealdstone under 1.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Gateshead's away goals come at 0.4 per game, so reaching two in one match is well against their pattern.
- Gateshead have scored 2 goals in 5 away league games (0.4 per game)
- Gateshead have scored 0.7 goals per competitive match
- Gateshead have not scored a first-half goal in 10 competitive matches
- Wealdstone have kept 2 clean sheets in 11 competitive matches
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonGateshead under 1.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Wealdstone have kept two clean sheets all season and have conceded in every home league game.
- Wealdstone kept 2 clean sheets in 11 competitive matches
- Wealdstone concede 2.25 goals per league home game
- Gateshead scored in 6 of 10 competitive matches
- Wealdstone conceded in all four of their league home games
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostGateshead to scoreEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Wealdstone have scored in nine of 11 matches and Gateshead have conceded 12 in five away league games.
- Wealdstone scored in 9 of 11 competitive matches
- Wealdstone have failed to score in only 2 of 11 competitive matches
- Gateshead have kept 1 clean sheet in 10 competitive matches
- Gateshead have conceded 12 goals in 5 away league games
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonWealdstone to scoreEstimated chance84%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Wealdstone have not kept opponents out at home in the league this season, so winning without conceding is unlikely.
- Wealdstone kept 2 clean sheets in 11 competitive matches
- Wealdstone conceded in all four league home games
- Gateshead scored in 6 of 10 competitive matches
- Wealdstone have conceded 9 goals in 4 league home games
BetBugs · Home Win to NillostNoEstimated chance86%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' first halves produce around a goal in total and five of Wealdstone's last six matches had one before the break.
- Wealdstone average 1.0 first-half goals in total per match
- Gateshead average 1.2 first-half goals in total per match
- 5 of Wealdstone's last 6 matches had a first-half goal
- 5 of Wealdstone's last 6 matches and 4 of Gateshead's last 6 had a first-half goal
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
Gateshead have not scored before half-time all season, so both teams scoring in the first half is very unlikely.
- Gateshead have scored 0 first-half goals in 10 competitive matches
- Wealdstone average 0.45 first-half goals conceded
- Wealdstone were level at half-time in 3 of their last 6 matches
- Wealdstone have conceded 5 first-half goals in 11 competitive matches
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance90%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second halves involving Wealdstone produce more than two goals on average and Gateshead concede late goals on the road.
- Wealdstone's second halves average 2.27 goals in total
- Wealdstone's home second halves average 2.67 goals in total
- Gateshead's second halves average 1.8 goals in total
- Gateshead concede 1.6 second-half goals per away match
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance52%

Head-to-Head

0W · 1D · 4W

L1-0GatesheadvWealdstoneMar 17, 2026NAT

D2-2WealdstonevGatesheadSep 13, 2025NAT

L0-4WealdstonevGatesheadFeb 8, 2025NAT

L1-0GatesheadvWealdstoneOct 5, 2024NAT

L2-4WealdstonevGatesheadFeb 17, 2024NAT

Gateshead unbeaten in 5 meetingsGateshead: 3 clean sheets3.2 goals/game avg

League Table

National League 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
20	Wealdstone	9	2	2	5	11-15	8	LLWLW
24	Gateshead Relegation	9	1	1	7	6-20	4	LLLDL

4pt gap between teamsGateshead in relegation zone

Recent Form

Wealdstone

L1-2TamworthSep 19NAT

L0-1FC Halifax TownSep 15NAT

W3-1Boston UnitedSep 12NAT

W6-0Stoke City U21Sep 8NAT

L1-4Kidderminster HarriersSep 5NAT

W2-0Sutton UtdAug 31NAT

D1-1CarlisleAug 28NAT

L0-1WorthingAug 22NAT

L1-3Wolves U21Aug 18NAT

L1-3Harrogate TownAug 15NAT

D2-2AFC FyldeAug 8NAT

W2-0Slough TownAug 1FRI

W1-0AFC WimbledonJul 28FRI

W2-0Milton Keynes DonsJul 25FRI

L0-2Chertsey TownJul 21FRI

Gateshead

L1-6SouthendSep 19NAT

L0-1Kidderminster HarriersSep 16NAT

L0-4Forest GreenSep 12NAT

L1-3Derby County U21Sep 8NAT

D1-1Solihull MoorsSep 5NAT

L1-2Harrogate TownAug 31NAT

L0-1Sutton UtdAug 28NAT

L0-3Yeovil TownAug 22NAT

W2-0WokingAug 15NAT

L1-2EastleighAug 8NAT

L1-2Spennymoor TownAug 1FRI

L1-4South ShieldsJul 28FRI

D1-1NewcastleJul 25FRI

D3-3Hebburn TownJul 14FRI

D1-1Heaton StanningtonJul 11FRI

Squad & Injuries

Wealdstone

29 available

Attackers5

Midfielders11

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Gateshead

31 available

Attackers6

Midfielders15

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 0.5 goals in 1st half

No

Gateshead

Over 2.5

Yes

Result4 of 5 landed

Goals6 of 10 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Wealdstone

Gateshead

Squad & Injuries

Wealdstone

Gateshead