Scottish Challenge CupFull time

Predictions graded

Queen of the South4Rangers B2

HT 2–1Sat 26 Sept 2026, 19:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–467%

Edges4–180%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Sep 2026, 17:54 · Europe/Bucharest

Queen of the South have not lost in this competition, yet they conceded twelve goals in two September league games, and Rangers' Under-19s have won two of eleven away matches.

The senior side still looks the likelier winner, but 1.95 on a home win asks for more than the case supports, and the 1.22 on either team to win needs a no-draw outcome about four times in five. The one price that offers something is both teams to score — No at 2.5.

Context

Queen of the South have taken eight points from four league-phase games, two more than the six collected by the academy visitors, and the format permits draws, as both clubs' 1-1 results on 22 September illustrate. Rangers' Under-19s have been the away side in every league-phase fixture, the standard arrangement for B teams here, so the trip to Palmerston is a familiar routine rather than a novelty. The counterweight is that the home side's unbeaten record has been built against a Lowland League club, an under-21 team and two lower-division sides, so it says more about the format than about how Saturday will unfold.
- Queen of the South have won two and drawn two of their Challenge Cup league-phase matches this season and are unbeaten in the competition.
- Rangers' Under-19s moved onto six points in the league phase with a 2-1 win away to Clyde on 22 September 2026.
- Rangers' Under-19s have played every league-phase game away from home this season.
ConfirmedSources checked 25 Sep 2026, 17:52 · Europe/Bucharest
Ross County's 8-0 win on 15 September was their largest league margin since joining the SPFL, and Hamilton Academical then won 4-1 against the same defence four days later. Within the same fortnight that squad took a Challenge Cup league-phase point against Annan Athletic, which is why the cup night reads differently from the league table. The specific exposure for the home side is a young visiting attack that has scored twice in each of its last two away games in this competition.
- Queen of the South lost 8-0 at Ross County on 15 September 2026 and 4-1 at Hamilton Academical on 19 September 2026.
- The 8-0 result was Ross County's biggest winning margin in a league match since they joined the SPFL.
- Queen of the South have not lost in the Challenge Cup this season, drawing 1-1 with Annan Athletic on 22 September 2026.
ConfirmedSources checked 25 Sep 2026, 17:52 · Europe/BucharestQueen of the South formwww.fotmob.com · 25 Sep 2026
The win at Clyde followed defeats away to Bonnyrigg Rose and Stirling Albion, so this is the first time this month the academy side arrives with a positive result behind it. Josh Gentles, who scored in that comeback, is working back towards full fitness after last season's injury, and Aiden McCallion's two penalties at Stirling Albion remain the visitors' other recent source of goals. The limitation is that no squad has been published for Saturday, so how much of the Clyde eleven is retained at Palmerston is unknown.
- Rangers' Challenge Cup entry is the club's Under-19 side.
- Rangers' Under-19s won 2-1 away to Clyde on 22 September 2026 after trailing, with second-half goals.
- The win took them to six points in the competition's league phase.
- Forward Josh Gentles, who scored at Clyde, on his fitness: "I'm starting to get back to feeling fully good again after my injury last season."
ConfirmedSources checked 25 Sep 2026, 17:52 · Europe/Bucharest
Young scored twice in his first two appearances and added the penalty that put Queen of the South ahead against Annan Athletic on 22 September, making him the clearest current scoring reference in the side. His manager's description at signing, left-footed, tall and strong with a physical presence up front, points to a direct central role against an academy defence. The qualifier is that all three goals have come in matches Queen of the South did not lose; in the heavy league defeats at Ross County and Hamilton Academical he did not score.
- Connor Young signed for Queen of the South in the first week of September 2026.
- He has scored three goals in six matches for the club, including the penalty that opened the scoring against Annan Athletic on 22 September 2026.
- Queen of the South manager Nicky Clark on him at signing: "predominantly left footed and comfortable on the ball... also tall and strong so that will give us a physical presence upfront."
ConfirmedSources checked 25 Sep 2026, 17:52 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Queen of the South or Rangers B

1.22fair 1.30

BetBugs 77% · Market 82%

−5.0ppshort

Queen of the South are the senior home side and have avoided defeat in this competition, while Rangers B's away record is poor despite a recent win. Rangers B score often enough to trouble a Queen of the South side that has shipped heavy recent defeats.

1st Half GoalswonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.20fair 1.39

BetBugs 72% · Market 83.3%

−11.3ppshort

At least one first-half goal is likely given Rangers B's away first-half goal rate and Queen of the South's home first-half record.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.50fair 1.59

BetBugs 63% · Market 66.7%

−3.7ppshort

Both teams' recent matches point to plenty of goals, especially Rangers B away games.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Queen of the South

1.95fair 2.13

BetBugs 47% · Market 51.3%

−4.3ppshort

Queen of the South are the senior home side and have avoided defeat in this competition, while Rangers B's away record is poor despite a recent win.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.95
The read
Queen of the South are the senior home side and have avoided defeat in this competition, while Rangers B's away record is poor despite a recent win.
- Queen of the South are unbeaten in the Challenge Cup league phase this season (W2 D2).
- At home they have W3 D1 L3 in the split sample, with 1.29 goals for and against per match.
- Rangers B have lost 9 of 11 away matches in the sample and concede 2.36 goals per away match.
- Queen of the South beat Rangers II 2-1 at Palmerston in the same competition last September.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonQueen of the SouthEstimated chance47%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A level first half is the most likely single result given the modest first-half goal expectations.
- Queen of the South home first halves average 1.0 total goals.
- Rangers B away first halves average 1.64 total goals.
- Both teams have low first-half scoring averages relative to full matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance43%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Queen of the South have a better second-half attacking matchup because Rangers B concede more after half-time away from home.
- Queen of the South average 0.71 second-half goals at home and concede 0.86.
- Rangers B average 0.82 second-half goals away and concede 1.45.
- Rangers B's away second-half defensive average is the highest split figure.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonQueen of the SouthEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
Queen of the South are the senior home side and have avoided defeat in this competition, while Rangers B's away record is poor despite a recent win. Rangers B score often enough to trouble a Queen of the South side that has shipped heavy recent defeats.
- Queen of the South are unbeaten in the Challenge Cup league phase this season (W2 D2).
- At home they have W3 D1 L3 in the split sample, with 1.29 goals for and against per match.
- Rangers B average 2.07 goals per competitive match overall and 1.55 per away match.
- Rangers B won 2-1 away at Clyde on 22 September in the Challenge Cup league phase.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonQueen of the South or Rangers BEstimated chance77%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Queen of the South have a slight first-half edge from their home split, though the expected goals are low. A level first half is the most likely single result given the modest first-half goal expectations.
- Queen of the South average 0.57 first-half goals at home and concede 0.43.
- Rangers B average 0.73 first-half goals away and concede 0.91.
- Queen of the South home first halves average 1.0 total goals.
- Rangers B away first halves average 1.64 total goals.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonQueen of the South or DrawEstimated chance76%

Goals4 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.50
The read
Both teams' recent matches point to plenty of goals, especially Rangers B away games.
- Queen of the South home matches average 2.57 total goals (1.29 for, 1.29 against).
- Rangers B away matches average 3.91 total goals (1.55 for, 2.36 against).
- Rangers B's recent Challenge Cup away games include 3-2, 4-0, 3-0, 1-0 and 4-3 scorelines.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides have enough scoring evidence at their respective venue splits to suggest each can find the net.
- Queen of the South have scored in 5 of 7 home matches and Rangers B have scored in 9 of 11 away matches.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Rangers B's 11 away matches.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Queen of the South's 14 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Queen of the South's home scoring rate makes one goal or fewer more likely than multiple goals.
- Queen of the South average 1.29 goals per home match.
- Queen of the South failed to score in 2 of 7 home matches.
- Rangers B kept one clean sheet in 11 away matches.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostQueen of the South under 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Rangers B's away average is modest and they have been blanked in recent away cup games, so under is slightly favoured.
- Rangers B average 1.55 goals per away match.
- Rangers B failed to score in 2 of 11 away matches, including 0-3 at Hamilton and 0-1 at Dumbarton.
- Queen of the South kept two clean sheets in seven home matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostRangers B under 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20
The read
At least one first-half goal is likely given Rangers B's away first-half goal rate and Queen of the South's home first-half record.
- Queen of the South home first halves average 1.0 total goals.
- Rangers B away first halves average 1.64 total goals.
- Rangers B have scored first-half goals in several recent Challenge Cup away matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
At least one team is likely to be held scoreless in the first half given the low first-half scoring rates.
- Queen of the South average 0.57 first-half goals at home.
- Rangers B average 0.73 first-half goals away.
- Queen of the South concede 0.43 first-half goals at home.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalflostNoEstimated chance77%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' second-half averages point to goals after the break.
- Queen of the South home second halves average 1.57 total goals.
- Rangers B away second halves average 2.27 total goals.
- Rangers B concede 1.45 second-half goals per away match.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance57%

Head-to-Head

1W · 0D · 0W

W2-1Queen of the SouthvRangers U21Sep 6, 2025CHA

3 goals/game avg

Recent Form

Queen of the South

L1-4Hamilton AcademicalSep 19LEA

L0-8Ross CountySep 15LEA

D1-1East FifeSep 12LEA

D1-1Edinburgh CitySep 8CHA

W2-1Airdrie UnitedSep 5LEA

L1-2MontroseAug 29LEA

W1-0Hibernian U21Aug 25CHA

L0-2Alloa AthleticAug 22LEA

W4-0Cumbernauld ColtsAug 11CHA

L0-1PeterheadAug 8LEA

L1-5East KilbrideAug 1LEA

L1-3Queen's ParkJul 25LEA

L1-4AberdeenJul 22LEA

W3-0Brora RangersJul 18LEA

L1-2Crusaders FCJul 4FRI

Rangers B

L2-3Stirling AlbionSep 8CHA

L1-2Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticAug 25CHA

W4-0Gala Fairydean RoversAug 11CHA

L0-3Hamilton AcademicalNov 11CHA

L0-1DumbartonOct 11CHA

L3-4Annan AthleticSep 23CHA

L1-2Queen of the SouthSep 6CHA

L1-4StranraerAug 26CHA

L1-2StenhousemuirAug 12CHA

L2-3HartlepoolJul 20FRI

L1-3Queen's ParkDec 3CHA

W4-1StenhousemuirOct 22CHA

W5-0FraserburghSep 17CHA

W3-2ClydeAug 14CHA

W3-1Bo'ness UnitedJul 30CHA

Squad & Injuries

Queen of the South

27 available

Attackers7

Midfielders10

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

Rangers B

33 available

Attackers2

Midfielders7

Defenders7

Goalkeeper1