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Predictions graded

Kidderminster0Yeovil Town1

HT 0–0Sat 26 Sept 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions9–564%

Edges4–450%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Sep 2026, 00:14 · Europe/Bucharest

Third-placed Kidderminster are unbeaten at home in the league, but Yeovil have scored in every competitive game this season, so whether the hosts keep a clean sheet shapes the afternoon.

Kidderminster look the likelier winners, with the low-scoring home pattern pointing to a tight game. Three quotes offer something: Kidderminster level or ahead at half-time at 1.22, both teams not to score at 2.00, and Kidderminster to lead at half-time at 2.50.

Context

Yeovil's captain and leading scorer has been missing without an injury explanation: Rowley's stated reason on 24 September was an 'internal matter', and the club's team news had already confirmed he was left out for the Solihull Moors match on 18 September. That matters because McCormick is the Glovers' six-goal top scorer and their on-field leader, so a continued absence would change how Yeovil set up in midfield and who carries responsibility in the final third. The limitation is that no reporting yet covers Saturday specifically: the spell could end at Aggborough, and Yeovil did win 4-1 against Solihull without him.
- Gloverscast, 24 September: Yeovil manager Billy Rowley said the absence of captain Luke McCormick was due to an 'internal matter', the midfielder having missed the last two matches despite scoring six goals this season.
- Gloverscast team news, 18 September: there was no place for Yeovil captain Luke McCormick in the squad for the home match with Solihull Moors.
- L. McCormick started 3 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ReportedSources checked 25 Sep 2026, 00:12 · Europe/Bucharest
Kidderminster confirmed on 10 September that their appeal against MacDonald's red card at Wealdstone had failed, ruling the defender out for three matches. Those three fixtures - the Hartlepool and Gateshead home wins and the goalless draw at Woking - are now complete, so he is eligible to face Yeovil and Paul Wotton has a selection decision in a back line that has not conceded since he dropped out. The counterpoint is that the covering defence kept a clean sheet in every match he missed, so a return is a judgement call rather than an automatic improvement, and the club's statements say nothing about the ban being shortened.
- Kidderminster Harriers, 10 September: the club confirmed that an appeal against Angus MacDonald's red card against Wealdstone was unsuccessful and that he would miss the team's next three games.
- Kidderminster Harriers, 11-19 September: the ban covered a 2-0 home win over Hartlepool, a 1-0 home win over Gateshead and a 0-0 draw at Woking, with the club keeping a clean sheet in each.
- A. MacDonald started 2 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
- C. Harries started in the same position in 3 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups when A. MacDonald did not start.
ConfirmedSources checked 25 Sep 2026, 00:12 · Europe/Bucharest
Neither club's channels offer any recent meeting to reference, only the size of the gap: Yeovil's own post put it at more than 20 years and a supporters' outlet counted 21. The absence of shared recent history at Aggborough is the fixture's main narrative, and it exists because the two clubs have spent the intervening years in different divisions. Yeovil have leaned into the occasion, screening the match back at Huish Park for supporters who are not making the trip.
- Yeovil Town, 23 September: the club described the trip as returning to Aggborough for the first time in over 20 years in the Enterprise National League.
- Gloverscast, 23 September: 'It's been 21 years since Yeovil Town last visited Kidderminster', published with an away travel guide for the trip.
- Yeovil Town, 24 September: the club will screen the match in the Alec Stock Lounge at Huish Park with doors from 1pm and free entry.
ConfirmedSources checked 25 Sep 2026, 00:12 · Europe/Bucharest
Kidderminster's own ticket update is the clearest signal of how the fixture is being received locally, with four Aggborough blocks already listed as low availability two days out. The club has promoted the game as a way to fill the international-break weekend, after home wins over Hartlepool and Gateshead. This is supporter and environment context rather than a playing condition: ticket demand says nothing directly about how either side will perform, but a fuller ground is the setting Yeovil's players will meet.
- Kidderminster Harriers, 24 September: 'Low availability: Block B, D, E, J', with the club urging supporters to make the most of the international break and get to Aggborough for the 3pm kick-off.
- Kidderminster Harriers, 21 September: the club asked supporters to get behind the team for 'another massive one at Aggborough this weekend'.
ConfirmedSources checked 25 Sep 2026, 00:12 · Europe/Bucharest

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.00
The read
Kidderminster's unbeaten home record and strong defence give them the better chance, though Yeovil score regularly.
- Kidderminster home league record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses, 6 goals for, 2 against.
- Kidderminster overall: 7 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss with 5 clean sheets in 11 competitive matches.
- Yeovil away league record: 1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss, 6 goals for, 6 against.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostKidderminsterEstimated chance47%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Kidderminster's home second halves have been tight, but Yeovil's away second halves have produced more goals and swings.
- Kidderminster home second-half goals: 3 for, 2 against in 6 matches.
- Kidderminster's recent home second halves: 0-0, 1-0, 0-0.
- Yeovil away second-half goals: 4 for, 6 against in 4 matches.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostKidderminsterEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Kidderminster's unbeaten home record and strong defence give them the better chance, though Yeovil score regularly. Both teams have shown a tendency to draw, and Kidderminster's home games have often been tight.
- Kidderminster home league record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses, 6 goals for, 2 against.
- Kidderminster overall: 7 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss with 5 clean sheets in 11 competitive matches.
- Kidderminster home league record includes 2 draws in 5 games.
- Yeovil away league record includes 2 draws in 4 games.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostKidderminster or DrawEstimated chance76%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
Kidderminster have the stronger first-half home record, but Yeovil's away first-half defence makes a draw just as likely. Both teams have often been level at half-time in relevant matches, making the draw a strong possibility.
- Kidderminster home first-half goals: 6 for, 1 against in 6 matches.
- Kidderminster's recent home first halves: 1-0, 1-0, 1-1.
- Kidderminster home first-half goals against: 1 in 6 matches.
- Yeovil away first-half goals against: 0 in 4 matches.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonKidderminster or DrawEstimated chance84%

Goals8 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Kidderminster's low home totals make under 2.5 the slightly more likely outcome.
- Kidderminster home matches average 2.0 total goals.
- Kidderminster's last three home games produced 1, 2 and 2 total goals.
- Yeovil away matches average 3.0 total goals, but Kidderminster concede only 0.5 per home game.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance54%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.00
The read
Kidderminster's home clean-sheet rate slightly outweighs Yeovil's scoring record.
- Kidderminster kept clean sheets in 3 of 6 home matches.
- Kidderminster home league record: only 2 goals conceded in 5 games.
- Yeovil kept only 1 clean sheet in 9 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Kidderminster's recent home matches suggest a one-goal or no-goal home output is more likely.
- Kidderminster home goals for average 1.5 across 6 matches.
- Kidderminster's recent home scorelines: 1-0, 2-0, 1-1.
- Kidderminster have scored exactly one goal in two of their last three home games.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonKidderminster under 1.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Kidderminster's home defence has been strong enough to make under 1.5 Yeovil goals slightly more likely.
- Kidderminster home goals against average 0.5 across 6 matches.
- Kidderminster home league record: 2 goals conceded in 5 games.
- Yeovil away goals for average 1.5, but two of their four away games produced exactly one goal.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonYeovil Town under 1.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Yeovil's ability to score in every match makes it more likely than not that Kidderminster concede at least once.
- Yeovil scored in all 9 competitive matches.
- Kidderminster conceded in 3 of 6 home matches.
- Yeovil have scored 6 goals in 4 away league games.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonYeovil Town to scoreEstimated chance58%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Kidderminster score regularly at home and Yeovil concede often away, making a Yeovil clean sheet very unlikely.
- Kidderminster scored in all 6 home matches.
- Yeovil conceded in all 4 away league matches.
- Yeovil have kept only 1 clean sheet in 9 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostKidderminster to scoreEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Yeovil's consistent scoring makes a Kidderminster win without conceding less likely than the alternative.
- Yeovil scored in all 4 away league matches.
- Yeovil scored in all 9 competitive matches.
- Kidderminster have won only 2 of their last 3 home games with a clean sheet.
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Kidderminster have regularly scored before half-time at home, making at least one first-half goal likely.
- Kidderminster home first-half goals: 6 for, 1 against in 6 matches.
- Yeovil away first-half goals: 2 for, 0 against in 4 matches.
- Kidderminster's recent home first halves: 1-0, 1-0, 1-1.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20
The read
Kidderminster rarely concede before half-time at home and Yeovil rarely score first-half goals away, making both teams scoring first half unlikely.
- Kidderminster home first-half goals against average 0.17.
- Yeovil away first-half goals for average 0.5.
- Yeovil's recent away first halves: 1-0, 1-0, 0-0.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance82%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Kidderminster's recent home second halves have been very low-scoring, making under 1.5 slightly more likely.
- Kidderminster's recent home second halves produced 0, 1 and 0 goals.
- Kidderminster home second-half total goals average 0.83.
- Yeovil away second-half total goals average 2.5.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonUnder 1.5Estimated chance52%

League Table

National League 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
3	Kidderminster Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)	9	5	3	1	13-7	18	DWWWD
7	Yeovil Town Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)	9	4	3	2	18-14	15	WDLLW

3pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Kidderminster

D0-0WokingSep 19NAT

W1-0GatesheadSep 16NAT

W2-0HartlepoolSep 11NAT

W4-1WealdstoneSep 5NAT

D1-1BarrowAug 31NAT

W3-1SouthendAug 28NAT

D1-1Aldershot TownAug 22NAT

W1-0EastleighAug 15NAT

L0-3AFC HornchurchAug 8NAT

W5-0StourbridgeAug 1FRI

D0-0AlvechurchJul 28FRI

W5-0Stratford TownJul 25FRI

W2-0Halesowen TownJul 18FRI

W2-0South ShieldsMay 9NAT

W3-1MacclesfieldMay 2NAT

Yeovil Town

W4-1Solihull MoorsSep 18NAT

D1-1Aldershot TownSep 15NAT

L1-4AFC FyldeSep 12NAT

L2-3SouthendSep 5NAT

W3-2TamworthAug 31NAT

W2-1BarrowAug 28NAT

W3-0GatesheadAug 22NAT

D1-1CarlisleAug 15NAT

D1-1ScunthorpeAug 8NAT

L1-2Newport CountyAug 1FRI

D1-1Farnham TownJul 28FRI

L2-3WycombeJul 25FRI

W1-0Cardiff City U21Jul 18FRI

D2-2Merthyr TownJul 14FRI

W4-1Melksham TownJul 11FRI

Squad & Injuries

Kidderminster

23 available

Attackers5

Midfielders5

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Yeovil Town

24 available

Attackers6

Midfielders8

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Kidderminster or Draw

No

Kidderminster

Under 2.5

No

Kidderminster or Draw

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Kidderminster

Result1 of 4 landed

Goals8 of 10 landed

League Table

Recent Form

Kidderminster

Yeovil Town

Squad & Injuries

Kidderminster

Yeovil Town