Both Teams to ScorelostUncertainty band: Lean
No
2.10fair 1.67
Market 47.6% · BetBugs 60%
+12.4ppedge
Dundee United B are often shut out on the road, and Forfar have kept clean sheets in nearly half their home games, so one team may not score.
Scottish Challenge Cup·Full time·Featured
Predictions graded
Forfar22 – 1
Dundee United B1
HT 2–0· · Predictions graded
Predictions11–473%
Edges3–175%
Quick Take
Pre-match view
Forfar bring four home wins from seven to a KDM Evolution Trophy league-phase tie against Dundee United B, who have been beaten in ten of their thirteen away matches on record.
Forfar are the likelier winners, but 1.14 goals a game at home and their heavy rotation in this competition leave 1.36 for a Forfar win unattractive. The one price carrying value is both teams to score – No at 2.1.
Context
Forfar confirmed the cooperation agreement with Dundee FC on 5 September, with Perrie and Crombie arriving as cooperation loans and both playing in that weekend's League Two fixture against Stranraer. Perrie went on to score in the defeats at Spartans and then the home win over Annan Athletic, and Dundee FC's academy has been publicising the pair's contribution in Angus while local writer George Cran quoted Forfar manager Jim Weir welcoming their impact at Station Park. The same arrangement puts two Dundee FC academy players up against Dundee United's B team, a notable subplot in a competition that otherwise pits senior lower-league clubs against colt sides. What it does not establish is Perrie's role in this specific tie, since Forfar have rotated heavily in the KDM Evolution Trophy and his minutes in that competition are unclear.
- Forfar Athletic announced Luca Perrie and Ethan Crombie on 5 September as signings under a new cooperation agreement with Dundee FC.
- Perrie scored the only goal in Forfar's 1-0 home win over Annan Athletic on 19 September, described by Dundee FC's academy as his second goal in as many games, and he also scored at Spartans on 12 September.
- M. Rennie started in the same position in 3 of the 4 recent team fixtures with available lineups when Luca Perrie did not start.
Forfar's own matchday post on 22 September listed a rotated XI containing four under-20 players, and the club's live updates ended in a 2-0 home defeat four days before this tie. The same competition produced a depleted Forfar at Banks O' Dee on 8 September that still left with a 1-1 draw, so the league phase has been used for academy minutes and squad rotation rather than a settled cup eleven. If that continues, Dundee United's B team will face a less experienced Forfar than the side that beat Annan Athletic in League Two on 19 September. Forfar have published no team news or squad update for this fixture, so how far Weir goes with rotation is still open.
- Forfar's team post for the 22 September KDM Evolution Trophy tie with Peterhead described a rotated Loons line-up that included four under-20 players.
- Forfar lost that league-phase tie 2-0 at home, three days after beating Annan Athletic 1-0 in League Two.
- The club's report on the 8 September league-phase game at Banks O' Dee described a depleted Loons side that drew 1-1 through Martin Rennie's header in the third minute of stoppage time.
Dundee United run the B team's fixtures through the first-team account, and the club's own posts for the 8 and 22 September ties both name Alec Cleland as the man in charge, so the appointment is club-confirmed rather than a caretaker arrangement. The most recent of those was the side's fourth league-phase game, a 1-0 defeat at Meadowbank Stadium. Because these are away trips to senior grounds and the club publishes only a starting-XI graphic, the visitors' level is genuinely uncertain going into a League Two ground, although the 2-0 win at Formartine United shows the colt side has handled a Highland League away day. Dundee United have issued no further team information for this fixture, so any first-team involvement at Station Park is unconfirmed.
- Dundee United's official account referred to 'Alec Cleland's side' travelling to Meadowbank Stadium for the B team's KDM Evolution Trophy fixture on 22 September.
- The same account reported a 1-0 defeat to Edinburgh City, which Edinburgh City billed as the B team's fourth game of the league phase.
- On 8 September the B team travelled to North Lodge Park to face Formartine United in an earlier league-phase away tie, winning 2-0.
It is the clearest number behind this tie: the colt side have been shut out in 8 of those 13 away games and average 0.85 goals scored. The caveat is the window, which stretches over five seasons of under-age football and mixes several squads, and their most recent away tie was a 3-2 win at Formartine United on 8 September 2026. It makes them clear underdogs at Station Park without making a heavy defeat a foregone conclusion.
- matchBrief away split: 13 competitive away matches, 10 August 2021 to 8 September 2026, three wins, no draws, ten defeats, one clean sheet, 0.85 goals scored and 2.77 conceded per match.
- Dundee United B have failed to score in 8 of those 13 away matches.
- Recent away ties in the tracked record: 3-2 win at Formartine United (8 September 2026, leading 2-0 at half-time), 0-2 at Cove Rangers (25 August 2026), 0-5 at Clachnacuddin (11 August 2026), 0-6 at Inverness CT (11 November 2025).
Signal quality track record · Football
High Medium Low
Share of graded picks that landed, per signal quality.
BetBugs edges
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
1st Half GoalswonUncertainty band: Strong lean
Over 0.5 goals in 1st half
1.22fair 1.25
BetBugs 80% · Market 82%
−2.0ppshort
Both teams are involved in high-scoring first halves on average, making at least one goal very likely.
Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean
Over 2.5
1.40fair 1.54
BetBugs 65% · Market 71.4%
−6.4ppshort
Both teams' matches average over three goals, with Dundee United B particularly leaky away, so a high-scoring game is likely.
Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Slight lean
Forfar
1.36fair 1.79
BetBugs 56% · Market 73.5%
−17.5ppshort
Forfar have a strong home record and face a B team that has struggled badly on the road, though Forfar's own inconsistent form and cup rotation add uncertainty.
BetBugs probabilities
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
Result4 of 5 landed
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.36
The read
Forfar have a strong home record and face a B team that has struggled badly on the road, though Forfar's own inconsistent form and cup rotation add uncertainty.
- Forfar have won 4 of 7 home matches, while Dundee United B have lost 10 of 13 away games.
- Forfar score 1.14 goals per home game and concede 1.57, while Dundee United B score 0.85 and concede 2.77 away.
- Forfar's Luca Perrie has scored in each of the last two matches.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonForfarEstimated chance56%Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Forfar have home advantage and Dundee United B concede heavily in the first half, so Forfar are the most likely to lead at the break.
- Forfar score 0.86 first-half goals at home and concede 1.0.
- Dundee United B score 0.38 first-half goals away and concede 1.31.
- Forfar led at half time in one of their last six matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonForfarEstimated chance38%Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Forfar are stronger after the break at home and Dundee United B concede heavily in the second half, so Forfar are the most likely second-half winners.
- Forfar score 0.29 second-half goals at home and concede 0.57.
- Dundee United B score 0.46 second-half goals away and concede 1.46.
- Forfar won the second half in some recent home matches.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostForfarEstimated chance42%Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Forfar have a strong home record and face a B team that has struggled badly on the road, though Forfar's own inconsistent form and cup rotation add uncertainty. Dundee United B have won three away matches and can score, while Forfar's home defense concedes regularly; a rotated Forfar could be vulnerable.
- Forfar have won 4 of 7 home matches, while Dundee United B have lost 10 of 13 away games.
- Forfar score 1.14 goals per home game and concede 1.57, while Dundee United B score 0.85 and concede 2.77 away.
- Dundee United B have won 3 of 13 away matches but lost 10.
- Forfar have lost 3 of 7 home matches and concede 1.57 goals per home game.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonForfar or Dundee United BEstimated chance84%Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Forfar have home advantage and Dundee United B concede heavily in the first half, so Forfar are the most likely to lead at the break. Both teams have had mixed first-half fortunes, and a tight opening period could see the teams level at the break.
- Forfar score 0.86 first-half goals at home and concede 1.0.
- Dundee United B score 0.38 first-half goals away and concede 1.31.
- Forfar score 0.86 and concede 1.0 in first halves at home.
- Dundee United B score 0.38 and concede 1.31 in first halves away.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonForfar or DrawEstimated chance70%
Goals7 of 10 landed
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.40
The read
Both teams' matches average over three goals, with Dundee United B particularly leaky away, so a high-scoring game is likely.
- Forfar's matches average 3.14 total goals; Dundee United B's average 3.62.
- In their last six matches, Forfar's games average 2.83 goals and Dundee United B's 4.17.
- Dundee United B have conceded five or more in three of their last six away games.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance65%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.10
The read
Dundee United B are often shut out on the road, and Forfar have kept clean sheets in nearly half their home games, so one team may not score.
- Forfar have kept clean sheets in 3 of 7 home matches.
- Dundee United B have failed to score in 8 of 13 away matches.
- Dundee United B have kept only 1 clean sheet in 13 away matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance60%Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Forfar have struggled to score more than one at home, and even against a weak defense, their own attacking output is limited.
- Forfar average 1.14 goals per home game.
- Forfar have failed to score in 3 of 7 home matches.
- Dundee United B have kept only 1 clean sheet in 13 away matches.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostForfar under 1.5Estimated chance55%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Dundee United B have been shut out in the majority of their away games and Forfar have kept clean sheets in three of seven at home.
- Dundee United B average 0.85 goals per away game.
- Dundee United B have failed to score in 8 of 13 away matches.
- Forfar have kept clean sheets in 3 of 7 home matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonDundee United B under 1.5Estimated chance72%Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Forfar's home defense concedes regularly, so Dundee United B are likely to score at least once.
- Forfar concede 1.57 goals per home game.
- Dundee United B have scored in 5 of 13 away matches.
- Forfar have seen both teams score in only 1 of 7 home matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonDundee United B to scoreEstimated chance58%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Dundee United B concede frequently away, and Forfar have scored in over half their home matches, so a clean sheet for the visitors is improbable.
- Dundee United B have kept 1 clean sheet in 13 away matches.
- Forfar have scored in 4 of 7 home matches.
- Dundee United B concede 2.77 goals per away game.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonForfar to scoreEstimated chance82%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Even when Forfar win at home, they often concede, and Dundee United B have scored in some away games, so a win without conceding is less likely.
- Forfar concede 1.57 goals per home game.
- Forfar have kept clean sheets in 3 of 7 home matches.
- Dundee United B have scored in 5 of 13 away matches.
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance78%Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Dundee United B have kept just one clean sheet in thirteen away matches and Forfar score in most home games, so a win to nil for the visitors is highly unlikely.
- Dundee United B have kept 1 clean sheet in 13 away matches.
- Dundee United B have won 3 of 13 away matches.
- Forfar have scored in 4 of 7 home matches.
BetBugs · Away Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance91%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
Both teams are involved in high-scoring first halves on average, making at least one goal very likely.
- Forfar's home first halves average 1.86 total goals.
- Dundee United B's away first halves average 1.69 total goals.
- Forfar concede 1.0 first-half goals at home; Dundee United B concede 1.31 away.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance80%Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Dundee United B's away games often see goals after the break, and Forfar concede in the second half at home, so over 1.5 is likely.
- Forfar's home second halves average 0.86 total goals.
- Dundee United B's away second halves average 1.92 total goals.
- Dundee United B concede 1.46 second-half goals away.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance58%
The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees
Recent Form
Forfar
W1-0Annan AthleticLEA
L1-5SpartansLEA
D1-1Banks O' DeeCHA
L0-3StranraerLEA
D1-1Edinburgh CityLEA
L0-3ClydeLEA
W3-0Stirling AlbionLEA
L0-3Aberdeen U21CHA
D1-1Elgin CityLEA
W1-0Kelty HeartsLEA
L0-8LivingstonLEA
L0-4PartickLEA
L0-2StenhousemuirLEA
L0-3PeterheadFRI
Dundee United B
W3-2Formartine UnitedCHA
L0-2Cove RangersCHA
L0-5ClachnacuddinCHA
L0-6Inverness CTCHA
L1-5Cove RangersCHA
L0-1SpartansCHA
L0-3PeterheadCHA
L1-3Elgin CityCHA
W3-0Stirling AlbionCHA
L0-4Hamilton AcademicalCHA
W3-1Buckie ThistleCHA
L0-1Elgin CityCHA
L0-3StenhousemuirCHA
Squad & Injuries
Forfar
28 availableAttackers4
Midfielders13
Defenders7
Goalkeeper4
Dundee United B
3 availableAttackers0
Midfielders1
Defenders2
Goalkeeper0