Scottish Challenge CupFull timeFeatured

Predictions graded

Annan Athletic2Hibernian B1

HT 2–0Sat 26 Sept 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions11–379%

Edges1–713%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Sep 2026, 23:45 · Europe/Bucharest

A senior League Two side at home to Hibernian's B team, who have lost their last three away games without scoring.

Annan are the likelier winners, but 1.25 on them asks for far more than that record supports. Hibernian's B team to win or draw at 3.4, level or ahead at half-time at 2.25 and both teams not to score at 2.1 are the prices that hold up.

Context

Arbroath announced on 11 September that Rudi Molotnikov and Jacob MacIntyre had arrived from Hibernian on loans running to January, a move Hibernian's own channels confirmed the same day. The Galabank tie sits inside that loan period, so Molotnikov is unavailable to the development squad rather than simply rotated out of it for this competition. Hibernian's B side is a heavily changed group from tie to tie, though, so how much this removes from the particular XI that runs out at Galabank is uncertain even though the loan terms themselves are clear.
- Arbroath announced the double loan signing of Jacob MacIntyre and Rudi Molotnikov from Hibernian on 11 September, with both players joining on short-term deals until January.
- Hibernian's own channels confirmed the same two loan departures to the Championship club on 11 September.
ConfirmedSources checked 25 Sep 2026, 23:43 · Europe/Bucharest
Alloa Athletic led inside six minutes at Recreation Park and were 4-1 winners by the closing stages of the 22 September tie, with Hibernian's goal arriving just after the hour. Hibernian's official report described 'a much-changed Hibs Dev Squad' for that match, and the same young group had lost narrowly at Berwick Rangers a fortnight earlier. The scoreline therefore speaks to how thin and rotated the B team is in this competition, while the club's own emphasis on a changed side tempers how much weight the margin should carry into Saturday.
- Hibernian's official report said 'a much-changed Hibs Dev Squad were defeated by William Hill League One side Alloa Athletic' on 22 September.
- Alloa Athletic's own match feed recorded the goals in a 4-1 win at Recreation Park, with Hibernian scoring just after the hour.
- Hibernian's official account had reported 'a narrow defeat for our Dev Squad in the KDM Evolution Trophy' at Berwick Rangers on 8 September.
ConfirmedSources checked 25 Sep 2026, 23:43 · Europe/Bucharest
Annan's own channels called it 'a dominant performance on the road' that still finished level, Dixon's 51st-minute strike cancelling out Young's penalty for Queen of the South. Both clubs billed the Palmerston Park match as a derby under the lights, so the midweek trip carried local weight alongside the competition itself. The counterweight for Saturday is workload: Annan played League Two fixtures on 12 and 19 September before that trip, making this their fourth game in 15 days, against a visiting side that rotates far more freely.
- Queen of the South's fan hub recorded the full-time score as Queen of the South 1-1 Annan Athletic, with Young scoring a penalty for the hosts and Josh Dixon scoring for Annan.
- Annan Athletic's official feed described 'a dominant performance on the road' that ended in a draw and published a post-match interview with Wullie Gibson.
- Both clubs billed the Palmerston Park fixture as a derby under the lights on 22 September.
ConfirmedSources checked 25 Sep 2026, 23:43 · Europe/Bucharest
Hibernian's B team are the visitors at Galabank, and their away split is the weaker half of a modest overall profile.
Conceding twice a game on average away from home is the backdrop to Annan's home lean. The sample is only ten matches and stretches across three years, so it should not be read as a settled rate. Both teams scored in four of those ten and Hibernian's B team kept two clean sheets, so a tighter away afternoon remains possible even if the win column is thin.
- Hibernian B's away split covers 10 matches (15 August 2023 to 8 September 2026): 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats.
- They average 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away match, with both teams scoring in 4 of the 10 and 2 clean sheets.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Annan are a senior League Two side at home and have scored well at Galabank, while Hibs B have struggled for goals on their travels.
- Annan home: 3W 1D 3L, 1.86 goals for and 1.86 against per game.
- Hibernian B away: 2W 2D 6L, 1.5 goals for and 2.0 against per game.
- Hibernian B lost their last three away matches 0-1, 0-1 and 0-4, and lost 4-1 at Alloa in midweek.
- Annan have won their last three home matches without conceding.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAnnan AthleticEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Annan have been stronger after the break at home, while Hibs B have conceded more in second halves.
- Annan home second-half goals for average 1.0, against 1.57.
- Hibernian B away second-half goals for average 0.6, against 1.3.
- Annan won the second half in three of their last four home matches.
- Hibernian B lost the second half in three of their last six matches.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostAnnan AthleticEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Annan are a senior League Two side at home and have scored well at Galabank, while Hibs B have struggled for goals on their travels. Both teams have shown they can be involved in tight or high-scoring draws in this cup.
- Annan home: 3W 1D 3L, 1.86 goals for and 1.86 against per game.
- Hibernian B away: 2W 2D 6L, 1.5 goals for and 2.0 against per game.
- Annan home: 1 draw in 7 home matches.
- Hibernian B away: 2 draws in 10 away matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonAnnan Athletic or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Annan have a stronger first-half scoring record at home, but Hibs B have also scored early in some away cup ties. Both teams have had several first halves end level recently, making a draw at the break a strong possibility.
- Annan home first-half goals for average 0.86, against 0.29.
- Hibernian B away first-half goals for average 0.9, against 0.7.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonAnnan Athletic or DrawEstimated chance76%

Goals8 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' home and away matches average well above two and a half goals, and Hibs B have been involved in high-scoring away cup ties.
- Annan home total goals average 3.71 per game.
- Hibernian B away total goals average 3.5 per game.
- Annan's last six matches average 2.67 total goals.
- Hibernian B's last six matches average 3.33 total goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.10
The read
Hibs B's recent away scoring problems and Annan's home clean sheets point to at least one team failing to score.
- Annan home both scored: 3 of 7 matches.
- Hibernian B away both scored: 4 of 10 matches.
- Hibernian B failed to score in their last three away matches.
- Annan kept clean sheets in three of their last four home matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Annan have scored two or more in their recent home fixtures and face a Hibs B side conceding two goals per away game.
- Annan home goals for average 1.86 per game.
- Annan scored at least twice in each of their last four home matches.
- Annan's home split shows they scored in 6 of 7 matches.
- Hibernian B away goals against average 2.0 per game.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonAnnan Athletic over 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Hibs B's recent away scoring drought makes it more likely they score one or zero than two or more.
- Hibernian B away goals for average 1.5 per game.
- Hibernian B failed to score in their last three away matches.
- Hibernian B scored in 6 of 10 away matches.
- Annan home clean sheets: 3 of 7 matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonHibernian B under 1.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Although Annan have been solid at home, Hibs B have scored in most away matches across the wider sample.
- Annan home clean sheets: 3 of 7 matches.
- Annan overall clean sheets: 4 of 14 matches.
- Hibernian B failed to score in their last three away matches.
- Hibernian B scored in 6 of 10 away matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonHibernian B to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Annan's home scoring record makes a Hibernian B clean sheet unlikely.
- Hibernian B away clean sheets: 2 of 10 matches.
- Hibernian B overall clean sheets: 2 of 13 matches.
- Annan home scoring: scored in 6 of 7 matches.
- Annan scored at least twice in their last four home matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonAnnan Athletic to scoreEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Annan can win without a clean sheet, as they have conceded in more than half of their home games.
- Annan home wins: 3 of 7, with 3 home clean sheets.
- Annan overall wins: 4, with 4 clean sheets.
- Hibernian B failed to score in their last three away matches.
- Annan conceded in 4 of 7 home matches.
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent first halves have usually produced at least one goal.
- Annan home first-half total goals average 1.14 per game.
- Hibernian B away first-half total goals average 1.6 per game.
- Annan's last six first halves average 1.17 total goals.
- Hibernian B's last six first halves average 1.5 total goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance72%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Recent first-half records show that at least one team usually fails to score before the break.
- Annan home first-half both scored: 1 of 4 recent home matches.
- Hibernian B away first-half both scored: 1 of 6 recent away matches.
- Hibernian B played three straight away first halves without scoring.
- Annan kept first-half clean sheets in two of their last four home matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Second-half goal totals for both teams in these venue splits often exceed one and a half.
- Annan home second-half total goals average 2.57 per game.
- Hibernian B away second-half total goals average 1.9 per game.
- Annan's last six second halves average 1.5 total goals.
- Hibernian B's last six second halves average 1.83 total goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance58%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

The 1.25 price requires 80.0%, above our 58.0% estimate.

Recent Form

Annan Athletic

L0-1Forfar AthleticSep 19LEA

W2-0Elgin CitySep 12LEA

W4-0Motherwell U21Sep 8CHA

L1-2Kelty HeartsSep 5LEA

W2-0DumbartonAug 29LEA

D2-2Berwick RangersAug 25CHA

L0-1Edinburgh CityAug 22LEA

L1-2ClydeAug 15LEA

L0-1Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticAug 11CHA

W1-0StranraerAug 8LEA

L2-4SpartansAug 1LEA

L2-3Ashton TownJul 25FRI

L1-4ClydeJul 21LEA

L0-3Airdrie UnitedJul 18LEA

L0-5DundeeJul 14LEA

Hibernian B

L0-1Berwick RangersSep 8CHA

L0-1Queen of the SouthAug 25CHA

L0-4ClydebankAug 11CHA

L0-1Gala Fairydean RoversJul 18FRI

D4-4MontroseNov 17CHA

W4-0PeterheadOct 11CHA

D1-1Cove RangersSep 23CHA

L1-5SpartansSep 6CHA

L1-3Stirling AlbionAug 26CHA

L0-1Forfar AthleticAug 12CHA

L0-3The New SaintsSep 8CHA

W4-0BrechinAug 15CHA

L1-2Elgin CityAug 10CHA

L3-4Elgin CityAug 6CHA

Squad & Injuries

Annan Athletic

24 available

Attackers5

Midfielders5

Defenders10

Goalkeeper4

Hibernian B

2 available

Attackers0

Midfielders2

Defenders0

Goalkeeper0

Annan Athletic2Hibernian B1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or Hibernian B

Draw or Hibernian B

No

Under 2.5

Hibernian B

No

Draw

Under 0.5 goals in 1st half

BetBugs probabilities

Result3 of 4 landed

Goals8 of 10 landed

Markets to Avoid

Yes

Recent Form

Annan Athletic

Hibernian B

Squad & Injuries

Annan Athletic

Hibernian B