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Predictions graded

TOGB4ROHDA Raalte6

HT 2–0Wed 23 Sept 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–467%

Edges2–625%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 23 Sep 2026, 13:26 · Europe/Bucharest

ROHDA Raalte have lost six in a row, scoring three goals in the process, while TOGB score freely and concede just as freely at home.

TOGB are the likeliest winners and a draw is a live outcome: the home side to win or draw is 2.2, the home side level or ahead at half-time 1.7, and TOGB to win 3.3 — all with something to offer at those prices, as is a level half-time score at 3.0.

Context

TOGB's home sample is the only one of their splits where both the scoring and conceding rates clear two goals a game, across six matches from 12 April to 19 September 2026.
That openness cuts both ways against a side with six straight defeats and three goals scored in them: TOGB concede often enough at home to give ROHDA a route to a goal, while their own 2.17-per-game home scoring makes them the likelier scorers. Six matches is a small sample, so the rates describe this run rather than a settled level.
- Six home fixtures from 12 Apr to 19 Sep 2026: 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 defeats
- 2.17 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per home match
- No clean sheets in those six home matches; both teams scored in five of the six
ROHDA's road fixtures are the sharper version of their wider record, with a scoring rate below a goal a game against more than two conceded.
A team averaging under a goal away does not need to be shut out to be kept quiet, and even one goal would be an above-par return on this sample. TOGB's habit of conceding at home means ROHDA are not guaranteed to be blanked, so the away record shapes expectations about their output rather than settling the scoreline.
- Eight away matches from 22 Mar to 12 Sep 2026: 1 win, 2 draws, 5 defeats
- 0.88 goals scored and 2.13 conceded per away match
- Six goals scored across those eight away matches
ROHDA's 15-match window splits unevenly by half: 0.53 goals scored and 0.53 conceded per first half, then 0.33 for and 1.27 against after the break.
The second-half figures show ROHDA conceding more than a goal a game late while scoring at roughly a quarter of that rate. Across 15 matches that is a pattern worth noting for how the closing stages may go, not a prediction of who scores or when.
- 15 competitive matches from 22 Mar to 19 Sep 2026: 0.33 second-half goals scored per match, 1.27 conceded
- Same sample, first half: 0.53 goals scored and 0.53 conceded per match

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 3.30
The read
TOGB score regularly as the home side while ROHDA Raalte arrive on six straight defeats with a very low scoring rate.
- TOGB: 5W 3D 5L in 13 matches, scoring in 12 of them
- TOGB home: 2.17 goals for, 2.33 against in 6 matches
- ROHDA Raalte have lost their last six matches by an aggregate of 3-17
- ROHDA away: 1W 2D 5L, 0.88 goals scored and 2.13 conceded per game
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostTOGBEstimated chance43%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 3.00
The read
Low first-half scoring on both sides makes a level half-time score the most likely single outcome.
- ROHDA Raalte were level at half-time in 3 of their last 6 matches
- TOGB were level at half-time in 1 of their last 6
- Combined first-half averages: TOGB 1.17 for at home, ROHDA 0.63 away
- ROHDA first-half goals against away: 0.75
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance44%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
ROHDA fade badly after half-time, conceding far more than they score in second halves.
- TOGB second-half goals for at home: 1.00
- ROHDA Raalte second-half goals against away: 1.38
- ROHDA second-half goals for away: 0.25
- ROHDA conceded 3 or more after the break in three of their last six
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostTOGBEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
TOGB score regularly as the home side while ROHDA Raalte arrive on six straight defeats with a very low scoring rate. ROHDA are the higher-division side and TOGB have conceded at least twice in five of their last six games.
- TOGB: 5W 3D 5L in 13 matches, scoring in 12 of them
- TOGB home: 2.17 goals for, 2.33 against in 6 matches
- ROHDA Raalte compete in the Tweede Divisie, one tier above TOGB's Derde Divisie
- TOGB have conceded 2 or more in five of their last six matches
BetBugs · Double ChancewonTOGB or ROHDA RaalteEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.70
The read
TOGB's home first-half scoring rate is the stronger of the two, though only modestly so. Low first-half scoring on both sides makes a level half-time score the most likely single outcome.
- TOGB first-half goals at home: 1.17 for, 0.67 against
- ROHDA Raalte first-half goals away: 0.63 for, 0.75 against
- ROHDA Raalte were level at half-time in 3 of their last 6 matches
- TOGB were level at half-time in 1 of their last 6
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonTOGB or DrawEstimated chance80%

Goals6 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' home and away averages point to a game with goals, and TOGB's defence has been giving them away.
- TOGB home matches average 4.5 total goals (2.17 for, 2.33 against)
- ROHDA Raalte away matches average 3.0 total goals
- ROHDA's last six matches produced 20 goals combined
- TOGB have conceded 2 or more in five of their last six
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
TOGB almost always score and rarely keep clean sheets, while ROHDA have found the net in most of their away games.
- TOGB have kept no clean sheet in their last six matches
- ROHDA Raalte scored in 6 of their 8 away matches
- TOGB scored in 12 of 13 competitive matches
- Both teams scored in 10 of TOGB's 13 matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
TOGB's home scoring rate and ROHDA's heavy away concession rate favour the home side reaching two goals.
- TOGB score 2.17 goals per home match
- TOGB scored 2 or more in 2 of their last 6 matches
- ROHDA concede 2.13 goals per away match
- ROHDA conceded 2 or more in each of their last six
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonTOGB over 1.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
ROHDA's scoring rate is low and their recent matches have produced very few goals of their own.
- ROHDA Raalte scored 3 goals in their last six matches
- ROHDA's away average is 0.88 goals per match
- ROHDA were shut out in four of their last six
- ROHDA have 6 goals in 8 away matches
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostROHDA Raalte under 1.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First-half goals have appeared in nearly every recent match involving both sides.
- Every one of TOGB's last 6 matches had a first-half goal
- 4 of ROHDA Raalte's last 6 matches had a first-half goal
- TOGB first-half goals for at home: 1.17
- ROHDA first-half goals for away: 0.63
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.43
The read
Low first-half scoring on both sides means at least one team usually fails to score before the break.
- First-half both-teams-to-score happened in 3 of the last 12 matches combined
- ROHDA first-half goals for away: 0.63
- TOGB first-half goals against at home: 0.67
- ROHDA scored first-half goals in 3 of their last 6
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Second halves in both teams' recent matches have regularly produced two or more goals.
- TOGB's last 6 matches produced 2 or more second-half goals in 5 of them
- ROHDA Raalte's last 6 produced 2 or more in 4 of them
- TOGB concede 1.67 second-half goals at home
- ROHDA concede 1.38 second-half goals away
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance62%

Recent Form

TOGB

L0-3NoordwijkSep 19DER

L2-3FC LisseSep 12DER

D3-3Groene SterSep 5DER

L1-2UDI '19Aug 30DER

L1-3PoortugaalAug 22DER

D1-1UNAAug 16DER

L0-4FC LisseAug 8FRI

L0-3Excelsior MaassluisJul 11FRI

W2-1NoordwijkMay 23DER

W5-1Groene SterMay 16DER

W1-0ZwaluwenMay 9DER

L2-3SVV ScheveningenApr 25DER

D1-1RoosendaalApr 19DER

W2-1UNAApr 12DER

W1-0RijnvogelsMar 28DER

ROHDA Raalte

L0-1IjsselmeervogelsSep 19TWE

L1-3Quick BoysSep 12TWE

L1-2Kozakken BoysSep 5TWE

L0-2AFC AmsterdamAug 29TWE

L0-3De TreffersAug 23TWE

L1-6Sparta Rotterdam IIAug 15TWE

L1-2StaphorstMay 23DER

L0-1TECMay 16DER

L1-2Harkemase BoysMay 9DER

W2-1HerculesApr 25DER

W2-1Sportlust '46Apr 18DER

D1-1Excelsior '31Apr 11DER

D0-0DovoApr 2DER

W3-2Hsc 21Mar 29DER

D0-0ADO '20Mar 22DER

Squad & Injuries

TOGB

5 available

Attackers2

Midfielders1

Defenders2

Goalkeeper0

ROHDA Raalte

27 available

Attackers9

Midfielders9

Defenders7

Goalkeeper2

TOGB4ROHDA Raalte6

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

TOGB or Draw

TOGB or Draw

Under 2.5

TOGB

Draw

No

Under 0.5 goals in 1st half

No

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 5 landed

Goals6 of 7 landed

Recent Form

TOGB

ROHDA Raalte

Squad & Injuries

TOGB

ROHDA Raalte