Bahamas00 – 8Saint Martin8

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Saint Martin's away scoring and Bahamas' heavy defensive record point strongly to the visitors, with the Grenada result linking the two.

• Saint Martin away: 4 wins, 1 loss, 2.4 goals scored per game
• Bahamas concede 3.93 goals per game across 15 matches
• Grenada beat Bahamas 6-0; Saint Martin won 3-0 away at Grenada

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSaint MartinEstimated chance74%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Saint Martin score first-half goals on the road while Bahamas concede regularly before the break.

• Saint Martin away first halves: 1.0 scored, 0.4 conceded per game
• Bahamas concede 1.8 first-half goals per game
• Saint Martin led at half-time in their wins at Bonaire and Grenada

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonSaint MartinEstimated chance48%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Saint Martin's second-half scoring and Bahamas' late defensive record favour the visitors after the break.

• Bahamas concede 2.13 second-half goals per game
• Saint Martin away second halves: 1.4 scored, 0.6 conceded
• Saint Martin scored all three of their goals after half-time against Barbados

BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonSaint MartinEstimated chance46%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Saint Martin rarely draw and Bahamas almost always concede, which limits the chances of a share of the points. Saint Martin's away scoring and Bahamas' heavy defensive record point strongly to the visitors, with the Grenada result linking the two.

• Bahamas have drawn 2 of 15 tracked matches
• Saint Martin have drawn none of their 10 tracked matches
• Saint Martin away: 4 wins, 1 loss, 2.4 goals scored per game
• Bahamas concede 3.93 goals per game across 15 matches

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Saint MartinEstimated chance88%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams score well under one first-half goal per game on average, so the opening period often ends level. Saint Martin score first-half goals on the road while Bahamas concede regularly before the break.

• Bahamas score 0.67 first-half goals per game
• Saint Martin score 0.6 first-half goals per game
• Saint Martin away first halves: 1.0 scored, 0.4 conceded per game
• Bahamas concede 1.8 first-half goals per game

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Saint MartinEstimated chance86%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches regularly produce three or more goals, with Bahamas conceding heavily and Saint Martin scoring freely on the road.

• Bahamas' 15 matches average 5.07 total goals (1.13 for, 3.93 against)
• Saint Martin's 10 tracked matches average 3.2 total goals
• Bahamas have kept no clean sheet in 15 matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.91

The read

Saint Martin's away clean sheets and Bahamas' recent blank scores make one team failing to score the more likely outcome.

• Bahamas failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches
• Saint Martin kept 3 clean sheets in 5 away matches
• Saint Martin have scored in the large majority of their tracked matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Saint Martin's away scoring rate against Bahamas' home defensive record makes two or more goals a realistic outcome.

• Saint Martin away: 12 goals in 5 matches (2.4 per game)
• Bahamas concede 4.25 goals per home match
• Saint Martin scored 3 in each of their last two matches

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonSaint Martin over 1.5Estimated chance60%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.15

The read

First-half goals appear in the large majority of both teams' matches, driven mainly by Bahamas' early concessions.

• Bahamas first halves: 0.67 scored, 1.8 conceded per game
• Saint Martin away first halves: 1.0 scored, 0.4 conceded
• Five of Bahamas' last six matches had a first-half goal

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches regularly produce multiple second-half goals, with Bahamas conceding most heavily after the break.

• Bahamas' matches average 2.6 second-half goals
• Saint Martin's tracked matches average 1.9 second-half goals
• Five of Bahamas' last six matches had two or more second-half goals

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches have produced corner totals above this line on average, with Bahamas conceding corners in volume.

• Bahamas' 10 corner-tracked matches average 11.5 total corners
• Saint Martin's 6 corner-tracked matches average 10.3 total corners
• Bahamas concede 8.2 corners per game

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Bahamas concede shots in large numbers, and Saint Martin's matches also clear this line on average.

• Bahamas' matches average 32.5 total shots (8.7 for, 23.8 against)
• Saint Martin's tracked matches average 21.5 total shots
• Bahamas concede 23.8 shots per match across 10 tracked games

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches average well above this line for shots on target, mostly through chances conceded by Bahamas.

• Bahamas' matches average 13.9 total shots on target (3.7 for, 10.2 against)
• Saint Martin's tracked matches average 10.2 total shots on target
• Bahamas concede 10.2 shots on target per match

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches have averaged close to or above this line for cards, with Saint Martin's games the busier of the two.

• Bahamas' tracked matches average 2.5 total cards (1.0 own, 1.5 opponent)
• Saint Martin's tracked matches average 3.4 total cards (1.2 own, 2.2 opponent)
• Saint Martin have been shown a red card in their tracked matches