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Predictions graded

Gala Fairydean Rovers0Spartans FC0

HT 0–0Tue 22 Sept 2026, 18:45 Predictions graded

Predictions5–1033%

Edges2–340%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 22 Sep 2026, 16:20 · Europe/Bucharest

A Gala side beaten in all six home games hosts a Spartans team who have won three of seven away but lost 0-4 to Hamilton in this cup.

Spartans are the likelier winners, but 1.18 leaves no margin and is best left alone. The half-time draw at 3.2 and Under 2.5 goals at 4 carry small edges; both-teams-to-score Yes at 1.6 is no better than a fair price.

Context

Across those six home fixtures Gala kept no clean sheet, so both teams scoring has been the norm rather than the exception.
Spartans average 1.43 goals per away match, and Gala's home defence has conceded 3.67 per game across the six fixtures. Gala still scored in five of the six home matches, which is why a Spartans clean sheet looks the less likely part of the picture. The record points to an away win with goals in it rather than a controlled shutout.
- Gala home record, 1 August to 16 September 2026: 6 matches, 0 wins, 0 draws, 6 defeats.
- Goals per home match over that window: 1.33 scored and 3.67 conceded.
- Gala scored in five of the six home matches and kept no clean sheet in any of them.
Spartans have won three of seven away matches this season, so their away form is solid rather than dominant.
The 0-4 came in this competition a fortnight before this tie and is the heaviest of the six matches listed in Spartans' recent record. They still average 1.43 goals on the road and have three wins from seven away, so it reads more as a warning about how quickly a cup tie can turn than as sustained weakness. It is one reason this fixture is not a formality, even though Spartans' overall profile is clearly stronger than Gala's.
- 8 September 2026, Challenge Cup: Spartans 0-4 Hamilton Academical at home.
- Spartans trailed 0-1 at half-time and conceded three second-half goals.
Gala have yet to win at home this season and have conceded in every home match, so their 2021 away cup win is the outlier in this pairing.
Spartans were the hosts that day and lost without scoring, which stands as the one precedent for Gala handling them. It does not change the form gap going into this tie, but it is the clearest sign that this fixture has produced a cup surprise before.
- 18 September 2021, Scottish FA Cup: Spartans 0-1 Gala Fairydean Rovers.
- Spartans were the home side and Gala won without conceding.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.18
The read
Spartans' stronger overall and away form against Gala's weak home defence points to an away win.
- Spartans have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses overall, with 3 away wins in 7.
- Gala have conceded 2.92 goals per competitive match and lost all six home matches.
- Spartans scored five in their last Challenge Cup home win and five against Forfar.
- Spartans won four of five head-to-head meetings.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostSpartans FCEstimated chance71%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Gala's poor first-half defence gives Spartans a good chance to lead at the break.
- Gala concede 1.67 first-half goals per home match.
- Spartans average 0.73 first-half goals overall.
- Gala have conceded first-half goals in all of their last six matches.
- Spartans scored three first-half goals in two of their last six.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostSpartans FCEstimated chance44%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Spartans' second-half scoring and Gala's weak second-half defence favour an away second-half win.
- Spartans average 1.27 second-half goals overall and 1.00 away.
- Gala concede 2.00 second-half goals at home and 1.75 overall.
- Gala have conceded five second-half goals in one recent Challenge Cup match.
- Spartans scored three second-half goals against Clyde and two against Forfar.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostSpartans FCEstimated chance51%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Spartans' away form includes draws, but Gala rarely draw. Spartans' stronger overall and away form against Gala's weak home defence points to an away win.
- Gala have no draws in 12 competitive matches.
- Spartans have drawn 4 of 15 overall and 1 of 7 away.
- Spartans have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses overall, with 3 away wins in 7.
- Gala have conceded 2.92 goals per competitive match and lost all six home matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Spartans FCEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First halves are often tight, and Spartans away first-half scoring is modest. Gala's poor first-half defence gives Spartans a good chance to lead at the break.
- Gala's home first halves average 2.50 total goals, but Spartans away first halves average 0.86.
- Gala have trailed at half-time in several recent matches.
- Gala concede 1.67 first-half goals per home match.
- Spartans average 0.73 first-half goals overall.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Spartans FCEstimated chance80%

Goals3 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent games are high-scoring, and Gala concede heavily at home.
- Gala's competitive matches average 3.75 total goals (0.83 for, 2.92 against).
- Spartans' overall matches average 4.00 total goals (2.00 for, 2.00 against).
- Gala's last six matches produced 23 goals (3.83 per game).
- Spartans' last six matches produced 26 goals (4.33 per game).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance73%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.60
The read
Gala usually score at home but almost always concede, while Spartans score often.
- Gala scored in 7 of 12 competitive matches and in 5 of 6 home matches.
- Spartans scored in 11 of 15 overall matches.
- Gala conceded in 11 of 12 competitive matches.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Gala's 12 and 8 of Spartans' 15.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance63%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Gala rarely score more than once against stronger opposition.
- Gala average 0.83 goals per competitive match.
- Gala scored one or zero in five of their last six matches.
- Spartans kept clean sheets in 3 of 15 overall.
- Spartans concede 1.71 goals per away match.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonGala Fairydean Rovers under 1.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Spartans' scoring and Gala's poor home defence make two or more goals likely.
- Spartans average 2.00 goals overall and 1.43 away.
- Spartans scored two or more in four of their last six matches.
- Gala concede 2.92 overall and 3.67 at home.
- Gala have no clean sheets in six home matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostSpartans FC over 1.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Gala have not kept a home clean sheet all season, and Spartans usually score.
- Gala have no clean sheets in six home matches.
- Gala kept one clean sheet in 12 competitive matches.
- Spartans scored in 11 of 15 overall matches.
- Spartans average 2.00 goals per match.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostSpartans FC to scoreEstimated chance90%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Gala's home scoring makes a Spartans clean sheet less likely.
- Gala scored in 5 of 6 home matches.
- Gala scored in 7 of 12 competitive matches.
- Spartans kept clean sheets in only 3 of 15 overall.
- Spartans conceded 1.71 goals per away match.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostGala Fairydean Rovers to scoreEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Gala's habit of scoring at home makes a Spartans win-to-nil less likely.
- Gala scored in 5 of 6 home matches.
- Gala scored in 7 of 12 competitive matches.
- Spartans kept only 3 clean sheets in 15 overall.
- Spartans won 3 away matches from 7.
BetBugs · Away Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.13
The read
Both teams' recent matches consistently produce first-half goals.
- All six of Gala's recent matches had at least one first-half goal.
- All six of Spartans' recent matches had at least one first-half goal.
- Gala home first halves average 2.50 total goals.
- Spartans overall first halves average 1.40 total goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
One team is likely to be shut out before half-time.
- Gala scored first-half goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
- Spartans scored first-half goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
- Spartans away first-half goals conceded average is 0.43.
- Gala have conceded first-half goals in all of their last six matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent second halves are high-scoring.
- Gala's home second halves average 2.50 total goals.
- Spartans' away second halves average 2.29 total goals.
- Gala's last six matches produced 12 second-half goals.
- Spartans' last six matches produced 16 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance70%

Head-to-Head

1W · 0D · 4W

L1-3Gala Fairydean RoversvSpartansDec 23, 2022FOO

L4-1SpartansvGala Fairydean RoversAug 6, 2022FOO

L2-1SpartansvGala Fairydean RoversApr 26, 2022FOO

W0-1SpartansvGala Fairydean RoversSep 18, 2021FAC

L0-4Gala Fairydean RoversvSpartansJul 27, 2021FOO

3.4 goals/game avg

Recent Form

Gala Fairydean Rovers

L1-2Tranent JuniorsSep 19FOO

L1-2Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticSep 16FOO

L0-2Musselburgh AthleticSep 12FOO

L1-6Hearts U21Sep 8CHA

L2-3Lochee UnitedAug 29FOO

L0-3StranraerAug 25CHA

L3-4Hill Of Beath HawthornAug 22FOO

L0-4Rangers U21Aug 11CHA

L0-5Linlithgow RoseAug 8FOO

L1-3Bo'ness UnitedAug 1FOO

L0-1Broxburn AthleticJul 28FOO

W1-0CowdenbeathJul 25FOO

W1-0Hibernian U21Jul 18FRI

W3-1PollokJul 11FRI

W4-0Vale of LeithenJul 7FRI

Spartans FC

L0-3DumbartonSep 19LEA

W5-1Forfar AthleticSep 12LEA

L0-4Hamilton AcademicalSep 8CHA

W2-0Stirling AlbionSep 5LEA

D3-3ClydeAug 29LEA

W5-0Hearts U21Aug 25CHA

D3-3Elgin CityAug 22LEA

L0-1StranraerAug 15LEA

D2-2East FifeAug 11CHA

D2-2Edinburgh CityAug 8LEA

W4-2Annan AthleticAug 1LEA

W2-0MontroseJul 25LEA

L0-4Dundee UtdJul 21LEA

L1-3Stirling AlbionJul 14LEA

L1-2ArbroathJul 11LEA

Squad & Injuries

Gala Fairydean Rovers

25 available

Attackers3

Midfielders14

Defenders4

Goalkeeper3

Spartans FC

26 available

Attackers8

Midfielders9

Defenders7

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Under 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Spartans FC

Result2 of 5 landed

Goals3 of 10 landed

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Gala Fairydean Rovers

Spartans FC

Squad & Injuries

Gala Fairydean Rovers

Spartans FC