Scottish Challenge CupFull time

Predictions graded

Forfar0Peterhead2

HT 0–0Tue 22 Sept 2026, 18:45 Predictions graded

Predictions7–654%

Edges2–250%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 22 Sep 2026, 16:26 · Europe/Bucharest

Peterhead arrive a division above Forfar and unbeaten in the last five meetings, but their away form is level at three wins, one draw and three defeats, and Forfar have won four of seven at home.

Peterhead to win at 1.91 is the likeliest single result, yet the odds ask more than the record supports, and the same goes for over 2.5 goals at 1.57 and either team to win at 1.25. No quoted price here is worth taking.

Context

Forfar have played seven home matches between 14 July and 19 September 2026 without a single draw: four wins, three defeats, 1.14 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. Three of the seven ended in a clean sheet for Forfar, which offsets the concession rate and shows the goals against are not spread evenly. The pattern points to home matches being settled one way or the other rather than shared, which matters in a cup tie where the draw is a live possibility.
- Forfar home record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 3 defeats in 7 matches (14 July - 19 September 2026).
- Forfar average 1.14 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per home game.
- Three clean sheets in Forfar's seven home matches.
Peterhead's seven away matches between 14 July and 12 September 2026 produced three wins, one draw and three defeats, with 1.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. That is a level road record for a side playing a division above Forfar, and it is why the division gap alone does not make them strong favourites. They have kept one clean sheet away from home, so a shutout is possible but has been rare.
- Peterhead away record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 3 defeats in 7 matches (14 July - 12 September 2026).
- Peterhead average 1.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per away game.
- One clean sheet in Peterhead's seven away matches.
The July 2026 friendly is the most recent meeting between these clubs, and Peterhead won it 3-0 away from home. Because it was a friendly, the source window counts it outside the competitive sample, so it is a guide to the recent balance between the squads rather than to cup form. It shows Peterhead can travel to Forfar and score freely, but a single friendly cannot carry the weight of a competitive result.
- 7 July 2026: Forfar 0-3 Peterhead in a club friendly, the most recent meeting between the two clubs.
Forfar's Challenge Cup tie at Banks O' Dee on 8 September 2026 ended 1-1, with Forfar a goal down at the interval and level after the second half. It is one match, so it is a snapshot rather than a pattern, but it shows this side conceding first in cup football and needing a response after the break. Peterhead arrive from a division above, so any repeat of a slow first half would leave Forfar chasing the tie.
- 8 September 2026: Banks O' Dee 1-1 Forfar in the Challenge Cup, played away.
- Forfar trailed 0-1 at half-time and scored their goal in the second half.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1st Half GoalslostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.22fair 1.28

BetBugs 78% · Market 82%

−4.0ppshort

First-half goals have been common in both teams' recent games.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Forfar or Peterhead

1.25fair 1.35

BetBugs 74% · Market 80%

−6.0ppshort

Forfar's home record gives them a chance, but they face a higher-division Peterhead side that has not lost to them in recent meetings. Peterhead's higher division and unbeaten recent record against Forfar make them slight favourites.

Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.57fair 1.72

BetBugs 58% · Market 63.7%

−5.7ppshort

Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, with weak defences on show.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.91
The read
Peterhead's higher division and unbeaten recent record against Forfar make them slight favourites.
- Peterhead play in League One, one division above Forfar.
- Peterhead away record: W3 D1 L3.
- H2H: Peterhead unbeaten in last 5 meetings.
- Forfar home goals against 1.57 per game.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonPeterheadEstimated chance44%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Peterhead have a better first-half defensive record and face a Forfar side that concedes early.
- Peterhead first-half goals for average 0.57.
- Peterhead first-half goals against average 0.57.
- Forfar first-half goals against average 1.29.
- Forfar home first-half goals against average 1.0.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostPeterheadEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25
The read
Forfar's home record gives them a chance, but they face a higher-division Peterhead side that has not lost to them in recent meetings. Peterhead's higher division and unbeaten recent record against Forfar make them slight favourites.
- Forfar home record: W4 D0 L3.
- Forfar home goals for 1.14, against 1.57 per game.
- Peterhead play in League One, one division above Forfar.
- Peterhead away record: W3 D1 L3.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonForfar or PeterheadEstimated chance74%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First halves have often been tight, with both teams averaging under one goal before the break. Peterhead have a better first-half defensive record and face a Forfar side that concedes early.
- Forfar first-half goals for average 0.5.
- Peterhead first-half goals for average 0.57.
- Peterhead first-half goals against average 0.57.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or PeterheadEstimated chance78%

Goals4 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.57
The read
Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, with weak defences on show.
- Forfar recent 6 matches: 4 went over 2.5 goals.
- Peterhead recent 6 matches: 5 went over 2.5 goals.
- Forfar overall goals against average 2.29.
- Peterhead away goals for average 1.57.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Forfar's home matches have often lacked both teams scoring, and their defence has kept three clean sheets at home.
- Forfar home both teams scored in 1 of 7.
- Forfar home clean sheets: 3 in 7.
- Peterhead away clean sheets: 1 in 7.
- Forfar recent both teams scored in 3 of 6.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Forfar's attack has been limited, with no recent multiple-goal game.
- Forfar home goals for average 1.14.
- Forfar recent 6 matches: scored 4 goals in total.
- Peterhead away clean sheets: 1 in 7.
- Forfar home clean sheets: 3 in 7.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonForfar under 1.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Peterhead's away scoring is moderate, and Forfar have kept three home clean sheets.
- Peterhead away goals for average 1.57.
- Peterhead recent 6 matches: scored 1 or 0 in 4.
- Forfar home clean sheets: 3 in 7.
- Forfar home goals against average 1.57.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostPeterhead under 1.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Peterhead's away scoring record makes a Forfar clean sheet unlikely.
- Peterhead away scored in 5 of 7.
- Forfar home conceded in 4 of 7.
- Peterhead away goals for average 1.57.
- Forfar home goals against average 1.57.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonPeterhead to scoreEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Peterhead's away defence has rarely kept a clean sheet.
- Peterhead away clean sheets: 1 in 7.
- Forfar home scored in 4 of 7.
- Peterhead away goals against average 1.43.
- Forfar home goals for average 1.14.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostForfar to scoreEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22
The read
First-half goals have been common in both teams' recent games.
- Peterhead recent first halves: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6.
- Forfar recent first halves: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6.
- Forfar first-half goals against average 1.29.
- Peterhead first-half goals for average 0.57.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Recent first halves have usually been one-sided or goalless.
- Forfar recent first-half goals for: 1 in 6.
- Peterhead recent first-half goals for: 2 in 6.
- Both teams scored in the first half in 0 of Forfar's last 6.
- Forfar first-half goals against average 1.29.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring rates suggest a lower total.
- Forfar second-half goals for average 0.36.
- Forfar second-half goals against average 1.0.
- Peterhead second-half goals for average 0.71.
- Peterhead second-half goals against average 0.86.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostUnder 1.5Estimated chance62%

Head-to-Head

1W · 3D · 1W

W0-3Forfar AthleticvPeterheadJul 7, 2026FRI

D0-0Forfar AthleticvPeterheadMar 29, 2025LEA

D2-2PeterheadvForfar AthleticFeb 1, 2025LEA

D1-1Forfar AthleticvPeterheadDec 17, 2024LEA

L2-1PeterheadvForfar AthleticAug 10, 2024LEA

Forfar: 2 clean sheets2.4 goals/game avg

Recent Form

Forfar

W1-0Annan AthleticSep 19LEA

L1-5SpartansSep 12LEA

D1-1Banks O' DeeSep 8CHA

L0-3StranraerSep 5LEA

D1-1Edinburgh CityAug 28LEA

L0-3ClydeAug 22LEA

W3-0Stirling AlbionAug 15LEA

L0-3Aberdeen U21Aug 11CHA

D1-1Elgin CityAug 8LEA

W1-0Kelty HeartsAug 1LEA

W3-1BrechinJul 25LEA

L0-8LivingstonJul 21LEA

L0-4PartickJul 14LEA

L0-2StenhousemuirJul 11LEA

L0-3PeterheadJul 7FRI

Peterhead

L1-2Airdrie UnitedSep 19LEA

L1-3East KilbrideSep 12LEA

W2-1ClachnacuddinSep 8CHA

L0-3MontroseSep 5LEA

D1-1Alloa AthleticAug 29LEA

W2-1Dundee IIAug 25CHA

L0-3Cove RangersAug 22LEA

W2-1East FifeAug 15LEA

W5-1Banks O' DeeAug 11CHA

W1-0Queen of the SouthAug 8LEA

L0-1Ross CountyAug 1LEA

L0-1Raith RoversJul 21LEA

W3-1Elgin CityJul 14LEA

L0-1Hamilton AcademicalJul 11LEA

W3-0Forfar AthleticJul 7FRI

Squad & Injuries

Forfar

28 available

Attackers4

Midfielders13

Defenders7

Goalkeeper4

Peterhead

25 available

Attackers7

Midfielders9

Defenders7

Goalkeeper2