Scottish Challenge CupFull time

Predictions graded

Clydebank2St. Mirren B1

HT 0–1Tue 22 Sept 2026, 18:45 Predictions graded

Predictions12–380%

Edges4–0100%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 22 Sep 2026, 16:24 · Europe/Bucharest

Clydebank are unbeaten in eight home matches and score 3.6 a game there, so they are the likelier winners, but St Mirren B have already won 4-1 at Clyde and 5-2 at East Fife.

Both teams scoring and a busy first half are fair sporting reads. No reviewed price is worth taking: Clydebank at 1.57, both teams to score at 1.40 and a first-half goal at 1.15 all ask for more than the record supports, and over 2.5 goals at 1.30 is level.

Context

This home record is the centre of Clydebank's case: eight matches without defeat, at 3.6 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. The other half of it is defensive, with only two clean sheets in those eight and goals conceded in six. A comfortable shut-out therefore looks like the least likely shape of this tie, and a high-scoring home win fits the sample better than a controlled one.
- Clydebank home record, 25 July to 19 September 2026: 6 wins, 2 draws, 0 defeats in 8 home matches
- 3.63 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per home match; both teams scored in 6 of the 8
- Only 2 clean sheets across those 8 home matches
One match is a thin sample, but it is the closest guide to how Clydebank have handled a cup tie at home this season: a slow start and a single goal. They went in behind at half-time and levelled after the break, so the quick starts of their recent league home matches did not carry over automatically. It also shows they can be held, which matters in a tie where they are expected to win.
- 8 September 2026, Challenge Cup at home to Alloa Athletic: 1-1 draw
- Half-time score 0-1; Clydebank's goal came in the second half
- The match sits inside Clydebank's 12-match competitive window ending 19 September 2026
This is the strongest single piece of evidence that the gap may be narrower than Clydebank's home record suggests, and the shape of the win matters as much as the margin. The first half finished goalless before St Mirren B scored four after the break, so they have already turned a level away cup tie into a comfortable one. It is one result in a small 2026 sample and Clyde are not Clydebank, so it frames the risk rather than settling it.
- 11 August 2026, Challenge Cup away to Clyde: St Mirren B won 4-1
- Half-time 0-0; all four St Mirren B goals came in the second half
- One of six matches in St Mirren B's recent record, which runs from September 2025 to September 2026
After the 5-2 and 4-1 away wins earlier in the competition, this is the other side of St Mirren B: they were kept off the scoresheet and the game stayed level into the second half. It is the one 2026 match in the record where they did not score. One blank does not undo the two wins, but it shows a well-organised home side can keep them quiet for long spells.
- 8 September 2026, Challenge Cup away to Airdrie United: St Mirren B lost 1-0
- Half-time 0-0; the only goal came in the second half
- The most recent of the three 2026 matches in St Mirren B's recorded form

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1st Half GoalswonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

1.15fair 1.19

BetBugs 84% · Market 87%

−3.0ppshort

First-half goals have been near-constant in both teams' recent matches.

Both Teams to ScorewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Yes

1.40fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 71.4%

−6.4ppshort

Clydebank always score and rarely keep clean sheets at home, while St. Mirren B have scored in every 2026 match.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Clydebank

1.57fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 63.7%

−8.7ppshort

Clydebank score heavily and have not lost at home, while the young St. Mirren side concede regularly.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.57
The read
Clydebank score heavily and have not lost at home, while the young St. Mirren side concede regularly.
- Clydebank are unbeaten at home this season: 6 wins and 2 draws from 8
- They average 3.6 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per home match
- St. Mirren B have conceded in all four of their 2026 competitive matches, 2.75 goals per game
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonClydebankEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Clydebank's home first halves are productive, though they have also trailed early in recent games.
- Clydebank average 1.5 first-half goals at home and concede 0.75
- St. Mirren B average 1.0 first-half goals and concede 1.25
- Clydebank led at half-time in 3 of their last 6 competitive matches
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostClydebankEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Clydebank finish home games strongly, scoring heavily in second halves while conceding little.
- Clydebank average 2.1 second-half goals at home and concede 0.5
- St. Mirren B concede 1.5 second-half goals per match
- Clydebank scored 2 or more after the break in 5 of their last 6 matches
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonClydebankEstimated chance48%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Clydebank score heavily and have not lost at home, while the young St. Both teams score often enough to keep the game alive, and Clydebank have already been held at home in this competition.
- Clydebank are unbeaten at home this season: 6 wins and 2 draws from 8
- They average 3.6 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per home match
- Clydebank have drawn 2 of 8 home matches this season
- They drew 1-1 at home with Alloa Athletic in this cup
BetBugs · Double ChancewonClydebank or DrawEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Clydebank's home first halves are productive, though they have also trailed early in recent games. Half-time scorelines in Clydebank's recent matches have been mixed, making a level first half plausible.
- Clydebank average 1.5 first-half goals at home and concede 0.75
- St. Mirren B average 1.0 first-half goals and concede 1.25
- Clydebank trailed at half-time in 3 of their last 6 competitive matches
- St. Mirren B concede 1.25 first-half goals per match
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostClydebank or DrawEstimated chance76%

Goals9 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30
The read
Both sides score and concede regularly, and their recent matches have produced plenty of goals.
- Clydebank home matches average 4.9 total goals
- St. Mirren B's four 2026 matches average 5.75 total goals
- Both teams scored in 6 of Clydebank's 8 home matches and all 4 of St. Mirren B's
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.40
The read
Clydebank always score and rarely keep clean sheets at home, while St. Mirren B have scored in every 2026 match.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Clydebank's 8 home matches
- Both teams scored in all 4 of St. Mirren B's 2026 matches
- Clydebank have scored in all 12 competitive matches; St. Mirren B in all 4
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Clydebank's home scoring volume and St. Mirren B's weak defensive record point to at least two home goals.
- Clydebank average 3.6 goals per home match and scored in all 8
- Clydebank scored 2 or more in 5 of their last 6 competitive matches
- St. Mirren B concede 2.75 goals per match in 2026
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonClydebank over 1.5Estimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
St. Mirren B have scored two or more in their away cup wins this season, and Clydebank concede regularly at home.
- St. Mirren B average 3.0 goals scored across four 2026 matches
- They scored 5 at East Fife and 4 at Clyde in this competition
- Clydebank have conceded in 6 of 8 home matches
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostSt. Mirren B over 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Clydebank concede in most home matches and St. Mirren B have scored in every 2026 game.
- Clydebank conceded in 6 of 8 home matches and 10 of 12 overall
- St. Mirren B scored in all four 2026 matches
- Clydebank concede 1.25 goals per home match
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonSt. Mirren B to scoreEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Clydebank have scored in every match this season against an away side yet to keep a clean sheet.
- Clydebank scored in all 12 competitive matches
- St. Mirren B conceded in all four 2026 matches
- Clydebank average 3.6 goals per home match
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonClydebank to scoreEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
A clean-sheet win requires a defensive performance Clydebank have managed only twice at home.
- Clydebank's home clean sheets stand at 2 in 8
- St. Mirren B have scored in all four 2026 matches
- Clydebank conceded in 10 of 12 competitive matches
BetBugs · Home Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance86%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.15
The read
First-half goals have been near-constant in both teams' recent matches.
- All 6 of Clydebank's recent competitive matches had at least one first-half goal
- Clydebank's home first halves average 2.25 total goals
- St. Mirren B's matches average 2.25 first-half goals
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance84%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First-half goals from both teams has been the exception rather than the rule in these matches.
- Only 2 of Clydebank's last 6 competitive matches had both teams scoring in the first half
- Clydebank's home first-half concession average is 0.75
- St. Mirren B's first-half clean sheet record is limited to one goalless half at Airdrie
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Second halves in these teams' matches regularly produce two goals or more.
- Five of Clydebank's last 6 competitive matches had two or more second-half goals
- Clydebank's home second halves average 2.6 total goals
- St. Mirren B's second halves average 3.5 total goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance72%

Recent Form

Clydebank

D2-2PollokSep 19FOO

W4-2Caledonian BravesSep 15FOO

W4-0Largs ThistleSep 12FOO

D1-1Alloa AthleticSep 8CHA

W5-1RenfrewAug 29FOO

W4-2Kelty HeartsAug 25CHA

W7-1Gretna 2008Aug 22FOO

D2-2Caledonian BravesAug 18FOO

W4-0Hibernian U21Aug 11CHA

W3-2Troon FCAug 8FOO

L1-6Celtic IIJul 28FOO

D2-2PartickJul 26FRI

W4-2Newton StewartJul 25FOO

W4-1Irvine MeadowJul 18FRI

W2-1Broxburn AthleticJul 11FRI

St. Mirren B

L0-1Airdrie UnitedSep 8CHA

W5-2East FifeAug 25CHA

W4-1ClydeAug 11CHA

D4-4East KilbrideJul 7FRI

L0-2StranraerNov 11CHA

L1-2Kelty HeartsOct 11CHA

L1-3Hamilton AcademicalSep 24CHA

D2-2Annan AthleticSep 6CHA

W3-2Alloa AthleticAug 26CHA

L2-4DumbartonAug 12CHA

W3-2Berwick RangersJul 30CHA

L0-6Albion RoversSep 4CHA

L1-4WrexhamOct 12CHA

W1-0Stirling AlbionSep 7CHA

W1-0DumbartonAug 13CHA

Squad & Injuries

Clydebank

23 available

Attackers4

Midfielders4

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

St. Mirren B

3 available

Attackers1

Midfielders2

Defenders0

Goalkeeper0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 2.5

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Yes

Clydebank

Result3 of 5 landed

Goals9 of 10 landed

Recent Form

Clydebank

St. Mirren B

Squad & Injuries

Clydebank

St. Mirren B