FC Kosice2Ruzomberok0

HT 0–0Sat 19 Sept 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–742%

Edges5–363%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 16 Sep 2026, 17:30 · Europe/Bucharest

FC Kosice are favoured at home, but the market overprices their win and double chance.

The best value is over 1.5 second-half goals at 1.95 (edge +6.7pts), while over 2.5 goals and BTTS Yes offer no value.

Context

Ružomberok sit 11th in the Super Liga with 5 points from 8 matches. Their away record is 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses.
In those three away matches, Ružomberok scored only 2 goals and conceded 9. This pattern suggests they struggle to control games away from home. Košice, despite their own defensive issues, will likely see this as a chance to press for a home win.
- Ružomberok away record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses in 3 matches.
- Goals for: 2, goals against: 9 in away matches.
- Recent away losses: 0-5 at Slovan Bratislava on 2026-08-15, 1-2 at AS Trencin on 2026-08-29, 1-2 at Skalica on 2026-08-01.
Košice are 7th with 9 points from 7 matches. Their matches have produced 37 goals in total.
Košice have scored 19 and conceded 18 in the league. Their recent results include a 2-5 loss at Spartak Trnava and a 3-0 home win over Dukla Banská Bystrica. Against a Ružomberok side that also concedes regularly, this match could see multiple goals.
- Košice average 2.7 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per match.
- Recent high-scoring matches: 2-5 loss at Spartak Trnava on 2026-09-12, 3-0 win vs Dukla Banská Bystrica on 2026-09-06, 4-4 draw at Žilina on 2026-07-26.
Ružomberok's latest league win over Michalovce on 12 September showed a direct, aggressive style.
Their coach and the opposing coach both described aggressive play, simple balls behind the defence, and control of second balls. That approach can shape how Košice defend space in behind and compete for loose balls, though it is only one recent sample.
- Ružomberok beat Michalovce 3-0 in the league on 12 September.
- Michalovce coach Anton Šoltis said Ružomberok played aggressively, used a simpler game and dominated second balls and balls behind the defence.
- Ružomberok coach Jaroslav Köstl said at half-time that his side had failed to convert six chances.
ConfirmedSources checked 16 Sep 2026, 17:28 · Europe/BucharestMFK Ružomberok: Ruža doma zdolala Michalovcewww.mfkruzomberok.sk · 12 Sep 2026
The last five head-to-head meetings include two Košice home wins, two draws, and one Ružomberok cup win.
Košice beat Ružomberok 3-1 at home on 2026-04-25 and 3-1 at home on 2025-08-23. However, Ružomberok won 4-2 at home in the cup on 2025-12-10. The home team has won three of the last five meetings, which may favor Košice.
- 2026-04-25: Košice 3-1 Ružomberok (Super Liga)
- 2025-08-23: Košice 3-1 Ružomberok (Super Liga)
- 2025-12-10: Ružomberok 4-2 Košice (Cup)

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Kosice's home advantage and Ruzomberok's poor away form give the hosts a clear edge, supported by recent H2H success.
- FC Kosice have won 2 of their last 5 league matches, including a 3-1 home win over Ruzomberok in April 2026.
- Ruzomberok have lost all 3 away league games this season, conceding 9 goals.
- FC Kosice are 4 points ahead of Ruzomberok in the standings.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonFC KosiceEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Kosice's solid recent form and Ruzomberok's away struggles make the home side or draw a high-probability outcome.
- FC Kosice have lost only 1 of their last 5 league matches.
- Ruzomberok have not won any of their 3 away league games.
- FC Kosice are unbeaten in 2 of their 3 home league games.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonFC Kosice or DrawEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Kosice's tendency to start strongly and Ruzomberok's early defensive lapses give the hosts a slight first-half edge.
- FC Kosice led at half-time in 47% of their league matches.
- Ruzomberok trailed at half-time in 40% of their league matches.
- FC Kosice scored first-half goals in 5 of their last 7 league games.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostFC KosiceEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A repeat of Kosice's strong start and finish is plausible given Ruzomberok's away fragility.
- FC Kosice have led at half-time and won the match in 2 of their last 5 league games.
- Ruzomberok have trailed at half-time and lost the match in 3 of their last 5 league games.
- FC Kosice won the last home H2H 3-1 after leading at half-time.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostFC Kosice / FC KosiceEstimated chance30%

Goals3 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high-scoring league profiles and recent H2H meetings often exceed 2.5 goals, driven by Kosice's attacking output and Ruzomberok's defensive struggles.
- FC Kosice league matches average 4.9 total goals (19 for, 18 against in 7 games).
- Ruzomberok league matches average 3.0 total goals (8 for, 16 against in 8 games).
- Last 5 H2H meetings produced 3, 2, 6, 2, 4 goals, averaging 3.4 per game.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides regularly find the net and concede, making BTTS a strong possibility in this matchup.
- FC Kosice have scored in 6 of 7 league games and conceded in 6 of 7.
- Ruzomberok have scored in 5 of 8 league games and conceded in 7 of 8.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Kosice's strong first-half scoring tendency and Ruzomberok's occasional early concessions support a lively opening period.
- FC Kosice average 1.5 first-half goals per league game.
- Ruzomberok average 0.7 first-half goals per league game.
- In 4 of FC Kosice's last 5 league matches, there were at least 2 first-half goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The second half often features more goals as both teams push for results, especially given their defensive records.
- FC Kosice league matches average 2.4 second-half goals (total 4.9 minus 2.5 first-half average).
- Ruzomberok league matches average 1.8 second-half goals (total 3.0 minus 1.2 first-half average).
- Both teams have shown late-game vulnerability, with Kosice conceding 18 goals overall and Ruzomberok 16.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Kosice's defensive record suggests they are unlikely to shut out Ruzomberok, who have shown scoring ability.
- FC Kosice have kept only 1 clean sheet in 7 league games.
- Ruzomberok have scored in 5 of their last 8 league matches.
- Ruzomberok scored in 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostRuzomberok to scoreEstimated chance65%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Ruzomberok's leaky defence is highly unlikely to contain Kosice's potent attack.
- Ruzomberok have kept only 1 clean sheet in 8 league games.
- FC Kosice have scored in 6 of 7 league games, averaging 2.7 goals per game.
- FC Kosice scored 3 goals in each of their last two home H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonFC Kosice to scoreEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Kosice winning without conceding is unlikely given their defensive vulnerabilities and Ruzomberok's scoring threat.
- FC Kosice have conceded in 6 of 7 league games.
- Ruzomberok have scored in 5 of 8 league games.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, Ruzomberok failed to score only once.
BetBugs · Home Win to NillostNoEstimated chance70%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
An away win without conceding is highly improbable for Ruzomberok given their away form and Kosice's scoring record.
- Ruzomberok have lost all 3 away league games, conceding 9 goals.
- FC Kosice have scored in all but one league game.
- Ruzomberok have kept only 1 clean sheet in 8 league games.
BetBugs · Away Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance85%