Tacuary112 de Junio Villa Hayes2

HT 0–1Tue 15 Sept 2026, 22:00 Predictions graded

Predictions9–375%

Edges5–0100%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 14 Sep 2026, 15:48 · Europe/Bucharest

12 de Junio are the likely winners on form, but the odds offer no value.

The best betting angles are Both Teams to Score (Yes) and Over 2.5 goals, both at 1.95, with modest positive edges.

Context

Tacuary have won only three of 23 league matches this season and are 15th in the 16-team Division Intermedia.
They are one point above the relegation line, so a loss could drop them into the bottom spot. Their recent form is poor: they have not won in their last five matches, drawing two and losing three. This match is at home, but they have only two home wins all season, so the pressure to get a result is high.
- Tacuary are 15th with 20 points, one point above the relegation line.
- They have won only 3 of 23 matches this season.
- Their last five matches: DLDLL.
12 de Junio Villa Hayes are third in the Division Intermedia with 45 points from 23 matches.
They have won 7 of 11 away matches, drawing 3 and losing only 1, with 15 goals scored and 6 conceded on the road. This away strength contrasts with Tacuary's poor home record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses. The visitors' solid away form suggests they can control the match even away from home.
- 12 de Junio Villa Hayes are 3rd with 45 points.
- Away record: 7 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss in 11 matches.
- Away goals: 15 scored, 6 conceded.
Tacuary's recent results show a team struggling to pick up points.
In their last five matches, they drew with Encarnación and Fernando De La Mora, and lost to Deportivo Santani, 3 de Noviembre, and General Caballero. They have scored only 3 goals in those five games while conceding 10. This poor run suggests they may struggle to create chances against a solid away side.
- Last five matches: DLDLL.
- They scored 3 goals and conceded 10 in those matches.
- Most recent loss: 0-3 at home to Deportivo Santani on 2026-09-05.
Robert Pereira Molina is in his fifth spell as Tacuary head coach, appointed on 7 September 2026, and oversaw a 1-1 draw at Encarnación on 9 September.
This is only his second match in charge, so his tactical imprint remains limited. The short preparation window before his debut and the immediate turnaround into this fixture mean selection and organisation could still be evolving, but no concrete change is established.
- ABC Color reported on 7 September that Robert Pereira Molina had begun his fifth spell as Tacuary coach after the club changed manager.
- The APF listed Robert Pereira as Tacuary's coach for the 1-1 draw at Encarnación on 9 September.
ConfirmedSources checked 14 Sep 2026, 15:47 · Europe/BucharestABC Color: Tacuary appoint Robert Pereirawww.abc.com.py · 7 Sep 2026APF: Encarnación 1-1 Tacuarywww.apf.org.py · 9 Sep 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

12 de Junio Villa Hayes

1.67fair 2.22

BetBugs 45% · Market 59.9%

0.0ppshort

12 de Junio's strong away record and Tacuary's poor home form give the visitors a clear edge, but the odds already reflect that edge.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Draw or 12 de Junio Villa Hayes

1.25fair 1.33

BetBugs 75% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

Tacuary rarely win at home and 12 de Junio rarely lose away, making the double chance highly probable, but the odds are too short to offer value.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.36fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 73.5%

0.0ppshort

Both teams average over 0.5 first-half goals combined, making a first-half goal likely, but the odds are too short to offer value.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
12 de Junio's strong away form and Tacuary's poor home record give the visitors a clear edge, reinforced by their promotion-race motivation.
- 12 de Junio away record: 7W 3D 1L, 15 goals for, 6 against in 11 away matches
- Tacuary home record: 2W 4D 5L, 11 goals for, 16 against in 11 home matches
- Tacuary last 5 form: DLDLL; 12 de Junio last 5 form: DDLWW
BetBugs · Match Winnerwon12 de Junio Villa HayesEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Tacuary rarely win at home and 12 de Junio rarely lose away, making the double chance for the away side highly probable.
- Tacuary home win rate: 18% (2/11); 12 de Junio away loss rate: 9% (1/11)
- H2H last 3: 2 draws, 1 away win for Tacuary (when 12 de Junio was home)
- Tacuary overall win rate: 13% (3/23)
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or 12 de Junio Villa HayesEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams often draw at half-time, and their recent head-to-head first halves have all been level.
- Tacuary leading at half-time in 20% of matches; trailing in 20%
- 12 de Junio leading at half-time in 40% of matches; trailing in 13%
- H2H last 3 first-half results: 1-1, 1-1, 1-1
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time followed by a 12 de Junio win is a plausible scenario given their second-half strength and Tacuary's poor home form.
- 12 de Junio away matches: 7 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss; often win after leading or drawing at half-time
- Tacuary home matches: 2 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses; rarely come from behind
- H2H last 3: 2 draws, 1 away win for Tacuary (when 12 de Junio was home)
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw / 12 de Junio Villa HayesEstimated chance25%

Goals7 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown vulnerability defensively, and recent H2H meetings have produced goals, supporting over 2.5.
- Tacuary home matches average 2.45 total goals (27 goals in 11 games)
- 12 de Junio away matches average 1.91 total goals (21 goals in 11 games)
- H2H last 3: 4, 2, 4 total goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams consistently find the net, and their head-to-head history shows both scoring in every recent meeting.
- Tacuary scored in 8 of 11 home matches; conceded in 9 of 11
- 12 de Junio scored in 9 of 11 away matches; conceded in 5 of 11
- H2H last 3: both teams scored in all 3 meetings
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams average over 0.5 first-half goals combined, making a first-half goal likely.
- Tacuary first-half goals: 0.7 per match; first-half goals conceded: 0.7 per match
- 12 de Junio first-half goals: 0.7 per match; first-half goals conceded: 0.5 per match
- Combined first-half goal rate: 1.4 per match
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring rates suggest a moderate chance of over 1.5 goals after the break.
- Tacuary second-half goals: 0.6 per match; second-half goals conceded: 1.0 per match
- 12 de Junio second-half goals: 0.7 per match; second-half goals conceded: 0.6 per match
- Combined second-half goal rate: 1.6 per match
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Tacuary score in most home games, so 12 de Junio are unlikely to keep a clean sheet.
- 12 de Junio kept clean sheets in 6 of 11 away matches (55%)
- Tacuary failed to score in 3 of 11 home matches (27%)
- Tacuary average 1.0 goals per home match
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonTacuary to scoreEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Tacuary's poor defensive record at home makes a clean sheet unlikely against a strong away attack.
- Tacuary kept clean sheets in 2 of 11 home matches (18%)
- 12 de Junio failed to score in 2 of 11 away matches (18%)
- 12 de Junio average 1.36 goals per away match
BetBugs · Team to Scorewon12 de Junio Villa Hayes to scoreEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Tacuary's home scoring is modest, but they have a reasonable chance to score twice against a solid but not impenetrable away defense.
- Tacuary home goals: 11 in 11 matches (1.0 per match)
- Tacuary scored 2+ goals in 4 of 11 home matches (36%)
- 12 de Junio conceded 2+ goals in 2 of 11 away matches (18%)
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostTacuary over 1.5Estimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
12 de Junio's away scoring rate and Tacuary's leaky home defense support the away team scoring at least twice.
- 12 de Junio away goals: 15 in 11 matches (1.36 per match)
- 12 de Junio scored 2+ goals in 5 of 11 away matches (45%)
- Tacuary conceded 2+ goals in 6 of 11 home matches (55%)
BetBugs · Away Goals Totalwon12 de Junio Villa Hayes over 1.5Estimated chance55%