San Antonio Bulo Bulo0Aurora Cochabamba2

HT 0–2Fri 11 Sept 2026, 22:00 Predictions graded

Predictions3–538%

Edges3–175%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 10 Sep 2026, 04:08 · Europe/Bucharest

Aurora Cochabamba offer value on the away win (2.40) and double chance (1.50) against a San Antonio side struggling with recent form and a short post-cup turnaround.

Avoid goal markets like Over 2.5 and Both Teams to Score, as the odds imply higher probabilities than the model estimates.

Context

San Antonio Bulo Bulo sit 13th in the Primera División with 17 points from 18 matches.
Their away record is 0 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with 5 goals scored and 25 conceded. While this match is at home, their recent league form shows four straight losses before a win in the cup. This suggests they may struggle against a stronger Aurora side.
- Away record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 8 losses in 9 matches.
- Goals scored away: 5, goals conceded away: 25.
- Recent league form: LLLLW (last five matches).
Aurora are 5th in the Primera División with 27 points from 18 matches.
Their recent form is WDDLL, but the last three matches show improvement: a 1-0 cup win over Real Potosí, a 3-0 league win over Gualberto Villarroel SJ, and a 1-1 cup draw with Universitario de Vinto. This suggests they are in decent shape coming into this match.
- 2026-09-08: Won 1-0 vs Real Potosí (Copa de la División Profesional).
- 2026-09-05: Won 3-0 vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ (Primera División).
- 2026-09-01: Drew 1-1 vs Universitario de Vinto (Copa de la División Profesional).
The teams have met five times since August 2025.
In the most recent meeting, Aurora won 1-0 away at San Antonio Bulo Bulo. The previous league meeting in April 2026 saw Aurora win 3-1 at home. This gives Aurora a recent edge in head-to-head results.
- 2026-08-18: San Antonio Bulo Bulo 0-1 Aurora (Copa de la División Profesional).
- 2026-04-28: Aurora 3-1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo (Primera División).
San Antonio Bulo Bulo are 13th in the league table.
They have conceded 37 goals in 18 matches, an average of over 2 goals per game. Their goal difference is -19. This defensive weakness could be exploited by Aurora, who have scored 28 goals in 18 matches.
- Goals conceded: 37 in 18 matches (league).
- Goal difference: -19.
- Aurora goals scored: 28 in 18 matches.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 2

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Both Teams To ScorelostUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.45fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 69%

0.0ppshort

Both teams scored in 4 of last 5 H2H meetings and each side found the net in 7 of 9 home/away games, but the odds already price a high probability.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Aurora's stronger league position and recent H2H edge outweigh San Antonio's home advantage.
- Aurora rank 5th with 27 points; San Antonio rank 13th with 17 points.
- San Antonio home record: 5W 1D 3L; Aurora away record: 2W 5D 2L.
- H2H last 5: Aurora won 2, San Antonio won 1, 2 draws.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAurora CochabambaEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Aurora's high draw/win tendency and San Antonio's inconsistent home form make the away double chance strong.
- San Antonio home win rate: 56% (5/9); Aurora away unbeaten rate: 78% (7/9).
- Aurora overall unbeaten rate: 83% (15/18).
- H2H: San Antonio won only 1 of last 5 meetings.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Aurora CochabambaEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams often go into the break level, making a first-half draw the most likely single outcome.
- San Antonio leading at half-time in 20% of matches; trailing in 47%.
- Aurora leading at half-time in 13% of matches; trailing in 27%.
- Both teams draw at half-time in over 50% of matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Aurora's tendency to be level at half-time and then win aligns with this HT/FT pattern.
- Aurora has drawn at half-time in 60% of matches and won 33% overall.
- San Antonio has drawn at half-time in 33% and lost 61% overall.
- H2H: Aurora won 2 of last 5, with 2 draws.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw / Aurora CochabambaEstimated chance25%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
San Antonio's leaky defense and Aurora's decent scoring suggest a moderately high-scoring game.
- San Antonio home matches average 2.78 total goals (25 goals in 9 games).
- Aurora away matches average 2.22 total goals (20 goals in 9 games).
- San Antonio overall concedes 2.06 goals per game; Aurora scores 1.56 per game.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams regularly find the net, and H2H history supports goals at both ends.
- San Antonio scored in 7 of 9 home games; Aurora scored in 7 of 9 away games.
- San Antonio home clean sheet rate: 22% (2/9); Aurora away clean sheet rate: 33% (3/9).
- Both teams scored in 4 of last 5 H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate first-half scoring and conceding rates, making a first-half goal likely.
- San Antonio first-half goals per game: 0.5; first-half goals conceded: 0.8.
- Aurora first-half goals per game: 0.6; first-half goals conceded: 0.6.
- Combined first-half goal rate: 1.25 per game.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second halves tend to produce more goals for these teams, but variance is high.
- San Antonio second-half goals per game: 0.6; second-half goals conceded: 1.1.
- Aurora second-half goals per game: 0.8; second-half goals conceded: 0.7.
- Combined second-half goal rate: 1.6 per game.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches average around 9 corners, making over 8.5 a coin flip.
- San Antonio average corners per game: 3.8; opponent corners: 5.2 (total 9.0).
- Aurora average corners per game: 5.0; opponent corners: 4.3 (total 9.3).
- Combined average corners in matches involving these teams: 9.1.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches tend to produce over 4.5 cards, especially with Aurora's higher card count.
- San Antonio average yellow cards per game: 2.5; opponent: 2.1 (total 4.6).
- Aurora average yellow cards per game: 3.3; opponent: 2.7 (total 6.0).
- Combined average cards in matches involving these teams: 5.3.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance55%