Draw
Market 31.3% · BetBugs 38%
Both teams have poor win rates in their respective home/away splits, and the H2H shows a tendency for draws when Fernando de la Mora hosts.
Division IntermediaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Back the draw at 3.20 (38% model probability vs 31% implied) and under 2.5 goals at 1.70 (62% vs 59%) in a match where both teams struggle to win and score.
Avoid the home and away win markets, which are overpriced relative to the statistical evidence.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Market 31.3% · BetBugs 38%
Both teams have poor win rates in their respective home/away splits, and the H2H shows a tendency for draws when Fernando de la Mora hosts.
Market 63.7% · BetBugs 68%
Deportivo Capiata's away winless record and Fernando de la Mora's home draws support a home-or-draw double chance.
Market 58.8% · BetBugs 62%
Both teams have low scoring rates in their respective home/away splits, and the H2H trend supports a low-scoring match.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Fernando de la Mora | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23-31 | 25 |
| 10 | Deportivo Capiata | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 29-31 | 27 |

