SuperligaFull time

Predictions graded

SonderjyskE2AC Horsens5

HT 1–2Sun 6 Sept 2026, 12:00 Predictions graded

Predictions9–190%

Edges6–0100%

PossPossession 39%–61%ShotsShots 11–16On targetOn target 3–9CornersCorners 1–1

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 1 Sep 2026, 06:19 · Europe/Bucharest

The strongest betting edge is the double chance 'Draw or AC Horsens' at 1.73, with a 14-point value gap driven by SonderjyskE's winless league record.

Goals are also likely, with over 2.5 and over 1.5 second-half goals offering value, while under 9.5 corners presents a solid angle. Avoid the straight AC Horsens win due to their poor away form and SonderjyskE's potential defensive reshuffle.

Context

SonderjyskE are 12th in the Superliga with 1 point from 6 matches, while AC Horsens are 6th with 7 points.
SonderjyskE have lost five of their six league matches, including a 3-1 defeat at FC Copenhagen on 31 August and a 3-0 home loss to FC Nordsjaelland on 23 August. They have conceded 13 goals, the most in the division, and have not won at home this season. This poor form means they are likely to be desperate for points, but their defensive record suggests they may struggle to contain Horsens.
- SonderjyskE are 12th with 1 point from 6 matches (0W, 1D, 5L).
- They lost 3-1 at FC Copenhagen on 31 August and 3-0 at home to FC Nordsjaelland on 23 August.
- They have conceded 13 goals, the most in the Superliga.
AC Horsens are 6th in the Superliga with 7 points from 6 matches.
Horsens won 2-1 at home to Lyngby on 23 August and 2-1 away at Odense on 16 August, but lost 3-2 at home to Viborg on 28 August. They have scored 8 goals in 6 league games, with 3 of those coming away from home. Their away record is 1 win and 1 loss, so they are capable of taking points on the road.
- AC Horsens beat Lyngby 2-1 at home on 23 August and Odense 2-1 away on 16 August.
- They lost 3-2 at home to Viborg on 28 August.
- Their away record is 1 win and 1 loss in 2 matches.
Sønderjyske defender B. Bjarnason was sent off against FC Copenhagen on 31 August and started 3 of the last 5 available lineups.
His availability for this match is unresolved, so Sønderjyske may need to adjust their central-defence selection if the suspension is confirmed. The club has not announced the sanction, leaving the defensive setup uncertain.
- F.C. Copenhagen's 31 August match report states that Bjarnason received a direct red card after bringing down Mohamed Elyounoussi outside the area.
- Sønderjyske named Bjarnason in its 20-player squad for the Copenhagen match.
- Sønderjyske announced Bjarnason as a central-defence signing on 8 August.
- B. Bjarnason started 3 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
To watchSources checked 1 Sep 2026, 06:18 · Europe/BucharestF.C. Copenhagen match reportprod.fck.dk · 31 Aug 2026Sønderjyske squad announcementsoenderjyskefodbold.dk · 31 Aug 2026Sønderjyske signing announcementsoenderjyskefodbold.dk · 8 Aug 2026
SonderjyskE have played 3 home matches and 3 away matches in the Superliga this season.
SonderjyskE have lost all three away matches, conceding 7 goals, but at home they have drawn 0-0 with Viborg and lost to FC Nordsjaelland and FC Midtjylland. Their home record is 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with only 2 goals scored. This suggests they are slightly more competitive at home, but still vulnerable.
- SonderjyskE have lost all 3 away matches, conceding 7 goals.
- At home, they have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 2 goals and conceding 6.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 5

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
AC Horsens' superior league form and SonderjyskE's winless home record make the away side the likelier winner.
- SonderjyskE are bottom of the Superliga with 1 point from 6 matches, losing 5 of those.
- AC Horsens sit 6th with 7 points and have won 2 of their last 3 league games.
- SonderjyskE have lost all 3 home league matches this season, conceding 6 goals.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAC HorsensEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
SonderjyskE's inability to win matches makes the double chance for AC Horsens or a draw a strong statistical play.
- SonderjyskE have failed to win any of their 6 league matches this season.
- AC Horsens have avoided defeat in 3 of their last 5 league games.
- SonderjyskE's only point came from a 0-0 home draw against Viborg.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or AC HorsensEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A pattern of SonderjyskE drawing at halftime before losing supports the draw/AC Horsens half-time/full-time double.
- SonderjyskE have been level at halftime in 4 of their 6 league matches.
- AC Horsens have won 2 of their last 3 league matches, often after a tight first half.
- SonderjyskE have lost 5 of 6 league matches, with 3 of those losses coming after a level halftime score.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/AC HorsensEstimated chance22%

Goals5 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches consistently produce three or more goals, driven by leaky defences and moderate attacking output.
- SonderjyskE's league matches average 3.0 total goals per game (18 goals in 6 matches).
- AC Horsens' league matches average 3.0 total goals per game (18 goals in 6 matches).
- Both teams have scored in 4 of SonderjyskE's 6 league matches and 4 of AC Horsens' 6.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides regularly find the net, and SonderjyskE's defensive fragility increases the likelihood of goals at both ends.
- SonderjyskE have scored in 5 of their 6 league matches despite poor results.
- AC Horsens have scored in 5 of their 6 league matches.
- SonderjyskE have kept only one clean sheet in their last 15 matches across all competitions.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The first-half goal averages for both teams hover near the 1.5 line, making this a marginal over play.
- SonderjyskE average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 1.0 first-half goals conceded per match.
- AC Horsens average 0.5 first-half goals scored and 0.8 first-half goals conceded per match.
- Combined first-half goal averages suggest around 1.5 total first-half goals per match.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance48%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring is elevated by both teams' tendency to concede late, supporting the over 1.5 second-half goals line.
- SonderjyskE concede an average of 1.7 goals per match, with many coming after halftime.
- AC Horsens score an average of 1.4 goals per match, often in the second half.
- Both teams' recent matches show a trend of late goals, with 4 of SonderjyskE's last 5 league games having 2+ second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
AC Horsens' defensive record and SonderjyskE's ability to score make an away clean sheet unlikely.
- AC Horsens have kept only one clean sheet in their last 15 matches across all competitions.
- SonderjyskE have scored in 5 of their 6 league matches this season.
- AC Horsens concede an average of 1.2 goals per match.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonSonderjyskE to scoreEstimated chance68%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low corner counts themselves, and the combined average sits just above the line, making under 9.5 a reasonable play.
- SonderjyskE average 3.9 corners per match and concede 7.0 opponent corners per match.
- AC Horsens average 3.0 corners per match and concede 7.0 opponent corners per match.
- Combined average corners per match is approximately 10.0, but recent matches show lower totals.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 9.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined yellow card average narrowly exceeds the line, and both teams' disciplinary records support a slight over lean.
- SonderjyskE average 1.5 yellow cards per match, while AC Horsens average 2.2 yellow cards per match.
- Combined average yellow cards per match is 3.7, just above the 3.5 line.
- SonderjyskE have received at least one yellow card in 5 of their last 6 league matches.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance52%

Head-to-Head

4W · 0D · 1W

W1-4AC HorsensvSonderjyskeMar 9, 20241.

L5-0SonderjyskevAC HorsensAug 12, 20231.

W1-2AC HorsensvSonderjyskeAug 9, 2023DBU

W1-2AC HorsensvSonderjyskeMay 20, 2021SUP

W2-3SonderjyskevAC HorsensApr 11, 2021SUP

4.2 goals/game avg

League Table

Superliga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
12	SonderjyskE Relegation Playoffs	6	0	1	5	5-13	1	LLLDL
6	AC Horsens Play-offs	6	2	1	3	8-10	7	LWWLL

6pt gap between teamsSonderjyskE in relegation zone

Recent Form

SonderjyskE

L1-3FC CopenhagenAug 31SUP

L0-3FC NordsjaellandAug 23SUP

L2-3BrondbyAug 17SUP

D0-0ViborgAug 7SUP

L0-1OdenseAug 3SUP

L2-3FC MidtjyllandJul 26SUP

W1-0Kolding IFJul 17FRI

L1-2Holstein KielJul 10FRI

D1-1VikingJul 3FRI

W4-2Randers FCJun 26FRI

L1-4FC NordsjaellandMay 17SUP

W1-0ViborgMay 8SUP

L1-2AarhusMay 3SUP

W3-0BrondbyApr 26SUP

L1-2FC MidtjyllandApr 23SUP

AC Horsens

L1-2FC MidtjyllandAug 2SUP

D1-1FC NordsjaellandJul 26SUP

L0-1Vendsyssel FFJul 18FRI

L0-2AarhusJul 15FRI

L2-3FC CopenhagenJul 11FRI

W2-0HobroJul 4FRI

D1-1FC NordsjaellandJun 27FRI

W1-0Kolding IFMay 311.

W2-0LyngbyMay 251.

D1-1HvidovreMay 161.

W4-0HillerødMay 91.

Squad & Injuries

SonderjyskE

33 available

Attackers9

Midfielders12

Defenders8

Goalkeeper4

AC Horsens

29 available

Attackers6

Midfielders11

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or AC Horsens

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 1.5

Under 9.5

SonderjyskE to score

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals5 of 5 landed

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

SonderjyskE

AC Horsens

Squad & Injuries

SonderjyskE

AC Horsens