Süper LigFull time

Predictions graded

Corum FK3Eyupspor0

HT 2–0Sun 6 Sept 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions1–910%

Edges1–325%

PossPossession 60%–40%ShotsShots 19–8On targetOn target 9–4CornersCorners 8–3

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 1 Sep 2026, 06:40 · Europe/Bucharest

The top betting edge is Double Chance Eyupspor or Draw at 2.15, with a model edge of +21.5 points, though Eyupspor's poor away form is a key risk.

Under 2.5 goals at 1.85 is a secondary value play, while the match winner and first-half goals markets are overpriced and should be avoided.

Context

Çorum FK are 16th in the Süper Lig with 1 point from 3 matches, one point above the relegation line.
They have lost their last two matches, including a 6-2 defeat at Beşiktaş on 31 August and a 1-0 home loss to Kasımpaşa on 22 August. Their only point came from a 2-2 draw at Galatasaray on 14 August. This poor start puts pressure on them to get a result at home against Eyüpspor.
- Çorum FK are 16th with 1 point from 3 matches (0W, 1D, 2L).
- They lost 6-2 at Beşiktaş on 31 August 2026.
- They lost 1-0 at home to Kasımpaşa on 22 August 2026.
- They drew 2-2 at Galatasaray on 14 August 2026.
Eyüpspor are 14th with 3 points from 3 matches, but their away record is 0W, 0D, 1L.
They lost 1-0 at Beşiktaş on 16 August 2026 in their only away game. Last season, they had mixed away results, including a 3-3 draw at Fenerbahçe and a 1-1 draw at Kayserispor, but also losses at Antalyaspor and Kasımpaşa. This suggests they may struggle away from home.
- Eyüpspor lost 1-0 at Beşiktaş on 16 August 2026.
- Their away record this season is 0W, 0D, 1L.
- Last season they drew 3-3 at Fenerbahçe on 17 May 2026 and 1-1 at Kayserispor on 3 May 2026.
Çorum FK left-back Cemali Sertel has not started any of the last five available team fixtures and continues individual recovery work.
His availability remains unresolved six days before the match. If he is not cleared, Çorum must adjust the left side of its defensive setup, which could affect defensive balance.
- Çorum Hakimiyet reported on 8 August that Sertel had a muscle tear suffered in the Düzce camp and was expected to be out for about four weeks.
- A 25 August training report said Sertel did not join the team session and continued individual pitch work with a physiotherapist.
- C. Sertel started 0 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
ReportedSources checked 1 Sep 2026, 06:39 · Europe/BucharestÇorum Hakimiyetwww.corumhakimiyet.net · 8 Aug 2026NewHabernewhaber.com · 25 Aug 2026
Eyüpspor head coach Özhan Pulat was sent off during the Alanyaspor match and assistant Erman Kılıç represented the team afterward.
Confirmation is still needed on whether this affects Pulat's touchline role in Çorum. Any touchline restriction would alter Eyüpspor's in-match communication and decision-making structure.
- DHA reported that Eyüpspor head coach Özhan Pulat was shown a red card in the 52nd minute for protests during the 30 August match against Alanyaspor.
- DHA's post-match report identified assistant coach Erman Kılıç as Eyüpspor's representative at the press conference.
To watchSources checked 1 Sep 2026, 06:39 · Europe/BucharestDHAwww.dha.com.tr · 30 Aug 2026DHAwww.dha.com.tr · 30 Aug 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Eyupspor's superior league position and H2H edge outweigh Corum FK's home advantage, though both teams have struggled this season.
- Eyupspor away record this season: 0W 0D 1L, 0 goals scored, 1 conceded
- Corum FK home record this season: 0W 0D 1L, 0 goals scored, 1 conceded
- H2H last 5: Eyupspor won 2, Corum FK won 1 (including cup), no draws
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostEyupsporEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Eyupspor's better form and H2H record make them less likely to lose, supporting a double chance away or draw.
- Corum FK have lost 2 of 3 league matches this season
- Eyupspor have lost only 1 of 3 league matches
- H2H: Eyupspor unbeaten in last 2 meetings vs Corum FK
BetBugs · Double ChancelostEyupspor or DrawEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams often go into half time level, making a draw the most likely first half result.
- Corum FK leading at half time in 40% of matches, trailing in 27%
- Eyupspor leading at half time in 33% of matches, trailing in 20%
- Both teams have high draw rates at half time
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Eyupspor's tendency to draw at half time and then win could produce this HT/FT combination.
- Eyupspor have drawn at half time in 2 of 3 league matches
- Eyupspor have won 1 of 3 league matches
- Corum FK have drawn at half time in 1 of 3 league matches
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw / EyupsporEstimated chance18%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate scoring averages and defensive tendencies, making under 2.5 goals likely.
- Corum FK average 1.5 goals scored, 1.1 conceded per match
- Eyupspor average 1.3 goals scored, 1.1 conceded per match
- Combined average total goals: 2.6, but both teams have low scoring in recent league matches
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have struggled to score consistently, suggesting at least one side may fail to find the net.
- Corum FK failed to score in 2 of 3 league matches
- Eyupspor failed to score in 2 of 3 league matches
- Both teams have scored in only 1 of 3 league matches each
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, with low first half scoring averages supporting under 1.5 goals.
- Corum FK average 0.5 first half goals scored, 0.5 conceded
- Eyupspor average 0.7 first half goals scored, 0.3 conceded
- Combined first half average: 1.0 goals
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Slightly higher second half scoring averages suggest a modest chance of over 1.5 goals after the break.
- Corum FK average 1.0 second half goals (total - first half)
- Eyupspor average 0.6 second half goals
- Combined second half average: 1.6 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance48%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate corner counts, with combined average below 9.5, supporting under.
- Corum FK average 5.8 corners per match, opponent corners 4.5
- Eyupspor average 2.8 corners per match, opponent corners 5.3
- Combined average corners: 8.6
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high yellow card averages, making over 3.5 cards likely.
- Corum FK average 2.2 yellow cards per match
- Eyupspor average 3.2 yellow cards per match
- Combined average yellow cards: 5.4
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance52%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 22.2% leaves no cushion vs our 42% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

2W · 0D · 1W

W0-1EyüpsporvÇorum FKMar 9, 20241.

W2-3Çorum FKvEyüpsporOct 22, 20231.

L3-0Çorum FKvEyüpsporNov 5, 2020TÜR

3 goals/game avg

League Table

Süper Lig 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
16	Corum FK	3	0	1	2	4-9	1	LLD
14	Eyupspor	3	1	0	2	2-3	3	WLL

2pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Corum FK

L2-6BeşiktaşAug 31SÜP

L0-1KasımpaşaAug 22SÜP

D2-2GalatasarayAug 14SÜP

W2-0Esenler EroksporMay 241.

L0-1Bodrum FKMay 111.

W1-0KeçiörengücüMay 71.

D1-1Erzurumspor FKMay 21.

W4-0SakaryasporApr 261.

W3-1SivassporApr 191.

D1-1PendiksporApr 111.

D1-1Bodrum FKApr 71.

L0-1BandırmasporApr 31.

W2-0Iğdır FKMar 221.

W2-1Esenler EroksporMar 161.

W2-1BolusporMar 121.

Eyupspor

W2-1AlanyasporAug 30SÜP

L0-1Gaziantep FKAug 23SÜP

L0-1BeşiktaşAug 16SÜP

W2-0İstanbulsporJul 24FRI

W1-0Mardin 1969Jul 20FRI

D3-3FenerbahçeMay 17SÜP

W4-0RizesporMay 9SÜP

D1-1KayserisporMay 3SÜP

W3-0Gaziantep FKApr 25SÜP

W2-1Fatih KaragümrükApr 18SÜP

L1-2SamsunsporApr 13SÜP

L0-3AntalyasporApr 5SÜP

L0-1TrabzonsporMar 18SÜP

L0-1KasımpaşaMar 15SÜP

L0-1KocaelisporMar 9SÜP

Squad & Injuries

Corum FK

29 available

Attackers5

Midfielders12

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Eyupspor

32 available

Attackers9

Midfielders10

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Eyupspor or Draw

Under 2.5

No

Under 1.5

Result0 of 4 landed

Goals1 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Under 1.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Corum FK

Eyupspor

Squad & Injuries

Corum FK

Eyupspor