Super LigaFull time

Predictions graded

Komarno0Skalica0

HT 0–0Sat 5 Sept 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–742%

Edges4–450%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 2 Sep 2026, 01:11 · Europe/Bucharest

Back Skalica to win at odds around 3.50 (model edge +11 points) or take Draw/Skalica double chance at 1.83.

Avoid Komarno home win and all first-half goal markets, which are heavily overpriced.

Context

Komarno are in the Super Liga relegation group, currently 11th of 12 teams with three points from six matches.
They have lost both home games this season, conceding five goals and scoring only one. Their recent form shows three draws and three losses, including a 2-2 draw at Dukla Banská Bystrica on 29 August and a 1-2 loss at Žilina on 23 August. Without a win, they need points to avoid falling further behind.
- Komarno are 11th with 3 points from 6 matches (0W, 3D, 3L).
- Home record: 0W, 0D, 2L, 1 goal scored, 5 conceded.
- Recent league results: 2-2 draw at Dukla Banská Bystrica (29 Aug), 1-2 loss at Žilina (23 Aug), 0-3 home loss to Dunajska Streda (16 Aug).
Skalica are 7th with 7 points, but their recent form is poor with three straight league defeats.
They lost 1-6 at home to Dunajska Streda on 30 August, 0-2 at Zemplín Michalovce on 22 August, and 2-4 at home to FK Košice on 15 August. That is 11 goals conceded in three matches, showing serious defensive problems. Komarno may find chances against this back line.
- Skalica's last three league results: 1-6 home loss to Dunajska Streda (30 Aug), 0-2 away loss to Zemplín Michalovce (22 Aug), 2-4 home loss to FK Košice (15 Aug).
- They conceded 11 goals in those three matches.
- Overall this season they have conceded 15 goals in 6 league games.
The teams have met five times in the Super Liga since August 2025.
In the most recent meeting on 25 April 2026, Skalica won 2-0 at Komarno. They also won 1-0 at Komarno on 30 August 2025. Komarno's only home win in this period was a 1-0 victory on 30 August 2025, but Skalica have generally had the edge away from home.
- 25 Apr 2026: Komarno 0-2 Skalica (Super Liga).
- 30 Aug 2025: Komarno 1-0 Skalica (Super Liga).
- 22 Mar 2026: Skalica 2-1 Komarno (Super Liga).
Skalica head coach Roman Hudec has made defensive organisation a stated priority after the 1-6 defeat at DAC on 30 August.
Hudec said Skalica lost compactness and central strength in midfield, and his response makes protecting the middle a concrete focus for the Komárno match. That could mean a deeper or narrower away block, but the claim does not specify which players or shape will change.
- Hudec said Skalica were no longer compact and had lost their strength in midfield after the 1-6 defeat at DAC.
- He said the team had made DAC's victory easier through the way it performed.
ConfirmedSources checked 2 Sep 2026, 01:08 · Europe/BucharestDAC 1904 match report: Skalica 1-6 DACwww.dac1904.sk · 30 Aug 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Skalica's superior away form and Komarno's poor home record give the visitors the edge, supported by their recent H2H win.
- Skalica away record this season: 1W-1D-1L, 4 goals scored, 4 conceded in 3 away matches.
- Komarno home record this season: 0W-0D-2L, 1 goal scored, 5 conceded in 2 home matches.
- H2H last 5: Skalica won 2, Komarno won 2, 1 draw; Skalica won the most recent meeting 2-0 away.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostSkalicaEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Komarno's home struggles and Skalica's decent away resilience make the double chance a safer play.
- Komarno have not won at home this season (0W-0D-2L).
- Skalica have avoided defeat in 2 of 3 away matches (1W-1D-1L).
- H2H last 5: Skalica unbeaten in 3 of 5 meetings (2W-1D).
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or SkalicaEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate first-half leads, and their head-to-head often sees level scores at the break.
- Komarno led at half-time in 47% of their last 15 matches.
- Skalica led at half-time in 27% of their last 15 matches.
- H2H last 5: 2 draws at half-time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Skalica's stronger second-half scoring and Komarno's defensive lapses after the break give the visitors a slight edge.
- Skalica scored 60% of their goals in the second half this season.
- Komarno conceded 64% of their goals in the second half this season.
- Skalica won the second half in 2 of their last 5 league matches.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostSkalicaEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A level first half followed by a Skalica win is plausible given Komarno's slow starts and Skalica's second-half strength.
- Komarno drew at half-time in 33% of their last 15 matches.
- Skalica won 2 of their last 5 league matches.
- H2H last 5: 1 match ended Draw/Skalica.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/SkalicaEstimated chance25%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Neither side has shown the dominance required to win both halves, making this a strong 'No'.
- Komarno have not won a home match this season.
- Skalica have not won both halves in any of their last 5 league matches.
- H2H last 5: no team won both halves.
BetBugs · Win Both HalveswonNoEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Skalica have been resilient in first halves, and Komarno's first-half lead rate is not high enough to favor them.
- Komarno led at half-time in 47% of their last 15 matches.
- Skalica trailed at half-time in only 27% of their last 15 matches.
- H2H last 5: Skalica led or drew at half-time in 4 matches.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or SkalicaEstimated chance65%

Goals1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, and Skalica's away fixtures have trended over 2.5 goals.
- Komarno's last 5 league matches averaged 2.8 total goals.
- Skalica's last 5 league matches averaged 3.4 total goals.
- Skalica's away matches this season averaged 2.67 total goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides have shown consistent scoring ability, and Skalica's recent games often feature goals at both ends.
- Komarno scored in 5 of their last 6 league matches.
- Skalica scored in 5 of their last 6 league matches.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Skalica's last 5 league matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score in the first half, and their recent meetings have seen early goals.
- Komarno averaged 0.8 first-half goals in their last 15 matches.
- Skalica averaged 0.6 first-half goals in their last 15 matches.
- In H2H last 5, 4 matches had at least one first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring has been common in both teams' recent matches, though the sample is limited.
- Komarno's last 5 league matches averaged 1.6 second-half goals.
- Skalica's last 5 league matches averaged 1.8 second-half goals.
- Skalica's away matches this season averaged 1.67 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
First-half scoring tends to be one-sided, and their head-to-head rarely sees both teams score before the break.
- Komarno averaged 0.8 first-half goals and 0.5 first-half goals conceded.
- Skalica averaged 0.6 first-half goals and 0.9 first-half goals conceded.
- H2H last 5: both teams scored in the first half in only 1 match.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance60%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 53% leaves no cushion vs our estimate of 35%; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

2W · 1D · 2W

W0-2KomárnovSkalicaApr 25, 2026SUP

L2-1SkalicavKomárnoMar 22, 2026SUP

D1-1SkalicavKomárnoDec 6, 2025SUP

L1-0KomárnovSkalicaAug 30, 2025SUP

W0-1SkalicavKomárnoApr 27, 2025SUP

Komarno: 2 clean sheets1.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Super Liga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
11	Komarno Nike liga (Relegation Group)	6	0	3	3	6-11	3	DLLDL
7	Skalica Nike liga (Relegation Group)	6	2	1	3	9-15	7	LLLWW

4pt gap between teamsKomarno in relegation zoneSkalica in relegation zone

Recent Form

Komarno

D2-2Dukla Banská BystricaAug 29SUP

L1-2ŽilinaAug 23SUP

W5-0Slovan TomášovceAug 19CUP

L0-3Dunajska StredaAug 16SUP

D1-1Zemplín MichalovceAug 8SUP

L1-2Spartak TrnavaAug 2SUP

D1-1AS TrencinJul 25SUP

D1-1MTK BudapestJul 18FRI

W5-0PohronieJul 11FRI

D0-0Lokomotíva ZvolenJul 8FRI

L1-3VasasJul 4FRI

L1-4PaksJun 27FRI

W3-0Lokomotíva ZvolenMay 232.

L0-1Lokomotíva ZvolenMay 192.

W1-0Tatran PrešovMay 16SUP

Skalica

L1-6Dunajska StredaAug 30SUP

L0-2Zemplín MichalovceAug 22SUP

W1-0Nové Mesto nad VáhomAug 19CUP

L2-4FK KošiceAug 15SUP

W3-1ŽilinaAug 9SUP

W2-1RužomberokAug 1SUP

D1-1Spartak TrnavaJul 25SUP

W3-1SlováckoJul 18FRI

W2-1Zlaté MoravceJul 8FRI

W1-0PetržalkaJul 4FRI

D0-0Sigma OlomoucJul 1FRI

W2-1ZlinJun 27FRI

W1-0RužomberokMay 16SUP

L0-3Tatran PrešovMay 9SUP

W3-1FK KošiceMay 5SUP

Squad & Injuries

Komarno

27 available

Attackers7

Midfielders9

Defenders7

Goalkeeper4

Skalica

25 available

Attackers6

Midfielders8

Defenders7

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Skalica

Draw or Skalica

No

Draw or Skalica

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5

No

Result4 of 7 landed

Goals1 of 5 landed

Markets to Avoid

@ 1.88

Over 0.5

No

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Komarno

Skalica

Squad & Injuries

Komarno

Skalica