Yes
Market 57.1% · BetBugs 58%
Both sides have scored in recent matches and the H2H has seen goals at both ends, but the edge is thin.
VirsligaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
FS Jelgava are overpriced at home despite poor recent home form, so avoid backing them in the match winner or double chance markets.
The only slight value is Both Teams to Score – Yes at 1.75, but the edge is minimal and Super Nova's defensive suspension adds risk.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 57.1% · BetBugs 58%
Both sides have scored in recent matches and the H2H has seen goals at both ends, but the edge is thin.
Other edges · 5
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
FS JelgavaBetBugs 42% · Market 56%
Despite the recent H2H win, FS Jelgava's home record is weak, and the odds imply a much higher probability than our estimate.
BetBugs 68% · Market 82%
The odds heavily favor FS Jelgava or Draw, but our estimate is significantly lower, suggesting no value.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
The odds imply a 56% chance for FS Jelgava, but our estimate is only 42%, leaving no value and a negative edge.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FS Jelgava | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 32-47 | 31 |
| 7 | Super Nova Riga | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27-38 | 29 |

