Draw
Market 41.7% · BetBugs 45%
Both teams have similar half-time profiles with frequent draws, and the 2.40 odds offer a small edge over our 45% estimate.
Süper LigFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Beşiktaş are favored at home but face a short European turnaround, making the 1.40 outright price too short.
The best value is under 2.5 goals at 1.95 (model edge +8.7 points) and the first-half draw at 2.40 (+3.3 points). Avoid the double chance at 1.10 and cards under 4.5 at 1.14, both heavily overpriced.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 41.7% · BetBugs 45%
Both teams have similar half-time profiles with frequent draws, and the 2.40 odds offer a small edge over our 45% estimate.
Market 51.3% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams have moderate scoring rates and solid defensive records, suggesting a low-scoring affair, especially with Besiktas potentially rotating after European duty.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 80% · Market 90.9%
Besiktas are unbeaten at home this season and Corum FK have only one away win in their last five, but the 1.10 price offers negative value against our 80% estimate.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 71.4% leaves no cushion vs our 55% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Besiktas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 3 |
| 15 | Corum FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 1 |

