Süper LigFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Back Samsunspor or Draw at 2.30 — our model gives it a 58% chance versus the implied 43.5%, a +15-point edge.
For goals, skip the full-match Over 2.5 (negative value) and consider Over 1.5 second-half goals at 2.15, which offers a +8.5-point edge.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 43.5% · BetBugs 58%
Samsunspor are unbeaten in their last five H2H meetings and have lost only once at home in recent league play, making the double chance a strong value play.
Market 46.5% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams tend to score more in the second half, making over 1.5 second-half goals likely, and the odds offer a positive edge.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 55% · Market 64.5%
Both teams have shown attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, but the odds already price in a high-scoring game, leaving no value.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 25% leaves no cushion vs our 34% estimate; the draw is already priced attractively but lacks the required edge for a medium-confidence bet.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Samsunspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5-3 | 4 |
| 8 |  Fenerbahce | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5-4 | 3 |