Super LigaFull time

Predictions graded

Podbrezova2FC Kosice2

HT 0–2Sat 29 Aug 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–363%

Edges5–183%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 Aug 2026, 23:54 · Europe/Bucharest

Podbrezova's home form and H2H dominance make them favourites, but the match-winner odds offer no value.

The best betting opportunities are Over 1.5 first-half goals (edge +8.7pts) and Over 1.5 second-half goals (edge +12.6pts), driven by both teams' high-scoring tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities.

Context

FC Košice attacker R. Čerepkai has left the club, with coach Peter Černák confirming the side must cope without him.
His departure removes a listed attacking option from Košice's selection for this match. Černák said other attacking players need to step forward, but the claim does not identify a specific replacement, so the attacking shape remains uncertain.
- FC Košice announced on 17 August that R. Čerepkai had transferred to ŠK Slovan Bratislava.
- Černák said Košice had to play without Čerepkai against Slovan and would need other attacking players to step forward.
ConfirmedSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 10:08 · Europe/BucharestFC Košice: Čerepkai transfers to Slovanwww.fckosice.sk · 17 Aug 2026FC Košice: Černák's Podbrezová previewwww.fckosice.sk · 28 Aug 2026
Podbrezova sit 5th with 9 points and are in the Championship Group places.
They beat AS Trencin 2-1 on 15 August and Zemplin Michalovce 2-0 on 25 July at home. That home record contrasts with their away struggles, where they lost 5-0 at Dunajska Streda on 22 August. Kosice have scored eight goals in two away league games, so this match tests whether Podbrezova's home defence can hold.
- Podbrezova won 2-1 at home to AS Trencin on 2026-08-15.
- Podbrezova won 2-0 at home to Zemplin Michalovce on 2026-07-25.
- Podbrezova have conceded only one goal in two home league matches.
Podbrezová's central defence changed in August, with Filip Mielke leaving and Ján Krivák arriving.
The turnover can alter the central pairing and defensive communication. The club said the defence would be rebuilt around an expected departure, but no specific pairing or tactical adjustment is supplied, so the exact effect on this match is unclear.
- Podbrezová announced on 17 August that Filip Mielke had transferred to FC Hradec Králové.
- On 10 August, Podbrezová announced Ján Krivák's arrival at centre-back and said the defence would be rebuilt around an expected departure.
ConfirmedSources checked 29 Aug 2026, 10:08 · Europe/BucharestFK Železiarne Podbrezová: Filip Mielke leaves for Hradec Královéfkzp.sk · 17 Aug 2026FK Železiarne Podbrezová: Ján Krivák returnsfkzp.sk · 10 Aug 2026
Kosice are 7th with 5 points and sit on the relegation group line.
They won 4-2 at Skalica on 15 August and drew 4-4 at Zilina on 26 July. Their away scoring is strong, but they also conceded six goals in those games. Podbrezova's home defence has been tighter, so Kosice may need to be more clinical to get a result.
- Kosice won 4-2 at Skalica on 2026-08-15.
- Kosice drew 4-4 at Zilina on 2026-07-26.
- Kosice have scored 8 goals in 2 away league matches.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Podbrezova

1.79fair 2.22

BetBugs 45% · Market 56%

0.0ppshort

Podbrezova's perfect home record and H2H dominance are countered by FC Kosice's ability to score away, making the home win less certain than the market price suggests.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Podbrezova's strong home form and recent H2H dominance give them the edge, though FC Kosice's high-scoring away games add uncertainty.
- Podbrezova have won all 3 recent H2H meetings, including 3-1 home and 4-2 away in 2025/26.
- Podbrezova are 5th with 9 points from 5 games; FC Kosice are 7th with 5 points from 4 games.
- Podbrezova have a perfect home record this season: 2 wins from 2, scoring 4 and conceding 1.
- FC Kosice have not won away in the league this season (1 draw, 1 loss in 2 away games).
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostPodbrezovaEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Combining Podbrezova's home strength and FC Kosice's away struggles makes a home win or draw highly likely.
- Podbrezova are unbeaten at home this season (2 wins from 2).
- FC Kosice have not won away in the league this season (1 draw, 1 loss).
- Podbrezova have won the last 3 H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonPodbrezova or DrawEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Podbrezova's tendency to start strong at home gives them a slight edge, but FC Kosice's first-half scoring ability makes this uncertain.
- Podbrezova have led at half-time in 47% of their matches.
- FC Kosice have trailed at half-time in 33% of their matches.
- Podbrezova won the first half in their last home league game (2-0 vs Zemplín Michalovce).
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostPodbrezovaEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Podbrezova's home dominance could lead to a wire-to-wire win, but FC Kosice's resilience makes this a lower-probability outcome.
- Podbrezova have led at half-time in 47% of matches and won 60% of matches.
- FC Kosice have trailed at half-time in 33% and lost 25% of matches.
- Podbrezova won both halves in their last home league game.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostPodbrezova/PodbrezovaEstimated chance30%

Goals4 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches, and the H2H history strongly supports over 2.5 goals.
- All 3 recent H2H meetings produced at least 4 goals.
- FC Kosice's league games average 5.75 goals per game (23 goals in 4 games).
- Podbrezova's home games average 2.5 goals per game, but their overall games average 3.6 goals.
- FC Kosice have scored 12 goals in 4 league games, but also conceded 11.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have consistent scoring records and leaky defenses, making BTTS very likely.
- FC Kosice have scored in all 4 league games this season.
- Podbrezova have scored in 4 of their 5 league games.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings.
- FC Kosice have conceded in all 4 league games.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start quickly, and the H2H history shows early goals, supporting over 1.5 first-half goals.
- FC Kosice average 1.2 first-half goals per game this season.
- Podbrezova average 0.8 first-half goals per game.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, first-half goals were common (at least 1 in 4 of 5 games).
- FC Kosice have led at half-time in 40% of their matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams are prone to conceding late, and the overall high-scoring trend suggests second-half goals.
- FC Kosice's games average 3.5 second-half goals (total goals minus first-half goals).
- Podbrezova's games average 2.2 second-half goals.
- Recent H2H meetings have seen multiple second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance65%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Limited corner data makes this speculative, but FC Kosice's games tend to have high corner counts due to their open play.
- FC Kosice average 3.5 corners per game, but their opponents average 6.5 corners against them.
- Podbrezova's corner data is unavailable, but their attacking style suggests they earn corners.
- In FC Kosice's last match with corner data, total corners were 12 (5 for Kosice, 7 for Skalica).
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Insufficient card data makes this a coin-flip prediction, but the competitive nature of the match could lead to cards.
- FC Kosice average 9 fouls per game, but card data is sparse.
- In the only match with card data, FC Kosice received 0 yellow cards and their opponent 2.
- No card data available for Podbrezova.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 3.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 56% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

2W · 2D · 1W

W2-4FK KošicevPodbrezováOct 25, 2025SUP

L3-1PodbrezovávFK KošiceJul 27, 2025SUP

D2-2FK KošicevPodbrezováMay 20, 2025SUP

D1-1FK KošicevPodbrezováApr 26, 2025SUP

W0-1PodbrezovávFK KošiceMar 16, 2025SUP

3.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Super Liga 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
5	Podbrezova Promotion - Nike liga (Championship Group)	5	3	0	2	8-10	9	LWWLW
7	FC Kosice Nike liga (Relegation Group)	4	1	2	1	12-11	5	LWDD

4pt gap between teamsFC Kosice in relegation zone

Recent Form

Podbrezova

L0-5Dunajska StredaAug 22SUP

W3-0RudňanyAug 19CUP

W2-1AS TrencinAug 15SUP

W4-1RužomberokAug 8SUP

L0-3Slovan BratislavaAug 1SUP

W2-0Zemplín MichalovceJul 25SUP

W3-2Liptovský MikulášJul 18FRI

L0-2Zbrojovka BrnoJul 17FRI

L0-3PetržalkaJul 11FRI

L1-3Lech PoznanJul 4FRI

L2-3Zaglebie LubinJul 1FRI

W5-0Tatran PrešovJun 27FRI

W2-0Lokomotíva ZvolenJun 20FRI

W2-0ŽilinaMay 16SUP

L1-2Slovan BratislavaMay 9SUP

FC Kosice

L1-2Slovan BratislavaAug 22SUP

W5-0RaslaviceAug 19CUP

W4-2SkalicaAug 15SUP

D3-3AS TrencinAug 1SUP

D4-4ŽilinaJul 26SUP

L2-7Diosgyori VTKJul 18FRI

W1-0HumennéJul 11FRI

D1-1RapidJul 8FRI

D2-2Sturm GrazJul 3FRI

W3-2Mezokovesd-zsoryJun 27FRI

L0-3AS TrencinMay 16SUP

W2-1KomárnoMay 10SUP

L1-3SkalicaMay 5SUP

L1-3ŽilinaMay 1CUP

W3-1RužomberokApr 25SUP

Squad & Injuries

Podbrezova

25 available

Attackers7

Midfielders9

Defenders7

Goalkeeper2

FC Kosice

33 available

Attackers5

Midfielders15

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 1.5

Over 1.5

Podbrezova

Podbrezova or Draw

Over 2.5

Yes

Result1 of 4 landed

Goals4 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Podbrezova

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Podbrezova

FC Kosice

Squad & Injuries

Podbrezova

FC Kosice