Under 2.5
Market 57.1% · BetBugs 62%
Four consecutive H2H league meetings under 2.5 goals and Wisla's 4-of-5 home unders support a low-scoring game.
EkstraklasaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The strongest value is on Under 2.5 goals (edge +4.9pts) and the first-half draw (edge +7.4pts), driven by four straight low-scoring H2H meetings and both teams' cautious home/away splits.
Wisła's new manager Adam Majewski adds uncertainty, but the data leans toward a tight, low-event match. Avoid Korona to win and Wisła -1 handicap, as the market overprices those outcomes.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 4
Market 57.1% · BetBugs 62%
Four consecutive H2H league meetings under 2.5 goals and Wisla's 4-of-5 home unders support a low-scoring game.
Market 31.3% · BetBugs 34%
Both teams are closely matched with identical goal difference and similar points, and H2H shows 2 draws in last 5.
Market 66.7% · BetBugs 68%
Home advantage and recent H2H dominance make Wisla Plock avoiding defeat likely.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 51.3% vs our 58% estimate gives only a 6.7pt edge, but the market is efficient and the new-manager factor adds uncertainty.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3-3 | 4 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4-4 | 5 |

