Svenska CupenFull time

Predictions graded

Utsiktens BK1Hacken2

HT 1–0Tue 25 Aug 2026, 16:30 Predictions graded

Predictions5–456%

Edges5–271%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 24 Aug 2026, 17:15 · Europe/Bucharest

Häcken are strong favourites to beat a financially troubled Utsiktens BK, but the odds (1.04) offer no value.

The best betting edge is Both Teams to Score Yes at 2.90, with a model probability of 62% versus an implied 34.5%. Avoid the match-winner and double-chance markets due to heavy vig.

Context

Aftonbladet reported on 9 July 2026 that Faltsetas filed for bankruptcy against Utsikten Fotboll AB.
- Club cashier Kristoffer Dennerbrant confirmed liquidity problems.
- Players reportedly travelled to matches in their own cars.
Häcken's last six away matches: W2 D2 L2.
- This is Svenska Cupen round two, where the winner qualifies for the group stage.
- Häcken average 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game in Allsvenskan.
Utsiktens BK have lost 10 of their last 15 matches.
- They concede an average of 2.5 goals per game.
- They trail at halftime in 87% of matches.
H2H results: 4-3, 5-1, 5-2, 5-0, 2-2.
- The only competitive meeting was the 2021 Svenska Cupen, won 5-1 by Häcken.
- Most meetings were friendlies from 2015-2022.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 6

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Hacken

1.04fair 1.28

BetBugs 78% · Market 96.2%

0.0ppshort

Hacken's superior league level, strong H2H record, and Utsiktens' off-pitch financial turmoil make an away win highly likely.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Draw or Hacken

1.01fair 1.09

BetBugs 92% · Market 99%

−7.0ppshort

Given Utsiktens' poor form and Hacken's consistency, the probability of Hacken avoiding defeat is very high.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 2.5

1.22fair 1.47

BetBugs 68% · Market 82%

0.0ppshort

Both teams' defensive vulnerabilities and the high-scoring H2H pattern support over 2.5 goals.

2 Nd Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 1.5

1.62fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 61.7%

0.0ppshort

Second halves tend to be more open as fatigue sets in, and both teams have high second-half scoring rates.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Hacken's superior league level, strong H2H record, and Utsiktens' off-pitch financial turmoil make an away win highly likely.
- Utsiktens BK have lost 10 of their last 15 matches, conceding 2.5 goals per game on average.
- Hacken are unbeaten in five recorded H2H meetings, winning four, including a 5-1 cup win in 2021.
- Utsiktens BK face an active liquidity crisis with unpaid wages, confirmed July 2026.
- Hacken average 1.6 goals scored and 14.7 shots per game in Allsvenskan.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonHackenEstimated chance78%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given Utsiktens' poor form and Hacken's consistency, the probability of Hacken avoiding defeat is very high.
- Utsiktens BK have won only 1 of their last 15 matches.
- Hacken have lost only 3 of their last 15 matches.
- Hacken are unbeaten in five H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonHacken or DrawEstimated chance92%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Hacken's superior first-half performance and Utsiktens' tendency to trail early make a Hacken halftime lead likely.
- Hacken lead at halftime in 40% of matches.
- Utsiktens BK trail at halftime in 87% of matches.
- Hacken score 0.9 first-half goals vs Utsiktens' 0.3.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostHackenEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Hacken's ability to start strong and maintain leads against weaker opposition supports a HT/FT double.
- Hacken lead at halftime in 40% of matches and win 47% overall.
- Utsiktens BK trail at halftime in 87% and lose 67% overall.
- Hacken won the last competitive H2H 5-1.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostHacken/HackenEstimated chance50%

Goals3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' defensive vulnerabilities and the high-scoring H2H pattern support over 2.5 goals.
- Utsiktens BK concede 2.5 goals per game on average.
- Hacken's last five H2H meetings produced 4, 6, 7, 5, and 4 total goals.
- Hacken average 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
- Utsiktens BK have seen over 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams show a tendency to score and concede, making BTTS a reasonable expectation.
- Utsiktens BK have scored in 8 of their last 15 matches.
- Hacken have conceded in 11 of their last 15 matches.
- Hacken have scored in 12 of their last 15 matches.
- Utsiktens BK have conceded in 14 of their last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While Utsiktens often fail to score, Hacken's own defensive lapses make a clean sheet unlikely but possible.
- Hacken kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 15 matches.
- Utsiktens BK failed to score in 7 of their last 15 matches.
- Hacken's defensive record is mediocre, conceding 1.8 goals per game.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostUtsiktens BK not to scoreEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined first-half goal averages suggest a decent chance of at least two goals before halftime.
- Utsiktens BK concede 1.3 first-half goals per game.
- Hacken score 0.9 first-half goals per game.
- Hacken concede 1.1 first-half goals per game.
- Utsiktens BK score only 0.3 first-half goals per game.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Second halves tend to be more open as fatigue sets in, and both teams have high second-half scoring rates.
- Utsiktens BK concede 2.5 goals per game overall, with many coming late.
- Hacken average 1.6 goals per game, often scoring in the second half.
- Hacken's matches average 3.4 total goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Hacken's attacking style generates many corners, and Utsiktens' defensive posture should add to the total.
- Hacken average 5.9 corners per game and concede 5.9 opponent corners.
- Hacken's matches average 11.8 total corners.
- Utsiktens BK corner data is unavailable, but they are likely to defend deep, conceding corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Hacken's high shot volume and Utsiktens' defensive struggles should lead to a high number of shots on target.
- Hacken average 4.6 shots on target per game.
- Hacken's opponents average 4.6 shots on target against them.
- Utsiktens BK concede many shots, though exact data is missing.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The competitive nature of a cup tie and Hacken's disciplinary record suggest a moderate chance of over 3.5 cards.
- Hacken average 2 yellow cards per game.
- Hacken's opponents average 1.5 yellow cards per game.
- Cup knockout matches often see increased intensity and cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 3.5Estimated chance52%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 96% leaves no cushion vs our 78% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

2W · 0D · 2W

W1-2BK HackenvUtsiktenNov 11, 2022FRI

L4-3BK HackenvUtsiktenMar 17, 2022FRI

W1-5UtsiktenvBK HackenAug 18, 2021SVE

L5-2BK HackenvUtsiktenMar 28, 2020FRI

5.8 goals/game avg

Recent Form

Utsiktens BK

D1-1RosengårdAug 16ETT

L0-2Hässleholms IFAug 8ETT

D2-2TvååkerAug 1ETT

W3-0StenungsundJul 18FRI

L1-3LaholmJun 27ETT

L0-3Atvidabergs FFJun 17ETT

L2-4Angelholms FFJun 13ETT

L0-1RosengårdJun 8ETT

L0-3Hässleholms IFMay 30ETT

D0-0TrelleborgMay 23ETT

L0-5LundMay 17ETT

L2-3Skövde AIKMay 13ETT

L0-4EskilsminneMay 9ETT

L0-3AFC MalmoMay 2ETT

L1-4KristianstadApr 26ETT

Hacken

W1-0HalmstadAug 17ALL

L0-3Hammarby FFAug 9ALL

D1-1Kalmar FFAug 1ALL

D0-0AIK StockholmJul 27ALL

W2-0HalmstadJul 19ALL

L3-4Orgryte ISJul 11ALL

L2-4Djurgardens IFJul 6ALL

L1-4Hammarby FFJun 24FRI

W3-2Hammarby FFMay 31ALL

D1-1IF ElfsborgMay 25ALL

W1-0Mjallby AIFMay 17ALL

W3-2Malmo FFMay 10ALL

D1-1Degerfors IFMay 2ALL

D2-2SiriusApr 27ALL

D3-3Vasteras SK FKApr 22ALL

Squad & Injuries

Utsiktens BK

23 available

Attackers7

Midfielders6

Defenders7

Goalkeeper3

Hacken

26 available

Attackers4

Midfielders8

Defenders11

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Yes

Hacken

Draw or Hacken

Hacken at half-time / Hacken at full-time

Over 2.5

Over 1.5

Over 1.5

Result2 of 4 landed

Goals3 of 5 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Hacken

Draw or Hacken

Over 2.5

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Utsiktens BK

Hacken

Squad & Injuries

Utsiktens BK

Hacken