Tacuary or Draw
Market 61.7% · BetBugs 72%
3 de Noviembre have failed to win any of their 9 away matches this season, while Tacuary are unbeaten in 6 of 9 home games, making the double chance strongly supported.
Division IntermediaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The top actionable takeaway is the double chance of Tacuary or Draw at 1.62, offering a +10.3-point edge based on 3 de Noviembre's winless away record and Tacuary's home resilience.
Avoid the away win markets and the overpriced first-half over 0.5 goals line. Monitor Tacuary's lineup for rotation after their midweek cup penalty loss.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 61.7% · BetBugs 72%
3 de Noviembre have failed to win any of their 9 away matches this season, while Tacuary are unbeaten in 6 of 9 home games, making the double chance strongly supported.
Market 51.3% · BetBugs 55%
Both defenses concede heavily and the only H2H produced four goals, supporting a moderate edge on the over.
Market 56.2% · BetBugs 58%
Both teams regularly find the net and concede, and the H2H saw both score, giving a slight edge to BTTS.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 34.5% leaves no cushion vs our 28% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Tacuary | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 23-31 | 18 |
| 16 | 3 de Noviembre | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17-30 | 10 |

