Liga Profesional ArgentinaFull time

Predictions graded

Newell's Old Boys2CA Banfield1

HT 0–0Sun 23 Aug 2026, 00:00 Predictions graded

Predictions3–633%

Edges3–443%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 18 Aug 2026, 16:57 · Europe/Bucharest

Banfield have won the last four H2H meetings 10-1 on aggregate, and Newell's home form is weak (1W 4D 3L).

The top value is the first-half under 0.5 goals at 2.40 (16-point edge), while the away win at 3.30 offers a smaller but positive edge. Avoid the over 2.5 goals and BTTS Yes, as the market has already priced in the low-scoring trend.

Context

Banfield won 3-0, 2-1, 3-0, and 2-0 in the last four meetings.
- They scored 10 goals and conceded only one in those matches.
- The 2-1 win in July 2025 came at Newell's home ground.
Home record: 1W 4D 3L in eight league matches.
- They scored only six goals at home, averaging 0.75 per game.
- They failed to score in three of their last five home matches.
Away record: 1W 1D 6L in eight league matches.
- They scored in six of their last eight away games, but still lost most.
- Their only away win came in their most recent road match against Racing Club.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
H2H psychology strongly favors Banfield, and Newell's home form is weak, but Banfield's away struggles temper confidence.
- Banfield have won the last four H2H meetings, scoring 10 goals to Newell's one.
- Newell's home record this season: 1W 4D 3L, with only 6 goals scored in 8 home games.
- Banfield's away record is poor (1W 1D 6L), but they have won 2 of their last 5 overall.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostCA BanfieldEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Newell's high draw rate and Banfield's H2H edge make the away/draw double chance a solid value.
- Newell's have drawn 6 of 16 league matches this season.
- Banfield have lost 8 of 16, but 6 of those losses came away from home.
- H2H: Banfield unbeaten in last 4 meetings.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or CA BanfieldEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A low-scoring stalemate is plausible given Newell's home draws and Banfield's occasional away resilience, but H2H trend argues against it.
- Newell's have drawn 6 of 16 league matches, with 4 draws at home.
- Banfield have drawn 3 of 16, but 2 of those draws came away.
- H2H: no draws in last 4 meetings, but both teams are inconsistent.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw / DrawEstimated chance25%

Goals3 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low-scoring profiles, especially Newell's at home, and H2H history supports a low total.
- Newell's home matches average 2.0 total goals (6 scored, 10 conceded in 8 games).
- Banfield away matches average 2.5 total goals (7 scored, 13 conceded in 8 games).
- Last 4 H2H meetings: 3-0, 2-1, 3-0, 2-0 (all under 3.5, three under 2.5).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Newell's home scoring struggles and Banfield's defensive H2H record suggest at least one team will fail to score.
- Newell's failed to score in 3 of their last 5 home matches.
- Banfield kept clean sheets in 3 of the last 4 H2H meetings.
- Newell's average only 0.75 goals per home game this season.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, especially Newell's at home, making a goalless first half likely.
- Newell's first-half goals at home: 0.3 per game (3 in 10 home matches).
- Banfield first-half goals away: 0.4 per game (3 in 8 away matches).
- In the last 4 H2H meetings, only 2 first-half goals were scored total.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Second halves have been more productive in this matchup, and both teams show higher scoring rates after the break.
- Newell's concede 0.8 second-half goals per home game.
- Banfield score 0.6 second-half goals per away game.
- H2H: 7 of 10 goals in last 4 meetings came in the second half.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 0.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Newell's defensive fragility at home and Banfield's ability to score on the road make a home clean sheet unlikely.
- Newell's have kept only 1 clean sheet in 8 home games this season.
- Banfield have scored in 6 of their last 8 away matches.
- H2H: Banfield scored in 3 of last 4 meetings.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonCA Banfield to scoreEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
H2H dominance and Newell's home scoring woes give Banfield a decent chance of a shutout, but their overall away defense is suspect.
- Banfield kept clean sheets in 3 of last 4 H2H meetings.
- Newell's failed to score in 3 of their last 5 home matches.
- Banfield's away clean sheet rate is 25% (2 in 8).
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostNewell's Old Boys not to scoreEstimated chance35%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams rank low in corner generation, and their combined averages point to a low corner count.
- Newell's average 4.1 corners per game, Banfield 3.5.
- Newell's home matches average 8.1 total corners.
- Banfield away matches average 8.4 total corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate disciplinary records, and the combined averages suggest a slightly card-heavy match.
- Newell's average 2.3 yellow cards per game, Banfield 2.4.
- Newell's home matches see an average of 4.6 total cards.
- Banfield away matches see an average of 4.9 total cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 47% leaves no cushion vs our 38% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.

Head-to-Head

1W · 0D · 4W

L3-0BanfieldvNewells Old BoysFeb 21, 2026LIG

W1-2Newells Old BoysvBanfieldJul 20, 2025LIG

L3-0BanfieldvNewells Old BoysJan 27, 2025LIG

L2-0BanfieldvNewells Old BoysJun 4, 2024LIG

L2-0Newells Old BoysvBanfieldFeb 19, 2023LIG

CA Banfield: 4 clean sheets2.6 goals/game avg

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
14	Newell's Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15-27	15	WLDLW
12	CA Banfield	16	5	3	8	17-19	18	WLDWL

3pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Newell's Old Boys

W2-0Deportivo RiestraAug 15LIG

L1-2Defensa Y JusticiaAug 9LIG

D2-2Boca JuniorsAug 2LIG

L0-1IndependienteJul 31LIG

W1-0Talleres CordobaJul 25LIG

D1-1Velez SarsfieldMay 4LIG

D1-1Instituto CordobaApr 26LIG

W3-2Union Santa FeApr 17LIG

D0-0San LorenzoApr 12LIG

W3-1Central Cordoba de SantiagoApr 5LIG

L0-2AcassusoMar 29COP

W1-0Gimnasia M.Mar 21LIG

L0-5LanusMar 17LIG

D1-1PlatenseMar 11LIG

L0-2Rosario CentralMar 1LIG

CA Banfield

W1-0Racing ClubAug 14LIG

L0-2Belgrano CordobaAug 10LIG

D0-0Estudiantes de Rio CuartoAug 1LIG

W3-2Sarmiento JuninJul 28LIG

L0-1HuracanJul 25LIG

W2-1Barracas CentralMay 2LIG

D1-1Atletico TucumanApr 26LIG

D0-0Independ. RivadaviaApr 20LIG

L0-1LanusApr 13LIG

L2-3Argentinos JRSApr 6LIG

W3-0Real PilarMar 26COP

W1-0TigreMar 21LIG

L1-2Rosario CentralMar 15LIG

L1-2Gimnasia L.P.Mar 11LIG

W2-0AldosiviMar 3LIG

Squad & Injuries

Newell's Old Boys

31 available

Attackers6

Midfielders12

Defenders11

Goalkeeper2

CA Banfield

28 available

Attackers7

Midfielders11

Defenders8

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

CA Banfield

Draw or CA Banfield

Under 0.5

Under 2.5

No

Over 0.5

CA Banfield to score

Result0 of 3 landed

Goals3 of 6 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

Under 9.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Newell's Old Boys

CA Banfield

Squad & Injuries

Newell's Old Boys

CA Banfield