1. SNLFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Maribor or Draw is the most likely outcome (75% estimated), but at 1.18 odds there is no value.
The goals markets (Over 2.5, BTTS Yes, 1H Over 0.5) are all overpriced relative to our model, so the best action is to avoid these markets or seek better prices elsewhere.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 75% · Market 84.7%
Maribor's unbeaten home record and Bravo's solid away form suggest a low probability of an away win, but the odds are too short to offer value.
BetBugs 55% · Market 64.5%
H2H history shows 3 of last 5 meetings over 2.5, but current season averages and Bravo's defensive away record suggest the market may be overpricing goals.
BetBugs 55% · Market 63.7%
Both teams have scored in 3 of last 5 H2H, but Maribor's home defensive solidity and Bravo's inconsistent away scoring make BTTS less likely than odds imply.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 60.6% vs our 45% estimate; the market heavily favours Maribor but our model sees a much closer contest.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maribor Qualifying | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7-2 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bravo LjubljanaPlay-offs | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5-5 | 8 |