Deportivo Santani
Market 40% · BetBugs 45%
Deportivo Santani's away form (5W-2D-2L) and current winning streak give them a slight edge, while the market prices both teams evenly.
Division IntermediaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Deportivo Santani's away form and winning streak give them a slight edge, with value on the away win at 2.50 and Over 2.5 goals at 2.00.
Avoid the first-half Over 0.5 and Draw No Bet markets, which are overpriced relative to our model.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Deportivo SantaniMarket 40% · BetBugs 45%
Deportivo Santani's away form (5W-2D-2L) and current winning streak give them a slight edge, while the market prices both teams evenly.
Market 50% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams have consistent scoring records, and Benjamin Aceval's defensive vulnerability supports at least three goals.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 55% · Market 55%
Benjamin Aceval's home resilience (only one loss) and previous H2H win support the double chance, but the market price matches our estimate exactly.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 53% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; the price already reflects the directional read and offers negative value.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Benjamin Aceval | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 30-19 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Santani | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 29-16 | 36 |

