Under 2.5
Market 59.9% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams average under 1.2 goals per game and the last three H2H meetings all finished under 2.5 goals.
Super LigaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Radnički Niš's unbeaten H2H record and Mačva's scoring woes point to a low-scoring away result, but the best value is Both Teams to Score – No at 1.80 (58% model vs 55.6% implied).
Avoid the double chance at 1.30 and first-half under 1.5 at 1.33—both are overpriced relative to our estimates.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 59.9% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams average under 1.2 goals per game and the last three H2H meetings all finished under 2.5 goals.
Market 55.6% · BetBugs 58%
Macva failed to score in 3 of their last 5 league matches and have not scored in the last three H2H meetings.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 72% · Market 76.9%
H2H dominance (unbeaten in 10) and Macva's poor form support the double chance, but the odds are slightly short of our estimate.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 48.8% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Macva SabacMozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3-12 | 3 |
| 12 | Radnicki NisMozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2-4 | 4 |

