Draw
Market 43.5% · BetBugs 45%
Both teams have high rates of being level at half-time (Aurora 60%, Real Potosí 53%), and the last H2H was 0-0 at the break.
Primera DivisiónFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Aurora's historical home dominance over Real Potosí is strong, but current form and the promoted side's away resilience make the market efficient.
The only small edges are on first half draw (+2 points) and both teams to score (+2 points), while the over 2.5 goals and Aurora win markets are overpriced. Expect a tight, low-scoring match with a draw at half time.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 43.5% · BetBugs 45%
Both teams have high rates of being level at half-time (Aurora 60%, Real Potosí 53%), and the last H2H was 0-0 at the break.
Market 57.8% · BetBugs 60%
Aurora scored in 86% of home matches and conceded in 86%, while Real Potosí scored in 71% of away matches.
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 75% · Market 83.3%
Aurora's home H2H dominance (11 wins in 14) and 86% home unbeaten record support the double chance, but the odds are too short to offer value.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aurora Cochabamba | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 23-22 | 22 |
| 5 | Real Potosi | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22-11 | 24 |

