FK Auda
BetBugs 55% · Market 62.5%
FK Auda's superior league position and home advantage are offset by Tukums' strong recent H2H record, leaving no value at 1.60.
VirsligaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
FK Auda are clear favourites on paper, but Tukums' recent H2H edge (3 wins in last 4, all one-goal games) makes the home win at 1.60 poor value.
The best angle is over 2.5 goals, though the edge is slim. Avoid the match winner and double chance markets due to overpricing.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
FK AudaBetBugs 55% · Market 62.5%
FK Auda's superior league position and home advantage are offset by Tukums' strong recent H2H record, leaving no value at 1.60.
BetBugs 80% · Market 84.7%
The double chance is a high-probability safety net, but the odds are too short to offer value given Tukums' recent H2H success.
BetBugs 60% · Market 63.7%
Both teams' home/away splits trend toward higher-scoring games, and Tukums' leaky away defense (2.54 goals conceded per away game) supports over 2.5 goals.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FK Auda | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 39-26 | 46 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 40-51 | 20 |

