Cracovia Krakow
BetBugs 38% · Market 51.3%
Cracovia's home advantage and Wieczysta's poor away defensive record give the hosts a slight edge, but Cracovia's own scoring struggles keep confidence medium.
EkstraklasaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Cracovia are overpriced at 1.95 given their scoring struggles; the model sees only 38% win probability.
Avoid backing the home win or Over 2.5 goals, as Cracovia have failed to score in all three league matches. The value lies in opposing the market's high expectations for goals and home dominance.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 5
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
Cracovia KrakowBetBugs 38% · Market 51.3%
Cracovia's home advantage and Wieczysta's poor away defensive record give the hosts a slight edge, but Cracovia's own scoring struggles keep confidence medium.
BetBugs 68% · Market 77.5%
Cracovia's tendency to draw and Wieczysta's inconsistent away form make a home win or draw the most likely double chance outcome.
BetBugs 55% · Market 59.9%
Wieczysta's away matches average 5.0 total goals and their defensive vulnerabilities could lead to an open match despite Cracovia's low scoring output.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 51% leaves no cushion vs our 38% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Cracovia KrakowRelegation | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 2 |
| 13 | Wieczysta Krakow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6-7 | 3 |

