Draw or Suduva Marijampole
Market 66.7% · BetBugs 70%
Suduva's solid away form and Dziugas' home vulnerability make the away side avoiding defeat likely, and the odds offer a small edge.
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Predictions gradedPre-match view
Sūduva’s head-to-head dominance and title-race incentive make them the likely side to avoid defeat, but the value is in the double chance (Draw or Sūduva @ 1.50) and Both Teams to Score (@ 1.91).
Avoid the outright away win and Draw No Bet, as the odds do not offer a positive edge.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 66.7% · BetBugs 70%
Suduva's solid away form and Dziugas' home vulnerability make the away side avoiding defeat likely, and the odds offer a small edge.
Market 52.4% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams have scored in 10 of 12 home and 8 of 10 away matches respectively, and the last two H2H meetings saw both teams score.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
Suduva MarijampoleBetBugs 45% · Market 48.8%
Suduva's head-to-head dominance (2 wins this season) and better recent form give them a slight edge, but the odds imply a higher probability than our model estimates.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dziugas Telsiai | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 34-27 | 37 |
| 3 | Suduva Marijampole | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 29-17 | 36 |

