Sacachispas
Market 35.7% · BetBugs 40%
Sacachispas are top of the table with 41 points and have won 4 of their last 5, while Deportivo Espanol have drawn 3 of their last 5 and lost at home to Canuelas recently.
Primera CFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The top betting edge is Under 0.5 first-half goals at 1.95, with our model giving it a 70% chance versus the market's 51.3%.
Sacachispas offer slight value to win at 2.80, but the match is likely to be low-scoring and tight.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
SacachispasMarket 35.7% · BetBugs 40%
Sacachispas are top of the table with 41 points and have won 4 of their last 5, while Deportivo Espanol have drawn 3 of their last 5 and lost at home to Canuelas recently.
Market 51.3% · BetBugs 70%
Both teams are cautious in the first half, with combined first-half average of 0.9 goals, making Under 0.5 attractive at near even odds.
Other edges · 5
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 60% · Market 75.2%
Deportivo Espanol have lost only 2 of 11 home games this season, making them a solid bet to avoid defeat, but the odds are too short to offer value.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 34.7% vs our estimate 30% leaves no value; the home side's strong home record is already priced in.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Deportivo EspanolPromotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs) | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 18-14 | 33 |
| 1 | SacachispasPromotion - Primera C (Super final) | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 29-16 | 41 |

