Tembetary
Market 45.5% · BetBugs 55%
3 de Noviembre are winless in 18 league matches (0W 7D 11L) and have lost their last 5, while Tembetary won the reverse fixture 1-0.
Division IntermediaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Back Tembetary to win at 2.20 (55% model probability vs 45% implied) or take Draw/Tembetary at 1.30 for a safer cover.
Avoid Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.25—the odds imply 80% but our model sees only 65%. The second-half Over 0.5 at 1.44 is the best goals value.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 5
TembetaryMarket 45.5% · BetBugs 55%
3 de Noviembre are winless in 18 league matches (0W 7D 11L) and have lost their last 5, while Tembetary won the reverse fixture 1-0.
Market 76.9% · BetBugs 80%
3 de Noviembre have not won any of their 18 league matches this season, making Draw or Tembetary a high-probability cover.
Market 58.8% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams have moderate scoring rates and the H2H was low-scoring, suggesting a tight game.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 50% matches our estimate exactly; no value cushion and the market is efficient on this line.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 3 de Noviembre | 18 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 14-30 | 7 |
| 9 | Tembetary | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25-25 | 23 |

