Jupiler Pro LeagueFull time

Predictions graded

La Louviere1Gent2

HT 1–1Sun 16 Aug 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions9–375%

Edges6–0100%

PossPossession 45%–55%ShotsShots 11–8On targetOn target 5–3CornersCorners 6–3

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 12 Aug 2026, 02:17 · Europe/Bucharest

Gent are strong favorites to avoid defeat at La Louviere, with the double chance market offering clear value.

Expect goals, with over 2.5 and both teams to score likely, but avoid short-priced markets like first-half goals and home team goals where the odds don't match the true probability.

Context

Lost 5 of last 6 league matches (W1, D0, L5).
- Conceded 2+ goals in 5 of those 6 matches.
- Only clean sheet in that run was a 0-0 draw against Genk.
Beat KV Mechelen 2-0 on Matchday 1.
- Also kept a clean sheet in a 1-0 away win at IFK Goteborg in the Conference League.
- Only conceded in one of their last three competitive matches (a 0-0 draw with LNZ Cherkasy).
Last three results: 1-1 (Jan 2026), 1-0 to Gent (Aug 2025), 1-1 friendly (Jul 2025).
- Gent have not lost in these three meetings (1W, 2D).
- All three matches had under 2.5 goals.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Gent's superior recent form and H2H edge, combined with La Louviere's defensive struggles, make an away win the most likely outcome.
- Gent won their only league match this season 2-0, while La Louviere lost 2-1 away.
- Gent are unbeaten in the last 3 H2H meetings (1W, 2D), including a 1-0 win in the most recent league clash.
- La Louviere have lost 5 of their last 6 league matches, conceding 2+ goals in 5 of those.
- Gent have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 3 competitive matches (league + ECL).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonGentEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given La Louviere's poor league form and Gent's solid away record, the visitors are highly likely to avoid defeat.
- Gent have not lost to La Louviere in the last 3 meetings (1W, 2D).
- La Louviere have lost 5 of their last 6 league games, with the only exception a draw against Genk.
- Gent have lost only 1 of their last 5 competitive away matches (W2, D2, L1).
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or GentEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Gent's strong starts contrast with La Louviere's early struggles, giving the visitors a slight edge to lead at the break.
- Gent have led at halftime in 3 of their last 5 competitive matches.
- La Louviere have trailed at halftime in 4 of their last 6 league matches.
- Gent scored 2 first-half goals in their opening league win this season.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostGentEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A tight first half could see a draw, but Gent's superior quality and fitness may tell in the second half.
- La Louviere have drawn at halftime in 2 of their last 6 league matches but lost the full match in 5 of those.
- Gent have drawn at halftime in 2 of their last 5 competitive matches, winning 2 of those full matches.
- The most recent H2H ended 1-1 at halftime and 1-1 full time.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonDraw/GentEstimated chance30%

Goals5 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent matches trend towards high-scoring affairs, with La Louviere's leaky defense a key factor.
- La Louviere's last 6 league matches have seen over 2.5 goals in 5 of them.
- Gent's last 5 competitive matches have averaged 2.8 total goals.
- La Louviere have conceded 2+ goals in 5 of their last 6 league games.
- Gent have scored in 4 of their last 5 competitive matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
La Louviere's ability to find the net at home, combined with Gent's occasional defensive lapses, suggests both teams will score.
- La Louviere have scored in 4 of their last 6 league matches.
- Gent have conceded in 3 of their last 5 competitive matches.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 3 H2H meetings.
- La Louviere average 1.2 goals per game over their last 15, while Gent average 1.4.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
La Louviere's home scoring record and Gent's vulnerability on the road make a home goal likely.
- La Louviere have scored in 4 of their last 6 league matches.
- In their last home league match, La Louviere scored 4 goals against Cercle Brugge.
- Gent have kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 5 competitive away matches.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonLa Louviere over 0.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While Gent's scoring output is inconsistent, La Louviere's defensive frailties provide a strong opportunity for multiple away goals.
- Gent have scored 2+ goals in 2 of their last 5 competitive matches.
- La Louviere have conceded 2+ goals in 5 of their last 6 league games.
- Gent average 1.4 goals per game over their last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonGent over 1.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Gent's tendency to start quickly and La Louviere's early defensive lapses point to a first-half goal.
- La Louviere have conceded a first-half goal in 5 of their last 6 league matches.
- Gent have scored a first-half goal in 4 of their last 5 competitive matches.
- In the last 3 H2H meetings, there was a first-half goal in 2 of them.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The second half is likely to be open as La Louviere chase the game and Gent exploit spaces, leading to multiple goals.
- La Louviere's last 6 league matches have seen 2+ second-half goals in 4 of them.
- Gent's last 5 competitive matches have averaged 1.6 second-half goals.
- Both teams have shown a pattern of conceding late goals in recent outings.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' corner averages and recent match data suggest a moderately high corner count.
- La Louviere's last 6 league matches have averaged 9.5 total corners.
- Gent's last 5 competitive matches have averaged 8.8 total corners.
- La Louviere average 5.5 corners per game, while Gent average 4.7.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The disciplinary records of both teams indicate a likelihood of multiple cards in a competitive early-season fixture.
- La Louviere average 1.8 yellow cards per game, Gent average 2.2.
- La Louviere's last 6 league matches have seen 4+ cards in 4 of them.
- Gent's last 5 competitive matches have averaged 3.6 cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Gent's away wins are often narrow; covering a -1 handicap is unlikely given their recent away scoring record.

Head-to-Head

0W · 1D · 1W

D1-1RAAL La LouvièrevGentJan 30, 2026JUP

L1-0GentvRAAL La LouvièreAug 2, 2025JUP

1.5 goals/game avg

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
14	La Louviere	1	0	0	1	1-2	0	L
4	Gent Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)	1	1	0	0	2-0	3	W

3pt gap between teamsGent leads the league

Recent Form

La Louviere

L1-2AnderlechtAug 9JUP

D0-0Eintracht BraunschweigAug 1FRI

D0-0SamsunsporJul 25FRI

D1-1KifisiaJul 22FRI

L0-3LilleJul 18FRI

W3-1Excelsior VirtonJul 15FRI

W3-2Lokeren-TemseJul 11FRI

L0-3RochefortJul 4FRI

W4-1Cercle BruggeMay 9JUP

L1-2DenderMay 3JUP

L0-4Zulte WaregemApr 26JUP

L0-2Zulte WaregemApr 19JUP

L0-3Cercle BruggeApr 11JUP

L0-1DenderApr 6JUP

D5-5GenkMar 22JUP

Gent

W2-0KV MechelenAug 9JUP

W1-0IFK GoteborgAug 6UEF

D0-0LNZ CherkasyJul 23UEF

D2-2TwenteJul 18FRI

L1-2Kryvbas KRJul 14FRI

W4-0SK BeverenJul 11FRI

D3-3AZ AlkmaarJul 4FRI

W6-1MerelbekeJun 27FRI

L0-5Club Brugge KVMay 24JUP

D0-0Union St. GilloiseMay 21JUP

D1-1St. TruidenMay 16JUP

D1-1AnderlechtMay 10JUP

L0-1KV MechelenMay 3JUP

L0-2Club Brugge KVApr 26JUP

D0-0Union St. GilloiseApr 22JUP

Squad & Injuries

La Louviere

30 available

Attackers5

Midfielders11

Defenders10

Goalkeeper4

Gent

32 available

Attackers8

Midfielders9

Defenders12

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or Gent

Gent

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5

Over 0.5

Result3 of 4 landed

Goals5 of 6 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

La Louviere

Over 0.5

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

La Louviere

Gent

Squad & Injuries

La Louviere

Gent