Hibernian11 – 0Partick Thistle0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Hibernian's higher league level and stronger recent opposition give them an edge, despite Partick Thistle's solid defensive record in lower tiers.

• Hibernian won 7 of last 15 matches overall, including wins over Rangers and in Europe.
• Partick Thistle's recent form includes 4 wins, 6 draws, 1 loss in last 11, but mostly against lower-league or friendly opponents.
• Hibernian averaged 1.7 goals scored vs 1.3 conceded; Partick Thistle averaged 1.7 scored vs 0.7 conceded, but against weaker competition.
• Hibernian have a 3-match winning streak in H2H, though matches are from 2017-2018.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonHibernianEstimated chance55%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Hibernian are unlikely to lose at home to a lower-division side, but Partick Thistle's resilience suggests a draw is a real possibility.

• Hibernian lost only 5 of last 15 matches, with 7 wins.
• Partick Thistle lost only 1 of last 11 matches, but drew 6.
• Hibernian's home form in last 5 home matches: 3 wins, 2 losses (both to Premiership sides).
• Partick Thistle's away form: 3 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss in last 8 away matches across all competitions.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonHibernian or DrawEstimated chance80%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Hibernian's slight home advantage and higher league quality give them a marginal edge, but Partick Thistle's strong first halves make this a close call.

• Hibernian led at halftime in 7 of 15 matches (47%).
• Partick Thistle led at halftime in 6 of 15 matches (40%).
• Hibernian's first-half goal difference: +0.5 per match; Partick Thistle's: +0.6.
• Hibernian's last 5 home matches: led at halftime in 2, drew in 2, trailed in 1.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonHibernianEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Hibernian have a moderate chance of leading at halftime and holding on, but Partick Thistle's resilience makes this a low-confidence pick.

• Hibernian led at halftime and won full-time in 5 of 15 matches (33%).
• Partick Thistle led at halftime and won full-time in 4 of 15 matches (27%).
• Hibernian's last 5 home matches: led at halftime and won in 2.
• Partick Thistle's last 5 away matches: led at halftime and won in 2.

BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonHibernian / HibernianEstimated chance30%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to score early, with high first-half goal averages, making a goal before halftime very probable.

• Hibernian averaged 1.1 first-half goals in last 15 matches; conceded 0.6.
• Partick Thistle averaged 0.9 first-half goals in last 15 matches; conceded 0.3.
• Hibernian led at halftime in 47% of matches; Partick Thistle led in 40%.
• In last 5 matches, Hibernian had first-half goals in 4; Partick Thistle in 4.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Limited data for Partick Thistle, but Hibernian's matches tend to have high corner counts, suggesting a possible over.

• Hibernian averaged 3.7 corners per match in last 15; conceded 6.7 opponent corners, total 10.4.
• Partick Thistle's corner data is unavailable for most matches.
• In Hibernian's last 5 matches with corner data, total corners averaged 10.2.
• Hibernian's home matches with data: 3 of 5 had over 8.5 corners.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Hibernian's matches tend to have moderate card counts, and the knockout nature could push the total over 3.5 cards.

• Hibernian averaged 2.3 yellow cards per match in last 15; opponents averaged 2.5.
• Partick Thistle averaged 2.0 yellow cards in matches with data; opponents averaged 1.5.
• Hibernian's last 5 matches with card data: total cards averaged 4.6.
• Knockout matches often see increased discipline issues.