Draw
Market 32% · BetBugs 40%
Cracovia drew 5 of their last 6 league matches and the most recent H2H ended 0-0; Raków are winless in the league, making a draw the most probable outcome.
EkstraklasaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
A tight, low-scoring draw is the most likely outcome, with Cracovia’s draw-heavy form and Rakow’s poor start making the stalemate at 3.10 a value pick.
Avoid the heavily juiced first-half under 1.5 goals market, and verify the fixture date before placing any bets.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 32% · BetBugs 40%
Cracovia drew 5 of their last 6 league matches and the most recent H2H ended 0-0; Raków are winless in the league, making a draw the most probable outcome.
Market 48% · BetBugs 55%
Neither team has a strong tendency to lead at the break; Cracovia led at HT in only 20% of recent matches, Raków in 0% of their last 5 competitive games, and 3 of the last 5 H2Hs were level at half-time.
Market 58.8% · BetBugs 60%
Cracovia's attack is blunt with no goals in 3 of 4 league games this season, and Raków's offense hasn't clicked; combined with a cagey H2H history, a low-scoring match is expected.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
The 4.33 odds imply a 23% probability, but our estimate for a full-time draw is 40% and a half-time draw is 55%; the combined probability of both occurring is likely lower than the market suggests, and the vig on HT/FT markets is typically high.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cracovia Krakow | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 2 |
| 17 | Rakow CzestochowaRelegation | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2-4 | 0 |

