CD Olimpia vs Motagua: result, stats and head-to-head

Result4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
CD Olimpia's recent H2H dominance and strong home form give them the edge, though the derby nature and Motagua's away win keep confidence medium.
- CD Olimpia have won their last two competitive meetings against Motagua, both 1-0 (12 Apr 2026 and 23 Jul 2026).
- CD Olimpia are unbeaten in their last five home matches across all competitions (4W, 1D).
- Motagua have lost their only home league match this season 0-2 but won their only away league match 3-0.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonCD OlimpiaEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
CD Olimpia's strong home record and historical resilience in this fixture make them unlikely to lose, supporting a high-probability double chance.
- CD Olimpia have not lost at home in their last five home matches (4W, 1D).
- Motagua have lost their only home league match this season but won their only away league match.
- In the last five H2H meetings, CD Olimpia have won twice and drawn twice.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonCD Olimpia or DrawEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The recent H2H first halves have been level, and both teams have similar first-half leading percentages, making a draw at half-time likely.
- In the last two competitive H2H meetings, the first half ended 0-0.
- CD Olimpia led at half-time in 53% of their last 15 matches.
- Motagua led at half-time in 47% of their last 15 matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The pattern of a goalless first half followed by a CD Olimpia second-half winner in recent H2H supports this HT/FT outcome.
- CD Olimpia have won their last two competitive meetings against Motagua, both 1-0 with the goal coming in the second half.
- In the last two competitive H2H meetings, the first half ended 0-0.
- CD Olimpia have a strong home record, winning 4 of their last 5 home matches.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonDraw / CD OlimpiaEstimated chance25%

Goals1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The recent H2H pattern of low-scoring tight derbies and CD Olimpia's defensive solidity at home point towards under 2.5 goals.
- Four of the last five H2H meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
- CD Olimpia's last two competitive wins over Motagua were both 1-0.
- Motagua's away league match this season ended 3-0, but their overall recent matches have been mixed.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
CD Olimpia's defensive record at home and Motagua's recent struggles to score in this fixture suggest at least one team may fail to score.
- CD Olimpia kept a clean sheet in their last home league match (2-0 vs Lobos Upnfm).
- Motagua failed to score in their only home league match this season (0-2 loss).
- In the last two competitive H2H meetings, Motagua failed to score against CD Olimpia.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
CD Olimpia's recent defensive solidity at home and Motagua's scoring struggles in this matchup give a moderate chance of a home clean sheet.
- CD Olimpia kept a clean sheet in their last home league match (2-0 vs Lobos Upnfm).
- Motagua have failed to score in two of their last three competitive matches against CD Olimpia.
- Motagua's away league match this season was a 3-0 win, showing they can score away.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostMotagua not to scoreEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start cautiously in derbies, and the recent H2H first halves have been goalless, supporting under 1.5 first-half goals.
- CD Olimpia average 1.0 first-half goals per match in their last 15 matches.
- Motagua average 0.8 first-half goals per match in their last 15 matches.
- In the last two competitive H2H meetings, the first half ended 0-0.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The pattern of late goals in this fixture and Motagua's second-half scoring away from home suggest a higher chance of second-half goals.
- CD Olimpia's last two competitive wins over Motagua were decided by a single goal in the second half.
- Motagua's away league match this season saw all three goals in the second half.
- Both teams have shown ability to score late in recent matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance45%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Without concrete corner statistics, this prediction is based on the general tendency of derby matches to produce more corners, but confidence is low.
- Corner data is unavailable for both teams in the provided dataset.
- Derby matches often feature higher corner counts due to intense play.
- No specific corner averages are available to support a strong prediction.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance50%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
2	CD Olimpia	2	2	0	0	5-1	6	WW
5	Motagua	2	1	0	1	3-2	3	LW

CD Olimpia3Motagua1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

CD Olimpia or Draw

Draw

Under 2.5

No

CD Olimpia

BetBugs probabilities

Result4 of 4 landed

Goals1 of 5 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Over 2.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

CD Olimpia

Motagua

Squad & Injuries

CD Olimpia

Motagua