Stoke City vs Swansea City: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Stoke's strong home H2H record against Swansea (unbeaten in last 3, scoring 2+ in wins) combined with Swansea's inconsistent away form gives Stoke a slight edge, though both teams have similar overall goal averages.
- Stoke unbeaten in last 3 home league H2Hs vs Swansea (2W 1D), scoring 2+ in both wins.
- Stoke averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded over last 15; Swansea 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Stoke's recent Championship home form: W vs Sheffield Wed (2-0), L vs Portsmouth (1-3), L vs Millwall (1-3), D vs Blackburn (1-1), W vs Watford (3-1).
- Swansea's recent Championship away form: D vs Norwich (1-1), W vs QPR (2-1), W vs Leicester (1-0), D vs Sheffield Utd (3-3), L vs Wrexham (0-2).
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostStoke CityEstimated chance42%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Stoke's historical home dominance over Swansea and Swansea's vulnerability on the road (loss to Wrexham) make Stoke or Draw a high-probability outcome, supported by Stoke's decent home form against mid-table opposition.
- Stoke unbeaten in last 3 home league H2Hs vs Swansea (2W 1D).
- Stoke's home record in last 5 Championship matches: 2W 1D 2L, with both losses against top-half sides.
- Swansea's away record in last 5 Championship matches: 2W 2D 1L, but the loss was against Wrexham (relegation candidate).
- Both teams have identical goals conceded averages (1.5) over last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostStoke City or DrawEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a tendency to draw at halftime in recent matches, and H2Hs at Stoke have been tight at the break, making a draw the most likely first-half outcome despite low confidence.
- Stoke led at HT in 27% of last 15 matches, trailed in 40%, drew in 33%.
- Swansea led at HT in 40% of last 15 matches, trailed in 33%, drew in 27%.
- Last 3 H2Hs at Stoke: HT results were 1-0 Stoke, 0-0, 0-0.
- Stoke's home HT record: led in 2 of 5 recent home Championship matches, drew 2, trailed 1.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance45%

Goals4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams concede 1.5 goals per game on average, and recent H2Hs at Stoke have trended towards higher-scoring affairs, suggesting a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
- Stoke's last 15 matches: 1.1 goals scored, 1.5 conceded per game; 53% of matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Swansea's last 15 matches: 1.2 goals scored, 1.5 conceded per game; 53% of matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Last 3 H2Hs at Stoke: 2-1, 3-1, 1-1 – two of three went over 2.5.
- Stoke's recent home Championship matches: 2-0, 1-3, 1-3, 1-1, 3-1 – three of five over 2.5.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a high rate of scoring and conceding, and recent H2Hs at Stoke show both teams finding the net, making BTTS Yes a likely outcome.
- Stoke scored in 73% of last 15 matches; Swansea scored in 67%.
- Both teams conceded in 73% of their respective last 15 matches.
- Last 3 H2Hs at Stoke: both teams scored in 2 of 3 (2-1, 3-1).
- Stoke's home Championship matches this season: both teams scored in 3 of 5 (1-3, 1-3, 1-1).
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Swansea's away matches frequently see first-half goals (4 of last 5), and Stoke's home games have a 60% rate, supporting a 65% probability for over 0.5 first-half goals.
- Stoke's first-half goals: 0.4 scored, 0.5 conceded per game; 60% of matches had a first-half goal.
- Swansea's first-half goals: 0.6 scored, 0.7 conceded per game; 73% of matches had a first-half goal.
- Last 3 H2Hs at Stoke: first-half goals in 2 of 3 (1-0 at HT in 3-1 win, 0-0 in 2-1 win, 0-0 in 1-1 draw).
- Swansea's away matches: first-half goal in 4 of last 5 Championship away games.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams concede more in the second half, and recent H2Hs at Stoke have seen multiple second-half goals, supporting a 55% chance for over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Stoke's second-half goals: 0.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game; 60% of matches had over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Swansea's second-half goals: 0.6 scored, 0.8 conceded per game; 53% of matches had over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Last 3 H2Hs at Stoke: second-half goals totals were 1, 3, 1 – two of three over 1.5.
- Stoke's home matches: second-half over 1.5 in 3 of 5 recent Championship games.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Combined corner averages from recent home/away matches suggest a total around 10, but limited H2H corner data and low corner averages for Swansea overall reduce confidence, making over 9.5 a borderline call.
- Stoke averaged 7.0 corners per game over last 15; Swansea averaged 4.0.
- Stoke's home matches: corners totals of 6, 9, 12, 7, 13 – average 9.4.
- Swansea's away matches: corners totals of 7, 9, 14, 12, 10 – average 10.4.
- Last H2H at Stoke (Dec 2025): corners data not available; previous H2H (Feb 2025): Stoke 6, Swansea 7 total 13.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams average around 2 yellow cards per game, suggesting a combined total near 4, but lack of H2H card data and variability in recent matches keep confidence low.
- Stoke averaged 1.7 yellow cards per game over last 15; Swansea averaged 2.1.
- Stoke's home matches: yellow cards totals of 2, 0, 0, 5, 4 – average 2.2.
- Swansea's away matches: yellow cards totals of 5, 1, 0, 3, 2 – average 2.2.
- No recent H2H card data available.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance52%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Stoke City1Swansea City2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 2.5

Yes

Stoke City or Draw

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals4 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Stoke City

Swansea City

Squad & Injuries

Stoke City

Swansea City

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
16	Stoke City	0	0	0	0	0-0	0
21	Swansea City	0	0	0	0	0-0	0