Huracan Montevideo or Draw
Market 67.6% · BetBugs 78%
Huracan Montevideo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2W, 3D) while Paysandu have lost 4 of their last 6, making a home win or draw highly likely.
Segunda DivisiónFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Huracan Montevideo are unbeaten in five and face a struggling Paysandu side, making the double chance (Huracan or Draw) at 1.48 the standout bet with a 10-point edge.
The match winner at 2.70 also offers value, but Huracan's draw tendency makes the double chance safer. Avoid first-half over 1.5 goals and corner/card markets due to poor data.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 67.6% · BetBugs 78%
Huracan Montevideo are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2W, 3D) while Paysandu have lost 4 of their last 6, making a home win or draw highly likely.
Huracan MontevideoMarket 37% · BetBugs 45%
Huracan Montevideo's superior recent form and league position, combined with Paysandu's poor run, make them the most likely winner, though the draw risk is significant.
Market 54.6% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches and the only H2H meeting ended 2-2, supporting BTTS.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 49% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; the market already prices the draw as the most likely half-time outcome.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Huracan Montevideo | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9-6 | 10 |
| 11 | Paysandu | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4-7 | 4 |

