Fortuna Sittard vs Cambuur Leeuwarden: result, stats and head-to-head

Result4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Fortuna's home advantage and Cambuur's poor defensive start to the season, combined with off-field instability at Cambuur, give Fortuna a moderate edge.
- Fortuna Sittard averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded over last 15 matches, with a 47% leading-at-half-time rate.
- Cambuur lost their only Eredivisie match this season 0-4 at home to Excelsior, conceding 3 first-half goals.
- Cambuur's last 5 competitive matches (Eredivisie/Eerste Divisie) include 3 losses and 1 draw, conceding 11 goals.
- Fortuna's recent home form in Eredivisie (last 5 at home): 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 8.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonFortuna SittardEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Cambuur's away fragility and Fortuna's solid home form make a home win or draw highly likely.
- Fortuna have not lost at home to Cambuur in the last 3 H2H meetings at their ground (2 wins, 1 draw, albeit older data).
- Cambuur have lost 4 of their last 5 competitive away matches (Eerste Divisie/Eredivisie), conceding 10 goals.
- Fortuna's last 5 home matches across all competitions: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonFortuna Sittard or DrawEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Fortuna's superior first-half performance metrics and home advantage give them a slight edge to lead at the break.
- Fortuna led at half-time in 47% of last 15 matches, compared to Cambuur's 20%.
- Cambuur trailed at half-time in 40% of last 15 matches.
- Fortuna's last 5 home matches: led at half-time in 3, drew 1, lost 1.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonFortuna SittardEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
If Fortuna can establish a first-half lead, their home form suggests they can hold on, but the probability remains low due to overall inconsistency.
- Fortuna led at half-time and won in 4 of their last 15 matches.
- Cambuur trailed at half-time and lost in 5 of their last 15 matches.
- Fortuna's home record when leading at half-time: won 3 of last 4 such situations.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonFortuna Sittard / Fortuna SittardEstimated chance30%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high goals-against averages and recent matches trending over 2.5 goals, supporting a high-scoring game.
- Fortuna's last 15 matches averaged 3.2 total goals (1.3 scored, 1.9 conceded).
- Cambuur's last 15 matches averaged 3.3 total goals (1.4 scored, 1.9 conceded).
- Cambuur's only Eredivisie match this season saw 4 goals, and their last 5 competitive matches averaged 3.4 goals.
- Fortuna's last 5 home matches in Eredivisie averaged 3.2 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides consistently find the net but also concede regularly, making BTTS a strong possibility.
- Fortuna scored in 13 of their last 15 matches, failing to score only against Utrecht and AZ.
- Cambuur scored in 11 of their last 15 matches, including against Eredivisie opposition in friendlies.
- Both teams conceded in 13 of Fortuna's last 15 and 12 of Cambuur's last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Cambuur's early defensive vulnerability and Fortuna's tendency to start strongly suggest first-half goals, though sample size is limited.
- Fortuna averaged 0.9 first-half goals scored and 0.6 conceded in last 15 matches.
- Cambuur averaged 0.6 first-half goals scored and 0.9 conceded in last 15 matches.
- Cambuur conceded 3 first-half goals in their only Eredivisie match this season.
- Fortuna led at half-time in 47% of their last 15 matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second-half goals are common in matches involving these teams, with both showing a tendency to concede after the break.
- Fortuna's last 15 matches: 1.3 second-half goals on average (total goals minus first-half).
- Cambuur's last 15 matches: 1.5 second-half goals on average.
- Cambuur conceded 1 second-half goal in their only Eredivisie match, but their Eerste Divisie matches often had late goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' corner averages hover around the 9.5 line, with Cambuur's higher corner count pushing the total slightly over.
- Fortuna averaged 3.7 corners for and 6.1 against in last 15 matches (total 9.8).
- Cambuur averaged 5.9 corners for and 4.5 against in last 15 matches (total 10.4).
- Cambuur's last 5 competitive matches averaged 10.2 total corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined card averages are close to the line, and Cambuur's recent disciplinary record in competitive matches suggests a slight over.
- Fortuna averaged 1.5 yellow cards and 0.07 red cards per match in last 15.
- Cambuur averaged 1.8 yellow cards and 0.03 red cards per match in last 15.
- Combined average of 3.3 cards per match, but Cambuur's last 5 competitive matches saw 2.4 cards per game for them alone.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
9	Fortuna Sittard	1	0	1	0	2-2	1	D
18	Cambuur Leeuwarden Relegation - Eerste Divisie	1	0	0	1	0-4	0	L

Fortuna Sittard3Cambuur Leeuwarden1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Fortuna Sittard or Draw

Over 2.5

Yes

BetBugs probabilities

Result4 of 4 landed

Goals3 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Fortuna Sittard

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Fortuna Sittard

Cambuur Leeuwarden

Squad & Injuries

Fortuna Sittard

Cambuur Leeuwarden